J. Anthony
8'
Z. Flemming
(ast. H. Mejbri)
59'
42'
(ast. J. McGinn)
R. Barkley
56'
(ast. E. Martinez)
O. Watkins
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aston Villa a 52% win probability (draw 26%, Burnley 21%). The final result was Burnley 2–2 Aston Villa. In 1 previous meetings, Burnley have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Aston Villa.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
13
6
Shots on target
7
1.77
Actual xG
1.42
5
Saves
4
34%
Possession
66%
2
Corners
8
21
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Anthony
8'
39'
42'
ast. J. McGinn ·
R. Barkley⚽
49'
T. Mings
56'
ast. E. Martinez ·
O. Watkins⚽
⚽Z. Flemming
· ast. H. Mejbri
59'
Z. Flemming
60'
H. Mejbri
/ L. Foster
69'
74'
L. Digne
/
I. Maatsen
74'
E. Buendia
/
V. Lindelof
L. Ugochukwu
/ J. Laurent
79'
Z. Flemming
/ Z. Amdouni
80'
80'
Douglas Luiz
/
R. Barkley
80'
L. Bogarde
/
M. Cash
85'
L. Bailey
/
J. McGinn
J. Anthony
/ J. Bruun Larsen
87'
Florentino
/ J. Ward-Prowse
88'
Pre-match prediction
21.48%
Burnley
26.26%
X ←
52.27%
Aston
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.26%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.00
1.77
+0.78
1.60
1.42
-0.18
Burnley dominated by xG (1.77 vs 1.42).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
M. Weiß
G
M. Weiß
G
23
Lucas Pires
D
Lucas Pires
D
5
M. Estève
D
M. Estève
D
6
A. Tuanzebe
D
A. Tuanzebe
D
2
K. Walker
D
K. Walker
D
8
L. Ugochukwu
79'
M
L. Ugochukwu
79'
M
16
Florentino
87'
M
Florentino
87'
M
11
J. Anthony
1 ⚽
87'
M
J. Anthony
1 ⚽
87'
M
28
H. Mejbri
1 👟
69'
M
H. Mejbri
1 👟
69'
M
17
L. Tchaouna
M
L. Tchaouna
M
19
Z. Flemming
1 ⚽
79'
F
Z. Flemming
1 ⚽
79'
F
Bench
27
A. Broja
F
A. Broja
F
12
Bashir Humphreys
D
Bashir Humphreys
D
7
J. Bruun Larsen
10'
F
J. Bruun Larsen
10'
F
29
J. Laurent
18'
M
J. Laurent
18'
M
20
J. Ward-Prowse
10'
M
J. Ward-Prowse
10'
M
9
L. Foster
28'
F
L. Foster
28'
F
1
M. Dúbravka
G
M. Dúbravka
G
3
Q. Hartman
D
Q. Hartman
D
25
Z. Amdouni
18'
F
Z. Amdouni
18'
F
23
E. Martínez
1 👟
G
E. Martínez
1 👟
G
22
I. Maatsen
74'
D
I. Maatsen
74'
D
5
T. Mings
D
T. Mings
D
4
E. Konsa
D
E. Konsa
D
2
M. Cash
80'
D
M. Cash
80'
D
8
Y. Tielemans
M
Y. Tielemans
M
3
V. Lindelöf
74'
M
V. Lindelöf
74'
M
27
M. Rogers
M
M. Rogers
M
6
R. Barkley
1 ⚽
80'
M
R. Barkley
1 ⚽
80'
M
7
J. McGinn
1 👟
85'
M
J. McGinn
1 👟
85'
M
11
O. Watkins
1 ⚽
F
O. Watkins
1 ⚽
F
Bench
21
Douglas Luiz
17'
M
Douglas Luiz
17'
M
10
E. Buendía
23'
M
E. Buendía
23'
M
19
Jadon Sancho
F
Jadon Sancho
F
31
L. Bailey
12'
F
L. Bailey
12'
F
26
L. Bogarde
17'
M
L. Bogarde
17'
M
12
L. Digne
23'
D
L. Digne
23'
D
40
M. Bizot
G
M. Bizot
G
14
Pau Torres
D
Pau Torres
D
18
T. Abraham
F
T. Abraham
F
Best on the pitch
Y. Tielemans
M · Aston
7.60
2 shots
· 63 pass
L. Digne
D · Aston
7.30
· 9 pass
K. Walker
D · Burnley
7.20
· 32 pass
L. Ugochukwu
M · Burnley
7.20
1 shots
· 19 pass
O. Watkins
F · Aston
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
H. Mejbri
M · Burnley
7.20
1 👟
· 15 pass
Burnley — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Weiß | G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Pires | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Estève | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Tuanzebe | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Walker | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Ugochukwu | M | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Florentino | M | 87 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Anthony | M | 87 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Mejbri | M | 69 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Tchaouna | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Z. Flemming | F | 79 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 9 | 5% | 4 | 1 | — |
| J. Bruun Larsen | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| J. Laurent | M | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Ward-Prowse | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| L. Foster | F | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Amdouni | F | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Aston Villa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Martínez | G | 97 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 38 | 33% | — | — | — |
| I. Maatsen | D | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Mings | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 72 | 62% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Konsa | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 82 | 82% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Cash | D | 80 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Y. Tielemans | M | 97 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 63 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Lindelöf | M | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | — | — | — |
| M. Rogers | M | 97 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Barkley | M | 80 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| J. McGinn | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 35 | 24% | — | — | — |
| O. Watkins | F | 97 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Douglas Luiz | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Buendía | M | 23 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| L. Bailey | F | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Bogarde | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Digne | D | 23 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Burnley vs Aston Villa?
The final score was Burnley 2–2 Aston Villa.
What did the model predict before Burnley vs Aston Villa?
The model assigned 21% probability to a Burnley win, 26% to a draw, and 52% to an Aston Villa win.