J. Anthony
8'
Z. Flemming
(ast. H. Mejbri)
59'
42'
(ast. J. McGinn)
R. Barkley
56'
(ast. E. Martinez)
O. Watkins
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aston Villa a 52% win probability (draw 26%, Burnley 21%). The final result was Burnley 2–2 Aston Villa. In 1 previous meetings, Burnley have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Aston Villa.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
13
6
Shots on target
7
1.77
Actual xG
1.42
5
Saves
4
34%
Possession
66%
2
Corners
8
21
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽J. Anthony
8'
39'
42'
ast. J. McGinn ·
R. Barkley⚽
49'
T. Mings
56'
ast. E. Martinez ·
O. Watkins⚽
⚽Z. Flemming
· ast. H. Mejbri
59'
Z. Flemming
60'
H. Mejbri
/ L. Foster
69'
74'
L. Digne
/
I. Maatsen
74'
E. Buendia
/
V. Lindelof
L. Ugochukwu
/ J. Laurent
79'
Z. Flemming
/ Z. Amdouni
80'
80'
Douglas Luiz
/
R. Barkley
80'
L. Bogarde
/
M. Cash
85'
L. Bailey
/
J. McGinn
J. Anthony
/ J. Bruun Larsen
87'
Florentino
/ J. Ward-Prowse
88'
Pre-match prediction
21.48%
Burnley
26.26%
X ←
52.27%
Aston
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.26%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.00
1.77
+0.78
1.60
1.42
-0.18
Burnley dominated by xG (1.77 vs 1.42).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Max Weiss
G
Max Weiss
G
23
Lucas Pires
D
Lucas Pires
D
5
Maxime Estève
D
Maxime Estève
D
6
Axel Tuanzebe
D
Axel Tuanzebe
D
2
K. Walker
D
K. Walker
D
8
Lesley Ugochukwu
79'
M
Lesley Ugochukwu
79'
M
16
Florentino Luís
87'
M
Florentino Luís
87'
M
11
Jaidon Anthony
1 ⚽
87'
M
Jaidon Anthony
1 ⚽
87'
M
28
H. Mejbri
1 👟
69'
M
H. Mejbri
1 👟
69'
M
17
Loum Tchaouna
M
Loum Tchaouna
M
19
Z. Flemming
1 ⚽
79'
F
Z. Flemming
1 ⚽
79'
F
Bench
27
Armando Broja
F
12
Bashir Humphreys
D
Bashir Humphreys
D
7
Jacob Bruun Larsen
10'
F
Jacob Bruun Larsen
10'
F
20
James Ward-Prowse
10'
M
James Ward-Prowse
10'
M
29
J. Laurent
18'
M
J. Laurent
18'
M
9
Lyle Foster
28'
F
Lyle Foster
28'
F
1
Martin Dúbravka
G
Martin Dúbravka
G
3
Quilindschy Hartman
D
Quilindschy Hartman
D
25
Zeki Amdouni
18'
F
Zeki Amdouni
18'
F
23
Emiliano Martínez
1 👟
G
Emiliano Martínez
1 👟
G
22
Ian Maatsen
74'
D
Ian Maatsen
74'
D
5
Tyrone Mings
D
Tyrone Mings
D
4
Ezri Konsa
D
Ezri Konsa
D
2
M. Cash
80'
D
M. Cash
80'
D
8
Youri Tielemans
M
Youri Tielemans
M
3
V. Lindelöf
74'
M
V. Lindelöf
74'
M
27
Morgan Rogers
M
Morgan Rogers
M
6
Ross Barkley
1 ⚽
80'
M
Ross Barkley
1 ⚽
80'
M
7
John McGinn
1 👟
85'
M
John McGinn
1 👟
85'
M
11
Ollie Watkins
1 ⚽
F
Ollie Watkins
1 ⚽
F
Bench
21
Douglas Luiz
17'
M
Douglas Luiz
17'
M
10
E. Buendía
23'
M
E. Buendía
23'
M
19
Jadon Sancho
F
Jadon Sancho
F
26
Lamare Bogarde
17'
M
Lamare Bogarde
17'
M
31
L. Bailey
12'
F
L. Bailey
12'
F
12
Lucas Digne
23'
D
Lucas Digne
23'
D
40
M. Bizot
G
M. Bizot
G
14
Pau Torres
D
Pau Torres
D
18
Tammy Abraham
F
Tammy Abraham
F
Best on the pitch
Youri Tielemans
M · Aston
7.60
2 shots
· 63 pass
Lucas Digne
D · Aston
7.30
· 9 pass
K. Walker
D · Burnley
7.20
· 32 pass
Lesley Ugochukwu
M · Burnley
7.20
1 shots
· 19 pass
Ollie Watkins
F · Aston
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
H. Mejbri
M · Burnley
7.20
1 👟
· 15 pass
Burnley — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Weiss | G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Pires | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Maxime Estève | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Axel Tuanzebe | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Walker | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | 4 | — | — |
| Lesley Ugochukwu | M | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Florentino Luís | M | 87 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Jaidon Anthony | M | 87 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 25 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Mejbri | M | 69 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Loum Tchaouna | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Z. Flemming | F | 79 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 9 | 5% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Jacob Bruun Larsen | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| James Ward-Prowse | M | 10 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| J. Laurent | M | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Lyle Foster | F | 28 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — |
| Zeki Amdouni | F | 18 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Aston Villa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emiliano Martínez | G | 97 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 38 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Ian Maatsen | D | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| Tyrone Mings | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 72 | 62% | — | 1 | — |
| Ezri Konsa | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 82 | 82% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Cash | D | 80 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Youri Tielemans | M | 97 | 7.60 | — | — | 2 | 63 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Lindelöf | M | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Morgan Rogers | M | 97 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Ross Barkley | M | 80 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 34 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| John McGinn | M | 85 | 6.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 35 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Ollie Watkins | F | 97 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Douglas Luiz | M | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Buendía | M | 23 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Lamare Bogarde | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Bailey | F | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Digne | D | 23 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Burnley vs Aston Villa?
The final score was Burnley 2–2 Aston Villa.
What did the model predict before Burnley vs Aston Villa?
The model assigned 21% probability to a Burnley win, 26% to a draw, and 52% to an Aston Villa win.