43'
(ast. P. Gross)
M. Wieffer
89'
(ast. Y. Ayari)
M. Wieffer
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Brighton a 52% win probability (draw 28%, Burnley 19%). The final result was Burnley 0–2 Brighton. In 1 previous meetings, Burnley have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Brighton.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
6
0.90
Actual xG
1.91
3
Saves
4
50%
Possession
50%
8
Corners
2
10
Tackles
26
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
6'
M. Esteve
30'
43'
ast. P. Gross ·
M. Wieffer⚽
48'
J. P. van Hecke
49'
Florentino
60'
L. Ugochukwu
/ J. Bruun Larsen
67'
75'
G. Rutter
/
D. Welbeck
75'
C. Baleba
/
J. Hinshelwood
M. Edwards
/ M. Tresor Ndayishimiye
75'
80'
K. Mitoma
/
Y. Minteh
Florentino
/ A. Broja
82'
Q. Hartman
/ Lucas Pires
82'
B. Humphreys
/ K. Walker
82'
88'
J. Veltman
/
D. Gomez
89'
ast. Y. Ayari ·
M. Wieffer⚽
Pre-match prediction
19.68%
Burnley
28.28%
X
52.04%
Brighton ←
we assigned to the actual result (Brighton)
52.04%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.77
0.90
+0.13
1.54
1.91
+0.37
Brighton dominated by xG (1.91 vs 0.90).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
G
3
Q. Hartman
82'
D
Q. Hartman
82'
D
5
M. Estève
D
M. Estève
D
18
D
12
Bashir Humphreys
82'
D
Bashir Humphreys
82'
D
16
Florentino
82'
M
Florentino
82'
M
20
J. Ward-Prowse
M
J. Ward-Prowse
M
11
J. Anthony
M
J. Anthony
M
8
L. Ugochukwu
67'
M
L. Ugochukwu
67'
M
10
M. Edwards
75'
M
M. Edwards
75'
M
19
Z. Flemming
F
Z. Flemming
F
Bench
27
A. Broja
15'
F
A. Broja
15'
F
2
K. Walker
15'
D
K. Walker
15'
D
9
L. Foster
F
L. Foster
F
17
L. Tchaouna
F
L. Tchaouna
F
23
Lucas Pires
15'
D
Lucas Pires
15'
D
1
G
24
F. Kadıoğlu
D
F. Kadıoğlu
D
21
D
6
J. van Hecke
D
J. van Hecke
D
27
M. Wieffer
2 ⚽
D
M. Wieffer
2 ⚽
D
30
P. Groß
1 👟
M
P. Groß
1 👟
M
26
Y. Ayari
1 👟
M
Y. Ayari
1 👟
M
11
Y. Minteh
80'
M
Y. Minteh
80'
M
13
J. Hinshelwood
75'
M
J. Hinshelwood
75'
M
25
D. Gómez
88'
M
D. Gómez
88'
M
18
D. Welbeck
75'
F
D. Welbeck
75'
F
Bench
17
C. Baleba
22'
M
C. Baleba
22'
M
10
G. Rutter
22'
F
G. Rutter
22'
F
34
J. Veltman
9'
D
J. Veltman
9'
D
22
K. Mitoma
17'
M
29
M. De Cuyper
D
M. De Cuyper
D
Best on the pitch
M. Wieffer
D · Brighton
9.50
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 27 pass
G · Burnley
8.20
· 44 pass
G · Brighton
8.20
· 46 pass
D · Burnley
7.90
· 40 pass
J. Hinshelwood
M · Brighton
7.30
2 shots
· 18 pass
Y. Ayari
M · Brighton
7.30
1 👟
· 46 pass
Burnley — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 28% | — | — | — | |
| Q. Hartman | D | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | — | — | — |
| M. Estève | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 60 | 51% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 97 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 34% | 1 | — | — | |
| Bashir Humphreys | D | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Florentino | M | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Ward-Prowse | M | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 61 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Anthony | M | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Ugochukwu | M | 67 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 17% | — | — | — |
| M. Edwards | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Z. Flemming | F | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| A. Broja | F | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| K. Walker | D | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Pires | D | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Brighton — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 8.20 | — | — | — | 46 | 40% | — | — | — | |
| F. Kadıoğlu | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 82 | 68% | 1 | — | — | |
| J. van Hecke | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 59 | 50% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Wieffer | D | 97 | 9.50 | 2 | — | 2 | 27 | 21% | 5 | — | — |
| P. Groß | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 57 | 51% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Ayari | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 46 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Y. Minteh | M | 80 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Hinshelwood | M | 75 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Gómez | M | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Welbeck | F | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| C. Baleba | M | 22 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| G. Rutter | F | 22 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Veltman | D | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
| K. Mitoma | M | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Burnley vs Brighton?
The final score was Burnley 0–2 Brighton.
What did the model predict before Burnley vs Brighton?
The model assigned 19% probability to a Burnley win, 28% to a draw, and 52% to an Brighton win.