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Championship · Regular Season - 8 September 19, 2026 16:00 Turf Moor, Burnley
Burnley
#22 · 8 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Derby
#23 · 7 pts
Zeki Amdouni (ast. Lucas Pires Silva) 34'
90'+3 (ast. Rhian Brewster) Mohammed Fuseini
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Burnley a 44% win probability (draw 30%, Derby 25%). The final result was Burnley 1–1 Derby. In 1 previous meetings, Burnley have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Derby.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
6
3
Saves
1
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
5
8
Tackles
23
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Igor Júlio
31'
⚽Zeki Amdouni · ast. Lucas Pires Silva
34'
Anel Ahmedhodzic
56'
↕ Marcus Edwards / Largie Ramazani
61'
↕ Reo Hatate / Ugo Raghouber
61'
66'
Oscar Fraulo / Alex Mowatt ↕
66'
Mohammed Fuseini / Ryan Hedges ↕
67'
D. Ozoh
Josh Laurent
68'
↕ Zeki Amdouni / Jamie Vardy
73'
↕ Jacob Bruun Larsen / Andréas Hountondji
73'
78'
Rhian Brewster / D. Ozoh ↕
82'
Corey Blackett-Taylor / Charlie Taylor ↕
Ugo Raghouber
86'
87'
Corey Blackett-Taylor
↕ Lucas Pires Silva / Oliver Sonne
89'
90'+3
ast. Rhian Brewster · Mohammed Fuseini⚽
Pre-match prediction
44.57%
Burnley
30.16%
X ←
25.27%
Derby
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.16% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Burnley
1.67
—
—
Derby
0.86
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 12 25
2 Swansea Swansea 12 23
3 West Ham West Ham 12 22
4 Wolves Wolves 12 21
5 West Brom West Brom 12 21
6 Southampton Southampton 12 20
7 Birmingham Birmingham 12 20
8 QPR QPR 12 20
9 Stoke City Stoke City 12 20
10 Blackburn Blackburn 12 18
11 Portsmouth Portsmouth 12 18
12 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 12 16
13 Millwall Millwall 12 15
14 Bristol City Bristol City 12 15
15 Lincoln Lincoln 12 15
16 Cardiff Cardiff 12 14
17 Wrexham Wrexham 12 14
18 Bolton Bolton 12 14
19 Charlton Charlton 12 14
20 Norwich Norwich 12 12
21 Watford Watford 12 11
22 Burnley Burnley 12 8
23 Derby Derby 12 7
24 Preston Preston 12 5
Lineups
Burnley Burnley 4-4-2
37 G. Coudert G. Coudert G 6.26
23 Lucas Pires Lucas Pires 1 👟 89' D 7.21
44 Igor Igor D 6.43
15 A. Ahmedhodžić A. Ahmedhodžić D 6.64
14 C. Roberts C. Roberts D 6.33
5 R. Hatate R. Hatate 61' M 6.76
3 Max Alleyne Max Alleyne M 6.87
29 J. Laurent J. Laurent M 6.15
10 M. Edwards M. Edwards 61' M 6.12
11 Z. Amdouni Z. Amdouni 1 ⚽ 73' F 7.76
7 J. Bruun Larsen J. Bruun Larsen 73' F 5.89
Bench
27 A. Broja A. Broja F 0.00
17 A. Hountondji A. Hountondji 17' F 6.49
18 H. Ekdal H. Ekdal D 0.00
9 J. Vardy J. Vardy 17' F 6.45
2 K. Walker K. Walker D 0.00
19 L. Ramazani L. Ramazani 29' F 6.67
1 M. Weiß M. Weiß G 0.00
22 O. Sonne O. Sonne 1' D 6.60
8 U. Raghouber U. Raghouber 29' M 6.29
Derby Derby 4-2-3-1
31 J. Vickers J. Vickers G 6.06
18 C. Taylor C. Taylor 82' D 6.64
28 D. Sanderson D. Sanderson D 6.67
6 S. Langås S. Langås D 6.46
23 J. Ward J. Ward D 7.54
4 D. Ozoh D. Ozoh 78' M 6.25
20 A. Mowatt A. Mowatt 66' M 6.67
8 B. Clark B. Clark M 6.04
11 S. Szmodics S. Szmodics M 6.19
26 R. Hedges R. Hedges 66' M 6.42
9 C. Morris C. Morris F 6.44
Bench
33 C. Blackett-Taylor C. Blackett-Taylor 8' F 6.27
15 L. Salvesen L. Salvesen F 0.00
27 L. Travis L. Travis M 0.00
16 M. Fuseini M. Fuseini 1 ⚽ 24' F 8.20
22 M. Johnston M. Johnston D 0.00
29 O. Fraulo O. Fraulo 24' M 6.33
42 Raymond Offor Raymond Offor D 0.00
10 R. Brewster R. Brewster 1 👟 12' F 6.62
12 R. O'Donnell R. O'Donnell G 0.00
Best on the pitch
M. Fuseini
M. Fuseini
F · Derby
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 1 pass
Z. Amdouni
Z. Amdouni
F · Burnley
7.76
1 ⚽
2 shots · 17 pass
J. Ward
J. Ward
D · Derby
7.54
1 shots · 38 pass
Lucas Pires
Lucas Pires
D · Burnley
7.21
1 👟
· 35 pass
Max Alleyne
Max Alleyne
M · Burnley
6.87
· 49 pass
R. Hatate
R. Hatate
M · Burnley
6.76
1 shots · 38 pass
Burnley Burnley — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G. Coudert G 90 6.26 — — 0 39 17% 1 — —
Lucas Pires D 89 7.21 — 1 0 35 27% 3 — —
Igor D 90 6.43 — — 0 71 62% 0 1 —
A. Ahmedhodžić D 90 6.64 — — 0 54 48% 1 1 —
C. Roberts D 90 6.33 — — 0 38 30% 1 — —
R. Hatate M 61 6.76 — — 1 38 31% 1 — —
Max Alleyne M 90 6.87 — — 0 49 44% 0 — —
J. Laurent M 90 6.15 — — 0 32 25% 1 1 —
M. Edwards M 61 6.12 — — 0 15 12% 0 — —
Z. Amdouni F 73 7.76 1 — 2 17 15% 0 — —
J. Bruun Larsen F 73 5.89 — — 0 18 15% 0 — —
A. Hountondji F 17 6.49 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
J. Vardy F 17 6.45 — — 0 3 1% 0 — —
L. Ramazani F 29 6.67 — — 3 8 4% 0 — —
O. Sonne D 1 6.60 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
U. Raghouber M 29 6.29 — — 0 10 9% 0 1 —
Derby Derby — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Vickers G 90 6.06 — — 0 41 29% 0 — —
C. Taylor D 82 6.64 — — 0 30 27% 0 — —
D. Sanderson D 90 6.67 — — 1 53 45% 0 — —
S. Langås D 90 6.46 — — 0 64 53% 2 — —
J. Ward D 90 7.54 — — 1 38 33% 4 — —
D. Ozoh M 78 6.25 — — 2 25 21% 3 1 —
A. Mowatt M 66 6.67 — — 0 30 28% 5 — —
B. Clark M 90 6.04 — — 3 22 15% 4 — —
S. Szmodics M 90 6.19 — — 3 26 19% 0 — —
R. Hedges M 66 6.42 — — 2 18 11% 5 — —
C. Morris F 90 6.44 — — 0 19 15% 0 — —
C. Blackett-Taylor F 8 6.27 — — 0 1 1% 0 1 —
M. Fuseini F 24 8.20 1 — 2 1 1% 0 — —
O. Fraulo M 24 6.33 — — 0 9 7% 0 — —
R. Brewster F 12 6.62 — 1 0 4 4% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Burnley vs Derby?
The final score was Burnley 1–1 Derby.
What did the model predict before Burnley vs Derby?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Burnley win, 30% to a draw, and 25% to an Derby win.