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Burnley - Espanyol

Friendlies Clubs July 29, 2026 20:45
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
29.08%
Win
Burnley
27.84%
Draw
43.09%
Win
Espanyol
0.59
Expected xG
3.84

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–2 (8.56%)
1X2 Result
1 29%
X 28%
2 43%
Double Chance
1X 57%
X2 71%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Espanyol a 43% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Burnley. Expected goals are 0.6 for Burnley and 3.8 for Espanyol (total 4.4), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–2 at 8.56% probability.

Season Stats

Burnley
0W 1D 3L
Espanyol
2W 1D 0L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
2.7
2.5
Conceded
0.3
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
75%
O 2.5
67%
100%
BTTS
33%
0%
Clean Sht
67%
Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Score Matrix

↕ Burnley Espanyol →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.2% 4.6% 8.8% 11.3% 10.8% 8.3%
1 0.7% 2.7% 5.2% 6.6% 6.4% 4.9%
2 0.2% 0.8% 1.5% 2.0% 1.9% 1.4%
3 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.1%
5

Recent form

L Ajax 2–1
L Real Salt Lake 4–1
D Columbus Crew 1–1
L FC Cincinnati 3–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 16%
D Sabadell 1–1
W PAU 4–0
W Olot 0–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 30%

Playing profile

Burnley Burnley
Attack
25
Defence
38
Form
39
Espanyol Espanyol
Attack
66
Defence
91
Form
79
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Burnley vs Espanyol?
The model gives Burnley a 29% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 43% for an Espanyol win.
How many goals are expected in Burnley vs Espanyol?
Expected goals: Burnley 0.6, Espanyol 3.8 (total 4.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Burnley vs Espanyol?
1–2 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.56%.