Burnley - Notts County
Weather at kick-off
⛅
Partly cloudy
19.7°C
💨 7 km/h
🌧️ 33%
· Burnley
⚡ Pre-match analysis
28.15%
Win
Burnley
32.5%
Draw
39.35%
Win
Notts County
0.72
1.1
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(13.4%)
1X2 Result
1
28%
X
33%
2
39%
Double Chance
1X
61%
X2
72%
12
68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
63%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Notts County a 39% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Burnley. Expected goals are 0.7 for Burnley and 1.1 for Notts County (total 1.8), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.4% probability.
Season Stats
1W
0D
1L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
0.0
1.5
Conceded
1.0
6.5
Shots OT
3.0
3.5
Corners
6.0
51%
Poss.
64%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
0%
100%
O 2.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
1W
0D
1L
· at home
0W
0D
1L
· away
1.5
gls/g
0.0
1.5
Conceded
1.0
50%
Win %
0%
50%
Win or Draw
0%
100%
O 1.5
0%
100%
O 2.5
0%
0%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
0%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
100%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Burnley
Notts County →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 16.2% | 17.8% | 9.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.6% | 12.8% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Burnley
Attack
27
Defence
44
Form
37
Notts County
Attack
31
Defence
71
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Burnley vs Notts County?
The model gives Burnley a 28% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 39% for an Notts County win.
How many goals are expected in Burnley vs Notts County?
Expected goals: Burnley 0.7, Notts County 1.1 (total 1.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Burnley vs Notts County?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.4%.