Z. Flemming
(ast. M. Edwards)
48'
Z. Flemming
120'+1
(pen.)
Z. Amdouni
120'+2
(pen.)
M. Tresor Ndayishimiye
120'+3
(pen.)
K. Walker
120'+5
(pen.)
42'
(ast. N. Tsaroulla)
C. Roberts
(pen.)
120'+2
D. Campbell
(pen.)
120'+3
C. Grant
(pen.)
120'+4
J. Evans
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Burnley a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Notts County 34%). The final result was Burnley 1–1 Notts County.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
4
Shots on target
2
1
Saves
3
74%
Possession
26%
4
Corners
3
16
Tackles
16
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
24'
J. Gibbons
42'
ast. N. Tsaroulla ·
C. Roberts⚽
⚽Z. Flemming
· ast. M. Edwards
48'
66'
E. Acquah
/
L. Ndlovu
66'
C. Grant
/
O. Cooper
A. Ramsey
/ Z. Amdouni
67'
U. Raghouber
/ J. Laurent
67'
O. Sonne
/ C. Roberts
67'
73'
D. Lipsiuc
80'
Q. Kouhyar
/
C. Roberts
80'
L. Browne
/
N. Tsaroulla
M. Edwards
/ M. Tresor Ndayishimiye
81'
90'+2
J. Evans
J. Bruun Larsen
/ L. Castell
90'
120'+1
(missed pen.)
E. Acquah⚽
⚽Z. Flemming
(pen.)
120'+1
120'+2
(pen.)
D. Campbell⚽
⚽Z. Amdouni
(pen.)
120'+2
120'+3
(pen.)
C. Grant⚽
⚽M. Tresor Ndayishimiye
(pen.)
120'+3
120'+4
(pen.)
J. Evans⚽
⚽H. Mejbri
(missed pen.)
120'+4
120'+5
(missed pen.)
J. Bedeau⚽
⚽K. Walker
(pen.)
120'+5
Pre-match prediction
35.68%
Burnley
30.09%
X ←
34.23%
Notts
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.09%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.84
—
—
1.17
—
—
Lineups
1
M. Weiß
G
M. Weiß
G
6
Bashir Humphreys
D
Bashir Humphreys
D
2
K. Walker
1 ⚽
D
K. Walker
1 ⚽
D
4
J. Worrall
D
J. Worrall
D
7
J. Bruun Larsen
M
J. Bruun Larsen
M
8
U. Raghouber
67'
M
U. Raghouber
67'
M
28
H. Mejbri
M
H. Mejbri
M
22
O. Sonne
67'
M
O. Sonne
67'
M
21
A. Ramsey
67'
F
A. Ramsey
67'
F
10
M. Edwards
1 👟
81'
F
M. Edwards
1 👟
81'
F
19
Z. Flemming
2 ⚽
F
Z. Flemming
2 ⚽
F
Bench
17
A. Hountondji
F
A. Hountondji
F
13
Ben Amos
G
Ben Amos
G
14
C. Roberts
1 ⚽
30'
D
C. Roberts
1 ⚽
30'
D
18
H. Ekdal
D
H. Ekdal
D
29
J. Laurent
30'
M
J. Laurent
30'
M
30
L. Castell
7'
F
L. Castell
7'
F
23
Lucas Pires
D
Lucas Pires
D
31
M. Trésor
1 ⚽
16'
F
M. Trésor
1 ⚽
16'
F
11
Z. Amdouni
1 ⚽
30'
F
Z. Amdouni
1 ⚽
30'
F
1
J. Belshaw
G
J. Belshaw
G
14
D. Lipsiuc
D
D. Lipsiuc
D
4
J. Bedeau
D
J. Bedeau
D
12
L. Ness
D
L. Ness
D
2
J. Gibbons
D
J. Gibbons
D
25
N. Tsaroulla
1 👟
80'
D
N. Tsaroulla
1 👟
80'
D
15
J. Evans
1 ⚽
M
J. Evans
1 ⚽
M
16
Dean Campbell
1 ⚽
M
Dean Campbell
1 ⚽
M
8
O. Cooper
66'
M
O. Cooper
66'
M
7
C. Roberts
1 ⚽
80'
F
C. Roberts
1 ⚽
80'
F
39
Lee Ndlovu
66'
F
Lee Ndlovu
66'
F
Bench
11
C. Grant
1 ⚽
31'
M
C. Grant
1 ⚽
31'
M
33
Emile Acquah
31'
F
Emile Acquah
31'
F
21
H. Griffiths
G
H. Griffiths
G
49
Kameron Muir
M
Kameron Muir
M
19
L. Smyth
F
L. Smyth
F
23
Luke Browne
17'
D
Luke Browne
17'
D
17
Maziar Kouhyar
17'
M
Maziar Kouhyar
17'
M
44
M. Baker
D
M. Baker
D
30
Ryley Reynolds
M
Ryley Reynolds
M
Best on the pitch
Z. Flemming
F · Burnley
7.60
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 23 pass
C. Roberts
F · Notts
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 11 pass
H. Mejbri
M · Burnley
7.30
· 78 pass
M. Edwards
F · Burnley
7.30
1 👟
2 shots
· 29 pass
Bashir Humphreys
D · Burnley
7.20
· 115 pass
J. Belshaw
G · Notts
7.20
· 32 pass
Burnley — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Weiß | G | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Bashir Humphreys | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 115 | 109% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Walker | D | 97 | 6.90 | 1 | — | — | 90 | 84% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Worrall | D | 97 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 83 | 77% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Bruun Larsen | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 37% | — | — | — |
| U. Raghouber | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Mejbri | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 78 | 68% | 5 | — | — |
| O. Sonne | M | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ramsey | F | 67 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| M. Edwards | F | 81 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 2 | 29 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Z. Flemming | F | 97 | 7.60 | 2 | — | 4 | 23 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Roberts | D | 30 | 6.60 | 1 | — | — | 24 | 24% | — | — | — |
| J. Laurent | M | 30 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| L. Castell | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Trésor | F | 16 | 6.30 | 1 | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Z. Amdouni | F | 30 | 6.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Notts County — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Belshaw | G | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 32 | 21% | — | — | — |
| D. Lipsiuc | D | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Bedeau | D | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| L. Ness | D | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Gibbons | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Tsaroulla | D | 80 | 6.70 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Evans | M | 97 | 6.50 | 1 | — | — | 10 | 6% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Dean Campbell | M | 97 | 6.70 | 1 | — | — | 25 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| O. Cooper | M | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 16 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Roberts | F | 80 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Lee Ndlovu | F | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| C. Grant | M | 31 | 6.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
| Emile Acquah | F | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Luke Browne | D | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Maziar Kouhyar | M | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Burnley vs Notts County?
The final score was Burnley 1–1 Notts County.
What did the model predict before Burnley vs Notts County?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Burnley win, 30% to a draw, and 34% to an Notts County win.