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Championship · Regular Season - 1 August 16, 2026 17:00 Turf Moor, Burnley
Burnley
#23 · 3 pts
2 – 2
Final score
West Ham
#1 · 14 pts
Z. Flemming 83' (pen.)
Z. Flemming (ast. M. Alleyne) 90'+2
10' (ast. J. Bowen) M. Kilman
72' M. Solomon
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave West Ham a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Burnley 32%). The final result was Burnley 2–2 West Ham. In 2 previous meetings, Burnley have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for West Ham.

Match statistics
17
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
2.10
Actual xG
1.21
0
Saves
2
46%
Possession
54%
6
Corners
6
10
Tackles
10
0
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
10'
ast. J. Bowen · M. Kilman⚽
33'
M. Kante
46'
J. Ward-Prowse / Pablo ↕
↕ U. Raghouber / J. Laurent
57'
↕ H. Mejbri / Z. Amdouni
57'
67'
T. Castellanos
72'
M. Solomon⚽
↕ A. Ramsey / A. Broja
76'
↕ B. Humphreys / Lucas Pires
76'
↕ J. Bruun Larsen / M. Tresor Ndayishimiye
82'
⚽Z. Flemming (pen.)
83'
84'
M. Hermansen
87'
M. Diouf / O. Scarles ↕
89'
J. Veltman / M. Solomon ↕
⚽Z. Flemming · ast. M. Alleyne
90'+2
90'+5
M. Diouf
Pre-match prediction
32.85%
Burnley
32.3%
X ←
34.85%
West
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 32.3% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Burnley
1.48
2.10
+0.62
West
1.23
1.21
-0.02
Burnley dominated by xG (2.10 vs 1.21). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 West Ham West Ham 7 14
2 West Brom West Brom 7 14
3 QPR QPR 7 12
4 Swansea Swansea 6 11
5 Charlton Charlton 6 11
6 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 5 10
7 Bristol City Bristol City 5 10
8 Birmingham Birmingham 7 10
9 Millwall Millwall 5 9
10 Norwich Norwich 6 9
11 Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd 6 9
12 Wolves Wolves 5 8
13 Watford Watford 6 8
14 Southampton Southampton 6 7
15 Stoke City Stoke City 6 7
16 Wrexham Wrexham 7 7
17 Bolton Bolton 7 7
18 Portsmouth Portsmouth 5 6
19 Blackburn Blackburn 6 5
20 Lincoln Lincoln 5 5
21 Cardiff Cardiff 7 4
22 Derby Derby 7 4
23 Burnley Burnley 6 3
24 Preston Preston 6 3
Lineups
Burnley Burnley 4-2-3-1
1 M. Weiß M. Weiß G 6.20
6 Bashir Humphreys Bashir Humphreys 76' D 6.90
3 Max Alleyne Max Alleyne 1 👟 D 6.70
2 K. Walker K. Walker D 7.00
22 O. Sonne O. Sonne D 6.20
8 U. Raghouber U. Raghouber 57' M 6.30
28 H. Mejbri H. Mejbri 57' M 6.70
7 J. Bruun Larsen J. Bruun Larsen 82' M 7.20
21 A. Ramsey A. Ramsey 76' M 6.90
10 M. Edwards M. Edwards M 7.20
19 Z. Flemming Z. Flemming 2 ⚽ F 8.20
Bench
27 A. Broja A. Broja 20' F 6.90
17 A. Hountondji A. Hountondji F
13 Ben Amos Ben Amos G
29 J. Laurent J. Laurent 39' M 6.70
4 J. Worrall J. Worrall D
23 Lucas Pires Lucas Pires 20' D 6.20
31 M. Trésor M. Trésor 14' F 6.70
20 S. Sambo S. Sambo D
11 Z. Amdouni Z. Amdouni 39' F 6.50
West Ham West Ham 4-4-2
1 M. Hermansen M. Hermansen G 7.00
30 O. Scarles O. Scarles 87' D 6.90
3 M. Kilman M. Kilman 1 ⚽ D 7.30
15 K. Mavropanos K. Mavropanos D 6.90
2 K. Walker-Peters K. Walker-Peters D 6.20
10 M. Solomon M. Solomon 1 ⚽ 89' M 7.60
17 M. Kanté M. Kanté M 6.20
61 L. Orford L. Orford M 6.90
20 J. Bowen J. Bowen 1 👟 M 7.20
11 V. Castellanos V. Castellanos F 6.60
19 Pablo Pablo 45' F 6.30
Bench
58 A. Golambeckis A. Golambeckis D
23 Alphonse Aréola Alphonse Aréola G
12 E. Diouf E. Diouf 9' D 6.20
63 Ezra Mayers Ezra Mayers D
40 George Earthy George Earthy M
66 J. Ajala J. Ajala F
48 Josh Landers Josh Landers F
34 J. Veltman J. Veltman 7' D
8 J. Ward-Prowse J. Ward-Prowse 51' M 6.90
Best on the pitch
Z. Flemming
Z. Flemming
F · Burnley
8.20
2 ⚽
9 shots · 14 pass
M. Solomon
M. Solomon
M · West
7.60
1 ⚽
2 shots · 25 pass
M. Kilman
M. Kilman
D · West
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 60 pass
J. Bowen
J. Bowen
M · West
7.20
1 👟
· 17 pass
J. Bruun Larsen
J. Bruun Larsen
M · Burnley
7.20
· 24 pass
M. Edwards
M. Edwards
M · Burnley
7.20
· 19 pass
Burnley Burnley — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Weiß G 96 6.20 — — — 29 24% — — —
Bashir Humphreys D 76 6.90 — — — 37 32% 1 — —
Max Alleyne D 96 6.70 — 1 — 68 60% — — —
K. Walker D 96 7.00 — — — 52 46% — — —
O. Sonne D 96 6.20 — — 1 18 17% 1 — —
U. Raghouber M 57 6.30 — — 1 19 14% — — —
H. Mejbri M 57 6.70 — — 1 18 13% 2 — —
J. Bruun Larsen M 82 7.20 — — — 24 20% — — —
A. Ramsey M 76 6.90 — — 3 22 20% 4 — —
M. Edwards M 96 7.20 — — — 19 15% — — —
Z. Flemming F 96 8.20 2 — 9 14 10% — — —
A. Broja F 20 6.90 — — — 8 8% 1 — —
J. Laurent M 39 6.70 — — 1 22 17% — — —
Lucas Pires D 20 6.20 — — — 12 7% — — —
M. Trésor F 14 6.70 — — — 6 3% 1 — —
Z. Amdouni F 39 6.50 — — 1 11 9% — — —
West Ham West Ham — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Hermansen G 96 7.00 — — — 37 28% — 1 —
O. Scarles D 87 6.90 — — — 38 32% 1 — —
M. Kilman D 96 7.30 1 — 1 60 55% — — —
K. Mavropanos D 96 6.90 — — 1 85 73% 1 — —
K. Walker-Peters D 96 6.20 — — — 49 45% 1 — —
M. Solomon M 89 7.60 1 — 2 25 23% 1 — —
M. Kanté M 96 6.20 — — — 45 38% 1 1 —
L. Orford M 96 6.90 — — — 54 47% 1 — —
J. Bowen M 96 7.20 — 1 — 17 15% 2 — —
V. Castellanos F 96 6.60 — — 1 19 16% 1 1 —
Pablo F 45 6.30 — — — 16 14% — — —
E. Diouf D 9 6.20 — — — 1 1% — 1 —
J. Veltman D 7 — — — — — — — — —
J. Ward-Prowse M 51 6.90 — — — 12 10% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Burnley vs West Ham?
The final score was Burnley 2–2 West Ham.
What did the model predict before Burnley vs West Ham?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Burnley win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an West Ham win.