Z. Flemming
(ast. L. Tchaouna)
47'
(pen.)
5'
A. Armstrong
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Burnley a 38% win probability (draw 30%, Wolves 31%). The final result was Burnley 1–1 Wolves. In 1 previous meetings, Burnley have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Wolves.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
8
Shots on target
4
1.06
Actual xG
2.05
3
Saves
7
70%
Possession
30%
7
Corners
7
8
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
5'
(pen.)
A. Armstrong⚽
41'
Hwang Hee-Chan
H. Mejbri
45'+9
⚽Z. Flemming
· ast. L. Tchaouna
47'
66'
Toti
/
L. Krejci
H. Mejbri
/ Z. Amdouni
66'
66'
T. Arokodare
/
A. Gomes
74'
H. Bueno
/
D. M. Wolfe
74'
J. Abbey
/
A. Armstrong
L. Ugochukwu
/ J. Ward-Prowse
75'
L. Tchaouna
/ M. Edwards
75'
82'
Pedro Lima
/
R. Gomes
Z. Flemming
/ A. Barnes
84'
J. Anthony
/ J. Bruun Larsen
84'
A. Barnes
90'+4
90'+4
Y. Mosquera
Pre-match prediction
38.82%
Burnley
30.06%
X ←
31.12%
Wolves
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.06%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.01
1.06
+0.05
0.90
2.05
+1.15
Wolves dominated by xG (2.05 vs 1.06).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
M. Weiß
G
M. Weiß
G
23
Lucas Pires
D
Lucas Pires
D
12
Bashir Humphreys
D
Bashir Humphreys
D
6
A. Tuanzebe
D
A. Tuanzebe
D
2
K. Walker
D
K. Walker
D
8
L. Ugochukwu
75'
M
L. Ugochukwu
75'
M
16
Florentino
M
Florentino
M
11
J. Anthony
85'
M
J. Anthony
85'
M
28
H. Mejbri
66'
M
H. Mejbri
66'
M
17
L. Tchaouna
1 👟
75'
M
L. Tchaouna
1 👟
75'
M
19
Z. Flemming
1 ⚽
84'
F
Z. Flemming
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
35
Ashley Barnes
14'
F
Ashley Barnes
14'
F
14
C. Roberts
D
C. Roberts
D
18
H. Ekdal
D
H. Ekdal
D
7
J. Bruun Larsen
13'
F
J. Bruun Larsen
13'
F
29
J. Laurent
M
J. Laurent
M
20
J. Ward-Prowse
15'
M
J. Ward-Prowse
15'
M
1
M. Dúbravka
G
M. Dúbravka
G
10
M. Edwards
15'
F
M. Edwards
15'
F
25
Z. Amdouni
24'
F
Z. Amdouni
24'
F
1
José Sá
G
José Sá
G
37
L. Krejčí
66'
D
L. Krejčí
66'
D
4
S. Bueno
D
S. Bueno
D
15
Yerson Mosquera
D
Yerson Mosquera
D
6
D. Møller Wolfe
74'
M
D. Møller Wolfe
74'
M
47
A. Gomes
66'
M
A. Gomes
66'
M
7
André
M
André
M
21
Rodrigo Gomes
82'
M
Rodrigo Gomes
82'
M
11
Hwang Hee-Chan
F
Hwang Hee-Chan
F
36
M. Mane
F
M. Mane
F
9
A. Armstrong
1 ⚽
74'
F
A. Armstrong
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
25
D. Bentley
G
D. Bentley
G
60
Ethan Sutherland
M
Ethan Sutherland
M
3
Hugo Bueno
16'
D
Hugo Bueno
16'
D
50
Jerome Abbey
16'
M
Jerome Abbey
16'
M
38
J. Tchatchoua
D
J. Tchatchoua
D
17
Pedro Lima
8'
D
Pedro Lima
8'
D
14
T. Arokodare
24'
F
T. Arokodare
24'
F
74
Tom Edozie
F
Tom Edozie
F
24
Toti Gomes
24'
D
Toti Gomes
24'
D
Best on the pitch
M. Weiß
G · Burnley
8.50
· 35 pass
M. Mane
F · Wolves
8.30
3 shots
· 16 pass
Z. Flemming
F · Burnley
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
H. Mejbri
M · Burnley
7.70
1 shots
· 43 pass
Florentino
M · Burnley
7.30
1 shots
· 59 pass
José Sá
G · Wolves
7.30
· 22 pass
Burnley — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Weiß | G | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Pires | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 52 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Bashir Humphreys | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 53% | — | — | — |
| A. Tuanzebe | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Walker | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 79 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Ugochukwu | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Florentino | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 51% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Anthony | M | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 42% | — | — | — |
| H. Mejbri | M | 66 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Tchaouna | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Z. Flemming | F | 84 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Ashley Barnes | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Bruun Larsen | F | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| J. Ward-Prowse | M | 15 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M. Edwards | F | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Z. Amdouni | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Wolves — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Sá | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Krejčí | D | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Bueno | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Yerson Mosquera | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 7% | 3 | 1 | — |
| D. Møller Wolfe | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Gomes | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| André | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Gomes | M | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Hwang Hee-Chan | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Mane | F | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Armstrong | F | 74 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Hugo Bueno | D | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jerome Abbey | M | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Lima | D | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Arokodare | F | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Toti Gomes | D | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Burnley vs Wolves?
The final score was Burnley 1–1 Wolves.
What did the model predict before Burnley vs Wolves?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Burnley win, 30% to a draw, and 31% to an Wolves win.