Z. Flemming
(ast. L. Tchaouna)
47'
(pen.)
5'
A. Armstrong
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Burnley a 38% win probability (draw 30%, Wolves 31%). The final result was Burnley 1–1 Wolves. In 1 previous meetings, Burnley have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Wolves.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
9
8
Shots on target
4
1.06
Actual xG
2.05
3
Saves
7
70%
Possession
30%
7
Corners
7
8
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
5'
(pen.)
A. Armstrong⚽
41'
Hwang Hee-Chan
H. Mejbri
45'+9
⚽Z. Flemming
· ast. L. Tchaouna
47'
66'
Toti
/
L. Krejci
H. Mejbri
/ Z. Amdouni
66'
66'
T. Arokodare
/
A. Gomes
74'
H. Bueno
/
D. M. Wolfe
74'
J. Abbey
/
A. Armstrong
L. Ugochukwu
/ J. Ward-Prowse
75'
L. Tchaouna
/ M. Edwards
75'
82'
Pedro Lima
/
R. Gomes
Z. Flemming
/ A. Barnes
84'
J. Anthony
/ J. Bruun Larsen
84'
A. Barnes
90'+4
90'+4
Y. Mosquera
Pre-match prediction
38.82%
Burnley
30.06%
X ←
31.12%
Wolves
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.06%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.01
1.06
+0.05
0.90
2.05
+1.15
Wolves dominated by xG (2.05 vs 1.06).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
Max Weiss
G
Max Weiss
G
23
Lucas Pires
D
Lucas Pires
D
12
Bashir Humphreys
D
Bashir Humphreys
D
6
A. Tuanzebe
D
A. Tuanzebe
D
2
K. Walker
D
K. Walker
D
8
Lesley Ugochukwu
75'
M
Lesley Ugochukwu
75'
M
16
Florentino Luís
M
Florentino Luís
M
11
Jaidon Anthony
85'
M
Jaidon Anthony
85'
M
28
H. Mejbri
66'
M
H. Mejbri
66'
M
17
Loum Tchaouna
1 👟
75'
M
Loum Tchaouna
1 👟
75'
M
19
Z. Flemming
1 ⚽
84'
F
Z. Flemming
1 ⚽
84'
F
Bench
35
Ashley Barnes
14'
F
Ashley Barnes
14'
F
14
Connor Roberts
D
Connor Roberts
D
18
Hjalmar Ekdal
D
Hjalmar Ekdal
D
7
Jacob Bruun Larsen
13'
F
Jacob Bruun Larsen
13'
F
20
James Ward-Prowse
15'
M
James Ward-Prowse
15'
M
29
J. Laurent
M
J. Laurent
M
10
Marcus Edwards
15'
F
Marcus Edwards
15'
F
1
Martin Dúbravka
G
Martin Dúbravka
G
25
Z. Amdouni
24'
F
Z. Amdouni
24'
F
1
José Sá
G
José Sá
G
37
Ladislav Krejčí
66'
D
Ladislav Krejčí
66'
D
4
Santiago Bueno
D
Santiago Bueno
D
15
Y. Mosquera
D
Y. Mosquera
D
6
David Møller Wolfe
74'
M
David Møller Wolfe
74'
M
47
Angel Gomes
66'
M
Angel Gomes
66'
M
7
André
M
André
M
21
Rodrigo Gomes
82'
M
Rodrigo Gomes
82'
M
11
Hwang Hee-chan
F
Hwang Hee-chan
F
36
Mateus Mané
F
Mateus Mané
F
9
A. Armstrong
1 ⚽
74'
F
A. Armstrong
1 ⚽
74'
F
Bench
25
Daniel Bentley
G
Daniel Bentley
G
60
Ethan Sutherland
M
Ethan Sutherland
M
3
Hugo Bueno
16'
D
Hugo Bueno
16'
D
38
Jackson Tchatchoua
D
Jackson Tchatchoua
D
50
Jerome Abbey
16'
M
Jerome Abbey
16'
M
17
Pedro Lima
8'
D
Pedro Lima
8'
D
14
T. Arokodare
24'
F
T. Arokodare
24'
F
74
Tom Edozie
F
Tom Edozie
F
24
Toti Gomes
24'
D
Toti Gomes
24'
D
Best on the pitch
Max Weiss
G · Burnley
8.50
· 35 pass
Mateus Mané
F · Wolves
8.30
3 shots
· 16 pass
Z. Flemming
F · Burnley
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
H. Mejbri
M · Burnley
7.70
1 shots
· 43 pass
Florentino Luís
M · Burnley
7.30
1 shots
· 59 pass
José Sá
G · Wolves
7.30
· 22 pass
Burnley — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Weiss | G | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Pires | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 52 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Bashir Humphreys | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 60 | 53% | — | — | — |
| A. Tuanzebe | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Walker | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 79 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| Lesley Ugochukwu | M | 75 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 31% | — | — | — |
| Florentino Luís | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 51% | 4 | — | — |
| Jaidon Anthony | M | 85 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 42% | — | — | — |
| H. Mejbri | M | 66 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 32% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Loum Tchaouna | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Z. Flemming | F | 84 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Ashley Barnes | F | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
| Jacob Bruun Larsen | F | 13 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| James Ward-Prowse | M | 15 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 20 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Marcus Edwards | F | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Z. Amdouni | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Wolves — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Sá | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Ladislav Krejčí | D | 66 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Bueno | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Y. Mosquera | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 7% | 3 | 1 | — |
| David Møller Wolfe | M | 74 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Angel Gomes | M | 66 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| André | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Gomes | M | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Hwang Hee-chan | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mateus Mané | F | 90 | 8.30 | — | — | 3 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Armstrong | F | 74 | 6.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Hugo Bueno | D | 16 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Jerome Abbey | M | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Lima | D | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Arokodare | F | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Toti Gomes | D | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Burnley vs Wolves?
The final score was Burnley 1–1 Wolves.
What did the model predict before Burnley vs Wolves?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Burnley win, 30% to a draw, and 31% to an Wolves win.