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Burton Albion - AFC Rushden & Diamonds

FA Cup November 07, 2026 16:00
Burton Albion
vs
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.75%
Win
Burton Albion
31.39%
Draw
37.86%
Win
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
0.84
Expected xG
1.41

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.05%)
1X2 Result
1 31%
X 31%
2 38%
Double Chance
1X 62%
X2 69%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 55%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives AFC Rushden & Diamonds a 37% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Burton Albion. Expected goals are 0.8 for Burton Albion and 1.4 for AFC Rushden & Diamonds (total 2.2), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.05% probability.

Season Stats

Burton Albion
3W 0D 1L
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
4W 0D 1L
Averages per game
3.5
Goals
2.0
0.5
Conceded
0.8
5.7
Shots OT
8.0
5.3
Corners
4.0
48%
Poss.
37%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
80%
75%
O 2.5
80%
25%
BTTS
60%
50%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
Burton Albion
1W 0D 1L · at home
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
1W 0D 0L · away
3.0
gls/g
3.0
0.5
Conceded
0.0
50%
Win %
100%
50%
Win or Draw
100%
50%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
0%
0%
BTTS
0%
50%
Clean Sht
100%
50%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Burton Albion AFC Rushden & Diamonds →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6% 14.9% 10.5% 4.9% 1.7% 0.5%
1 8.9% 12.5% 8.8% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
2 3.7% 5.2% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%
3 1.0% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% —
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — —
5 — 0.1% — — — —

Recent form

Burton Albion Burton Albion
L West Ham 0–1
W Boreham Wood 0–5
W Brackley Town 1–3
W St Albans City 6–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 21%
AFC Rushden & Diamonds AFC Rushden & Diamonds
W Morecambe 2–1
W Braintree 2–1
W Peterborough Sports 3–1
W Desborough Town 0–3
L Grimsby Borough 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 37%

Playing profile

Burton Albion Burton Albion
Attack
32
Defence
59
Form
48
AFC Rushden & Diamonds AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Attack
58
Defence
64
Form
75
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?
The model gives Burton Albion a 30% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 37% for an AFC Rushden & Diamonds win.
How many goals are expected in Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?
Expected goals: Burton Albion 0.8, AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1.4 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Burton Albion vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.05%.