League One
· Regular Season - 45
April 25, 2026 16:00
J. Moon
(ast. U. Godwin-Malife)
61'
14'
I. Niskanen
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Burton Albion a 57% win probability (draw 24%, Exeter City 17%). The final result was Burton Albion 1–1 Exeter City. In 1 previous meetings, Burton Albion have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Exeter City.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
4
51%
Possession
49%
3
Corners
1
9
Tackles
13
Match Events
14'
I. Niskanen⚽
46'
J. Aitchison
/
R. Cole
K. Chauke
/ G. Evans
49'
⚽J. Moon
· ast. U. Godwin-Malife
61'
71'
J. Magennis
/
K. McDonald
A. Cannon
/ J. J. McKiernan
71'
75'
C. Mendes
/
T. Tuterov
79'
L. Woodhouse
/
E. James
79'
R. Rydel
/
D. Andrew
88'
L. Woodhouse
C. Webster
/ T. Sibbick
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
57.72%
Burton
24.92%
X ←
17.36%
Exeter
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.92%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.60
—
—
0.65
—
—
Lineups
24
B. Collins
82'
G
16
A. Hartridge
82'
D
18
J. Moon
1 ⚽
82'
D
2
1 👟
82'
D
3
J. Armer
82'
M
4
K. Chauke
49'
M
8
Charlie Webster
82'
M
15
K. Lofthouse
82'
M
K. Lofthouse
82'
M
42
A. Cannon
71'
F
10
T. Shade
82'
F
T. Shade
82'
F
9
J. Beesley
82'
F
J. Beesley
82'
F
Bench
11
F. Tavares
F
12
G. Evans
33'
M
7
J. J. McKiernan
11'
M
41
S. Krubally
F
23
J. Bycroft
82'
G
21
D. Andrew
79'
D
26
82'
D
40
E. James
79'
D
2
82'
D
29
K. McDonald
71'
M
45
C. Cummins
82'
M
C. Cummins
82'
M
28
74'
M
12
R. Cole
45'
M
14
I. Niskanen
1 ⚽
82'
M
I. Niskanen
1 ⚽
82'
M
9
J. Wareham
82'
F
J. Wareham
82'
F
Bench
7
C. Mendes
8'
F
6
E. Brierley
M
10
J. Aitchison
37'
F
27
Josh Magennis
11'
F
Josh Magennis
11'
F
20
L. Woodhouse
3'
M
3
R. Rydel
3'
D
Best on the pitch
J. Moon
D · Burton
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 29 pass
I. Niskanen
M · Exeter
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
E. James
D · Exeter
7.30
1 shots
· 31 pass
J. Bycroft
G · Exeter
7.20
· 35 pass
D · Burton
7.00
1 👟
· 36 pass
K. McDonald
M · Exeter
7.00
· 39 pass
Burton Albion — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Collins | G | 82 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 13% | — | — | — |
| A. Hartridge | D | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 34% | — | — | — |
| J. Moon | D | 82 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 82 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 36 | 31% | — | — | — | |
| J. Armer | M | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Chauke | M | 49 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Charlie Webster | M | 82 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 22 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Lofthouse | M | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Cannon | F | 71 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| T. Shade | F | 82 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Beesley | F | 82 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Evans | M | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| J. J. McKiernan | M | 11 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Exeter City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Bycroft | G | 82 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 35 | 13% | — | — | — |
| D. Andrew | D | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| E. James | D | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| D | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 28 | 19% | 4 | — | — | |
| K. McDonald | M | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Cummins | M | 82 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 26 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 74 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 2 | — | — | |
| R. Cole | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| I. Niskanen | M | 82 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| J. Wareham | F | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Mendes | F | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Aitchison | F | 37 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Josh Magennis | F | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Woodhouse | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Rydel | D | 3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Exeter City?
The final score was Burton Albion 1–1 Exeter City.
What did the model predict before Burton Albion vs Exeter City?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Burton Albion win, 24% to a draw, and 17% to an Exeter City win.