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League One · Regular Season - 13 October 24, 2026 16:00 Pirelli Stadium, Burton upon Trent
Burton Albion
#12 · 17 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Leyton Orient
#16 · 14 pts
Kgagelo Chauke (ast. Caylon Vickers) 56'
Will Collar (ast. Caylon Vickers) 86'
33' Alexander George Henry Gilbert
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Leyton Orient a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Burton Albion 31%). The final result was Burton Albion 2–1 Leyton Orient. In 2 previous meetings, Burton Albion have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Leyton Orient.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
12
7
Shots on target
2
1.12
Actual xG
0.75
1
Saves
5
52%
Possession
48%
9
Corners
4
18
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
M. O’Mahony
32'
33'
Alexander George Henry Gilbert⚽
⚽Kgagelo Chauke · ast. Caylon Vickers
56'
↕ M. O’Mahony / Gbemi Arubi
58'
63'
Phillip Chinedu / James Morris ↕
64'
Aaron Connolly / Dane Scarlett ↕
73'
Armando Dobra / Isaac Hayden ↕
↕ H. Araujo / Emeka Adeile
77'
80'
Oliver O'Neill / Jaze Kabia ↕
⚽Will Collar · ast. Caylon Vickers
86'
Pre-match prediction
31.22%
Burton ←
31.55%
X
37.23%
Leyton
we assigned to the actual result (Burton Albion) 31.22% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Burton
0.78
1.12
+0.34
Leyton
1.02
0.75
-0.27
Burton Albion dominated by xG (1.12 vs 0.75). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Huddersfield Huddersfield 12 25
2 Stockport County Stockport County 13 23
3 Oxford United Oxford United 11 22
4 Bradford Bradford 12 22
5 Plymouth Plymouth 13 22
6 Reading Reading 12 21
7 Cambridge United Cambridge United 13 21
8 Luton Luton 12 20
9 Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday 12 19
10 Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 11 18
11 Leicester Leicester 12 18
12 Burton Albion Burton Albion 13 17
13 Stevenage Stevenage 11 15
14 Milton Keynes Dons Milton Keynes Dons 12 15
15 Wycombe Wycombe 12 15
16 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 12 14
17 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 12 13
18 Doncaster Doncaster 12 12
19 Notts County Notts County 11 11
20 Blackpool Blackpool 11 11
21 Peterborough Peterborough 12 10
22 Bromley Bromley 12 9
23 Barnsley Barnsley 11 8
24 Wigan Wigan 12 7
Lineups
Burton Albion Burton Albion 3-4-2-1
34 C. Addai C. Addai G 6.39
20 J. Sraha J. Sraha D 6.09
16 C. Tilt C. Tilt D 6.98
6 T. Sibbick T. Sibbick D 6.12
24 Harvey Araujo Harvey Araujo 77' M 6.25
4 K. Chauke K. Chauke 1 ⚽ M 7.78
14 W. Collar W. Collar 1 ⚽ M 8.20
17 R. Borges Rodrigues R. Borges Rodrigues M 6.23
8 C. Webster C. Webster M 6.47
18
M 0.00
10 Mark O’Mahony Mark O’Mahony 58' F 6.44
Bench
23 Emeka Adeile Emeka Adeile 13' D 6.30
9 G. Arubi G. Arubi 32' F 6.51
32 J. Kean J. Kean G 0.00
19 M. Dennis M. Dennis F 0.00
40 Zac Scutt Zac Scutt F 0.00
Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 3-4-2-1
1 N. Baxter N. Baxter G 6.78
12 A. Gilchrist A. Gilchrist D 5.61
6 W. Forrester W. Forrester D 6.94
2 F. Stevens F. Stevens D 6.21
3 J. Morris J. Morris 63' M 5.95
8 I. El Mizouni I. El Mizouni M 6.17
20 A. Gilbert A. Gilbert 1 ⚽ M 7.12
14 I. Hayden I. Hayden 73' M 6.37
9 J. Kabia J. Kabia 80' M 6.41
25 Charlie Gerard Richard Wellens Charlie Gerard Richard Wellens M 6.46
18 D. Scarlett D. Scarlett 64' F 6.08
Bench
10 A. Connolly A. Connolly 26' F 6.68
17 A. Dobra A. Dobra 17' F 6.58
13 Noah Phillips Noah Phillips G 0.00
7 O. O'Neill O. O'Neill 10' M 5.85
34 P. Chinedu P. Chinedu 27' D 6.28
27 T. Springett T. Springett F 0.00
22 Y. Akhamrich Y. Akhamrich F 0.00
Best on the pitch
W. Collar
W. Collar
M · Burton
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 37 pass
K. Chauke
K. Chauke
M · Burton
7.78
1 ⚽
1 shots · 44 pass
A. Gilbert
A. Gilbert
M · Leyton
7.12
1 ⚽
2 shots · 52 pass
C. Tilt
C. Tilt
D · Burton
6.98
· 61 pass
W. Forrester
W. Forrester
D · Leyton
6.94
1 shots · 54 pass
N. Baxter
N. Baxter
G · Leyton
6.78
· 32 pass
Burton Albion Burton Albion — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Addai G 90 6.39 — — 0 46 29% 0 — —
J. Sraha D 90 6.09 — — 1 38 23% 4 — —
C. Tilt D 90 6.98 — — 0 61 46% 3 — —
T. Sibbick D 90 6.12 — — 2 49 34% 3 — —
Harvey Araujo M 77 6.25 — — 2 20 14% 0 — —
K. Chauke M 90 7.78 1 — 1 44 36% 1 — —
W. Collar M 90 8.20 1 — 1 37 32% 2 — —
R. Borges Rodrigues M 90 6.23 — — 1 33 27% 2 — —
C. Webster M 90 6.47 — — 4 32 24% 1 — —
M 0 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Mark O’Mahony F 58 6.44 — — 1 10 4% 1 1 —
Emeka Adeile D 13 6.30 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
G. Arubi F 32 6.51 — — 0 9 6% 1 — —
Leyton Orient Leyton Orient — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
N. Baxter G 90 6.78 — — 0 32 13% 0 — —
A. Gilchrist D 90 5.61 — — 0 35 20% 1 — —
W. Forrester D 90 6.94 — — 1 54 47% 0 — —
F. Stevens D 90 6.21 — — 0 58 47% 1 — —
J. Morris M 63 5.95 — — 0 16 8% 1 — —
I. El Mizouni M 90 6.17 — — 2 51 37% 4 — —
A. Gilbert M 90 7.12 1 — 2 52 38% 0 — —
I. Hayden M 73 6.37 — — 1 38 32% 4 — —
J. Kabia M 80 6.41 — — 1 12 7% 4 — —
Charlie Gerard Richard Wellens M 90 6.46 — — 1 23 18% 1 — —
D. Scarlett F 64 6.08 — — 2 6 4% 0 — —
A. Connolly F 26 6.68 — — 2 2 2% 0 — —
A. Dobra F 17 6.58 — — 0 4 2% 2 — —
O. O'Neill M 10 5.85 — — 0 6 4% 0 — —
P. Chinedu D 27 6.28 — — 0 8 4% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient?
The final score was Burton Albion 2–1 Leyton Orient.
What did the model predict before Burton Albion vs Leyton Orient?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Burton Albion win, 31% to a draw, and 37% to an Leyton Orient win.