J. Armer
(ast. S. Krubally)
74'
90'+1
(ast. J. Magennis)
O. Sanderson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Burton Albion a 33% win probability (draw 33%, Stevenage 33%). The final result was Burton Albion 1–1 Stevenage. In 2 previous meetings, Burton Albion have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Stevenage.
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
3
0.94
Actual xG
0.51
52%
Possession
48%
2
Corners
0
Match Events
60'
J. Magennis
/
P. Patterson
C. Webster
/ W. Collar
72'
⚽J. Armer
· ast. S. Krubally
74'
75'
S. Earley
/
J. Roberts
75'
T. Taylor
/
T. Vancooten
84'
J. Houghton
/
L. Thompson
84'
O. Sanderson
/
J. Reid
90'+1
ast. J. Magennis ·
O. Sanderson⚽
S. Krubally
/ Z. Scutt
90'
Pre-match prediction
33.92%
Burton
33.0%
X ←
33.08%
Stevenage
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
33.0%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.02
0.94
-0.07
0.72
0.51
-0.21
Burton Albion dominated by xG (0.94 vs 0.51).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Stevenage?
The final score was Burton Albion 1–1 Stevenage.
What did the model predict before Burton Albion vs Stevenage?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Burton Albion win, 33% to a draw, and 33% to an Stevenage win.