Burundi - Algeria
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 29, 2026 15:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.45%
Win
Burundi
29.44%
Draw
31.1%
Win
Algeria
2.07
1.52
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.71%)
1X2 Result
1
39%
X
29%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
61%
12
71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Burundi a 39% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Algeria. Expected goals are 2.1 for Burundi and 1.5 for Algeria (total 3.6), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.71% probability.
Score Matrix
↕ Burundi
Algeria →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Playing profile
Burundi
Attack
58
Defence
58
Form
69
Algeria
Attack
44
Defence
69
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Burundi vs Algeria?
The model gives Burundi a 39% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 31% for an Algeria win.
How many goals are expected in Burundi vs Algeria?
Expected goals: Burundi 2.1, Algeria 1.5 (total 3.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Burundi vs Algeria?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.71%.