Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
· Group Stage - 2
September 29, 2026 15:00
Fares Chaibi
5'
(og)
J. Girumugisha
12'
30'
Mohamed Belloumi
63'
Adil Boulbina
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Burundi a 37% win probability (draw 27%, Algeria 35%). The final result was Burundi 2–2 Algeria.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
3
1
Saves
2
30%
Possession
70%
6
Corners
2
9
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Fares Chaibi
(og)
5'
⚽J. Girumugisha
12'
H. Msanga
18'
30'
Mohamed Belloumi⚽
45'+4
Adem Zorgane
/
Himad Abdelli
45'
Mohamed Belloumi
63'
Adil Boulbina⚽
64'
Mohamed Amoura
/
Adil Boulbina
64'
Monsef Bakrar
/
Mohamed Belloumi
Asman ndikumana
/ Bonfils-Caleb Bimenyimana
65'
Mossi Nduwumwe
/ Abdoul Karim Mpawenimana
65'
65'
Adil Aouchiche
/
Fares Chaibi
73'
Ilan Kebbal
/
Amin Chiakha
Mokono Elie Eldhino
/ Mohamed Amissi
74'
Bienvenue Kanakimana
/ Emmanuel swedi
85'
90'+3
Ilan Kebbal
Pre-match prediction
37.56%
Burundi
27.39%
X ←
35.06%
Algeria
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
27.39%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.04
—
—
1.63
—
—
Lineups
1
J. Nahimana
G
J. Nahimana
G
4
D
22
C. Nduwarugira
D
C. Nduwarugira
D
19
F. Nsabiyumva
D
F. Nsabiyumva
D
14
Y. Ndayishimiye
D
Y. Ndayishimiye
D
20
B. Kanakimana
85'
D
B. Kanakimana
85'
D
7
M
5
M
8
M
18
M
21
F
Bench
12
B. Bimenyimana
25'
F
B. Bimenyimana
25'
F
13
D. Mukombozi
D
D. Mukombozi
D
16
E. Swedi
5'
M
E. Swedi
5'
M
11
M. Amissi
16'
F
M. Amissi
16'
F
9
S. Abdallah
F
S. Abdallah
F
10
S. Ntibazonkiza
F
S. Ntibazonkiza
F
1
M. Mastil
G
M. Mastil
G
13
J. Hadjam
D
J. Hadjam
D
21
R. Bensebaïni
D
R. Bensebaïni
D
3
Achref Abada
D
19
D
10
F. Chaïbi
1 ⚽
65'
M
F. Chaïbi
1 ⚽
65'
M
17
H. Abdelli
44'
M
H. Abdelli
44'
M
18
A. Boulbina
1 ⚽
64'
M
A. Boulbina
1 ⚽
64'
M
30
I. Maza
M
I. Maza
M
20
M. Belloumi
1 ⚽
64'
M
M. Belloumi
1 ⚽
64'
M
12
Amin Chiakha
73'
F
Amin Chiakha
73'
F
Bench
14
A. Aouchiche
25'
M
A. Aouchiche
25'
M
23
Abdelatif Ramdane
G
6
Adem Zorgane
46'
M
Adem Zorgane
46'
M
26
Adil Bourabaa
M
7
A. Hadj-Moussa
F
A. Hadj-Moussa
F
4
A. Touba
D
A. Touba
D
24
I. Kebbal
17'
M
I. Kebbal
17'
M
11
M. Amoura
26'
F
M. Amoura
26'
F
22
M. Bakrar
26'
F
M. Bakrar
26'
F
2
S. Chergui
D
S. Chergui
D
25
S. Nair
D
S. Nair
D
5
Z. Belaïd
D
Z. Belaïd
D
Best on the pitch
M. Belloumi
M · Algeria
7.78
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 29 pass
A. Boulbina
M · Algeria
7.27
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 24 pass
Adem Zorgane
M · Algeria
7.06
1 shots
· 48 pass
Achref Abada
D · Algeria
6.98
· 87 pass
R. Bensebaïni
D · Algeria
6.97
· 93 pass
J. Hadjam
D · Algeria
6.93
1 shots
· 49 pass
Burundi — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nahimana | G | 90 | 6.27 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.83 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 55% | 1 | — | — | |
| C. Nduwarugira | D | 90 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Nsabiyumva | D | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Ndayishimiye | D | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 29% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Kanakimana | D | 85 | 6.07 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.83 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 55% | 1 | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 6.83 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 55% | 1 | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 6.83 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 55% | 1 | — | — | |
| M | 90 | 6.83 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 55% | 1 | — | — | |
| F | 90 | 6.83 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 55% | 1 | — | — | |
| B. Bimenyimana | F | 25 | 6.39 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Swedi | M | 5 | 6.19 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Amissi | F | 16 | 6.51 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Algeria — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mastil | G | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Hadjam | D | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 43% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Bensebaïni | D | 90 | 6.97 | — | — | 0 | 93 | 83% | 0 | — | — |
| Achref Abada | D | 90 | 6.98 | — | — | 0 | 87 | 81% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.83 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 55% | 1 | — | — | |
| F. Chaïbi | M | 65 | 6.40 | 1 | — | 0 | 52 | 48% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Abdelli | M | 44 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Boulbina | M | 64 | 7.27 | 1 | — | 2 | 24 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Maza | M | 90 | 6.28 | — | — | 3 | 38 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Belloumi | M | 64 | 7.78 | 1 | — | 2 | 29 | 24% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Amin Chiakha | F | 73 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Aouchiche | M | 25 | 5.91 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Adem Zorgane | M | 46 | 7.06 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Kebbal | M | 17 | 5.77 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 11% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Amoura | F | 26 | 6.73 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Bakrar | F | 26 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Burundi vs Algeria?
The final score was Burundi 2–2 Algeria.
What did the model predict before Burundi vs Algeria?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Burundi win, 27% to a draw, and 35% to an Algeria win.