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Bury Town - Spalding United

FA Cup October 03, 2026 16:00
Bury Town
vs
Spalding United
⚡ Pre-match analysis
39.49%
Win
Bury Town
28.57%
Draw
31.94%
Win
Spalding United
3.69
Expected xG
2.69

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.31%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 29%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 61%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 61%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bury Town a 39% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Spalding United. Expected goals are 3.7 for Bury Town and 2.7 for Spalding United (total 6.4), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.31% probability.

Season Stats

Bury Town
3W 1D 1L
Spalding United
4W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.4
Goals
1.8
1.8
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
100%
60%
O 2.5
80%
80%
BTTS
40%
0%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Bury Town
0W 1D 0L · at home
Spalding United
1W 0D 1L · away
1.0
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
2.5
0%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Bury Town Spalding United →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2%
1 0.6% 1.7% 2.3% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7%
2 1.2% 3.1% 4.2% 3.7% 2.5% 1.3%
3 1.4% 3.8% 5.1% 4.6% 3.1% 1.7%
4 1.3% 3.5% 4.7% 4.2% 2.9% 1.5%
5 1.0% 2.6% 3.5% 3.1% 2.1% 1.1%

Recent form

Bury Town Bury Town
W Gorleston 3–4
W London Lions 2–4
L Woodford Town 1–0
D Woodford Town 1–1
W Brightlingsea Regent 2–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 23%
Spalding United Spalding United
W Hanley Town 2–0
L South Shields 4–0
W Dagenham & Redbridge 2–1
W Alfreton Town 3–0
W Ilkeston Town 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Bury Town Bury Town
Attack
90
Defence
44
Form
63
Spalding United Spalding United
Attack
42
Defence
84
Form
66
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bury Town vs Spalding United?
The model gives Bury Town a 39% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 31% for an Spalding United win.
How many goals are expected in Bury Town vs Spalding United?
Expected goals: Bury Town 3.7, Spalding United 2.7 (total 6.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Bury Town vs Spalding United?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.31%.