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Buxton - Ashton United

FA Cup September 19, 2026 16:00
Buxton
vs
Ashton United
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.23%
Win
Buxton
29.15%
Draw
35.62%
Win
Ashton United
2.6
Expected xG
2.69

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (8.34%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 29%
2 36%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 65%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 61%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Buxton a 35% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Ashton United. Expected goals are 2.6 for Buxton and 2.7 for Ashton United (total 5.3), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 8.34% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Buxton have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Ashton United.

Season Stats

Buxton
4W 0D 1L
Ashton United
3W 2D 1L
Averages per game
2.2
Goals
2.2
1.8
Conceded
1.2
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
100%
80%
O 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
67%
40%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
34%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
Buxton
2W 0D 0L · at home
Ashton United
1W 2D 0L · away
2.5
gls/g
2.7
0.5
Conceded
1.7
100%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
67%
0%
O 3.5
67%
50%
BTTS
100%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Buxton Ashton United →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.5% 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6%
1 1.3% 3.5% 4.7% 4.3% 2.9% 1.5%
2 1.7% 4.6% 6.2% 5.5% 3.7% 2.0%
3 1.5% 4.0% 5.3% 4.8% 3.2% 1.7%
4 1.0% 2.6% 3.5% 3.1% 2.1% 1.1%
5 0.5% 1.3% 1.8% 1.6% 1.1% 0.6%

Recent form

Buxton Buxton
L Cheltenham 6–2
W Chatham Town 2–1
W Runcorn Linnets 0–1
W Marine 2–3
W Redditch United 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
Ashton United Ashton United
W Whitby Town 2–5
L Runcorn Linnets 1–2
D Runcorn Linnets 1–1
W Scarborough Athletic 2–0
W Hallam 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 18%

Playing profile

Buxton Buxton
Attack
44
Defence
59
Form
61
Ashton United Ashton United
Attack
58
Defence
58
Form
61
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Buxton
0
Draw
0
Ashton United
10 Jul 2026 Friendlies Clubs 1–0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Buxton vs Ashton United?
The model gives Buxton a 35% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 35% for an Ashton United win.
How many goals are expected in Buxton vs Ashton United?
Expected goals: Buxton 2.6, Ashton United 2.7 (total 5.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Buxton vs Ashton United?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.34%.