Buxton - South Shields
FA Cup
October 03, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
47.05%
Win
Buxton
22.35%
Draw
30.6%
Win
South Shields
2.22
1.67
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(8.72%)
1X2 Result
1
47%
X
22%
2
31%
Double Chance
1X
69%
X2
53%
12
78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
91%
Over 2.5
75%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Buxton a 47% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 30% for South Shields. Expected goals are 2.2 for Buxton and 1.7 for South Shields (total 3.9), with a 90% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.72% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Buxton have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for South Shields.
Season Stats
5W
0D
1L
4W
0D
1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
3.6
1.5
Conceded
1.0
—
Shots OT
1.0
—
Corners
0.0
—
Poss.
71%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
67%
O 2.5
100%
50%
BTTS
60%
50%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ
Based on the last 6 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Buxton
South Shields →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 4.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 5.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Buxton
Attack
47
Defence
63
Form
65
South Shields
Attack
38
Defence
75
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Buxton vs South Shields?
The model gives Buxton a 47% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 30% for an South Shields win.
How many goals are expected in Buxton vs South Shields?
Expected goals: Buxton 2.2, South Shields 1.7 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 90%.
What is the most likely score in Buxton vs South Shields?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.72%.