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CA La Paz - Cruz Azul Hidalgo

Liga de Expansión MX August 22, 2026 05:00 Estadio Guaycura, La Paz
CA La Paz
#8 · 6 pts
vs
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
#15 · 2 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 27.5°C 💨 12 km/h · La Paz
⚡ Pre-match analysis
43.91%
Win
CA La Paz
29.74%
Draw
26.35%
Win
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1.88
Expected xG
0.4

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (10.93%)
1X2 Result
1 44%
X 30%
2 26%
Double Chance
1X 74%
X2 56%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 73%
Over 2.5 49%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives CA La Paz a 43% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Cruz Azul Hidalgo. Expected goals are 1.9 for CA La Paz and 0.4 for Cruz Azul Hidalgo (total 2.3), with a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 10.93% probability.

Season Stats

CA La Paz
5W 4D 6L
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
0W 2D 2L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
0.5
1.1
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
75%
40%
O 2.5
50%
47%
BTTS
50%
33%
Clean Sht
25%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga de Expansión MX. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
20%
BTTS
CA La Paz
5W 3D 2L · at home
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
0W 1D 1L · away
1.7
gls/g
0.0
0.7
Conceded
1.5
50%
Win %
0%
80%
Win or Draw
50%
80%
O 1.5
50%
40%
O 2.5
50%
20%
O 3.5
0%
40%
BTTS
0%
50%
Clean Sht
50%
10%
Failed to Score
100%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ CA La Paz Cruz Azul Hidalgo →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2% 4.1% 0.8% 0.1% — —
1 19.3% 7.7% 1.5% 0.2% — —
2 18.1% 7.2% 1.4% 0.2% — —
3 11.4% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1% — —
4 5.3% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% — —
5 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% — — —

Recent form

CA La Paz CA La Paz
W Piratas 2–0
W Tepatitlán 0–5
L Durango 0–1
L Monarcas 4–2
L CDS Tampico Madero 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 29%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Cruz Azul Hidalgo
L Monarcas 1–2
L CDS Tampico Madero 3–0
D Venados FC 1–1
D Tapatío 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

CA La Paz CA La Paz
Attack
40
Defence
68
Form
49
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Attack
13
Defence
61
Form
27
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Correcaminos Uat Correcaminos Uat 5 10
2 Venados FC Venados FC 5 10
3 Leones Negros UDG Leones Negros UDG 4 9
4 Monarcas Monarcas 5 9
5 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 4 8
6 Piratas Piratas 4 7
7 Tapatío Tapatío 4 7
8 CA La Paz CA La Paz 4 6
9 Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca 4 6
10 Durango Durango 4 6
11 Dorados Dorados 4 5
12 CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero 4 4
13 Cancún Cancún 3 3
14 Tepatitlán Tepatitlán 5 3
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo Cruz Azul Hidalgo 4 2
16 Tlaxcala Tlaxcala 5 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win CA La Paz vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo?
The model gives CA La Paz a 43% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 26% for an Cruz Azul Hidalgo win.
How many goals are expected in CA La Paz vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo?
Expected goals: CA La Paz 1.9, Cruz Azul Hidalgo 0.4 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 73%.
What is the most likely score in CA La Paz vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 10.93%.