CA La Paz - Tlaxcala
Weather at kick-off
☁️
Overcast
22.5°C
💨 5 km/h
· La Paz
⚡ Pre-match analysis
61.81%
Win
CA La Paz
18.96%
Draw
19.23%
Win
Tlaxcala
3.78
1.56
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
CA La Paz
61.81%
Probability
66.7%
1X2 accuracy · 18 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
3–1
(7.0%)
1X2 Result
1
62%
X
19%
2
19%
Double Chance
1X
81%
X2
38%
12
81%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
86%
Over 2.5
70%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives CA La Paz a 61% win probability, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Tlaxcala. Expected goals are 3.8 for CA La Paz and 1.6 for Tlaxcala (total 5.3), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 3–1 at 7.0% probability. In 4 previous meetings, CA La Paz have won 2 times, with 2 draws and 0 wins for Tlaxcala.
Season Stats
10W
3D
2L
6W
4D
5L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
1.8
0.9
Conceded
1.6
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
93%
73%
O 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
67%
33%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Liga de Expansión MX. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
35%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
4W
3D
3L
· at home
1W
5D
4L
· away
1.7
gls/g
1.1
1.0
Conceded
1.9
40%
Win %
10%
70%
Win or Draw
60%
90%
O 1.5
90%
60%
O 2.5
60%
20%
O 3.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%
30%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ CA La Paz
Tlaxcala →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 5 | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Recent form
Playing profile
CA La Paz
Attack
62
Defence
73
Form
70
Tlaxcala
Attack
46
Defence
68
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?
The model gives CA La Paz a 61% win probability, 18% for a draw, and 19% for an Tlaxcala win.
How many goals are expected in CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?
Expected goals: CA La Paz 3.8, Tlaxcala 1.6 (total 5.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in CA La Paz vs Tlaxcala?
3–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 7.0%.