National 1
· Regular Season - 4
August 27, 2026 20:45
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Caen a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Bastia 31%). The final result was Caen 0–1 Bastia.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
37.01%
Caen
31.65%
X
31.34%
Bastia ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bastia)
31.34%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.73
—
—
1.17
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Caen vs Bastia?
The final score was Caen 0–1 Bastia.
What did the model predict before Caen vs Bastia?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Caen win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Bastia win.