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Caerau (Ely) - Briton Ferry

Friendlies Clubs July 17, 2026 20:45
Caerau (Ely)
vs
Briton Ferry
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Caerau (Ely)
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Briton Ferry
1.57
Expected xG
0.89

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.85%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Caerau (Ely) a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Briton Ferry. Expected goals are 1.6 for Caerau (Ely) and 0.9 for Briton Ferry (total 2.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.85% probability.

Season Stats

Caerau (Ely)
2W 1D 1L
Briton Ferry
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
1.5
0.8
Conceded
3.0
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
100%
25%
O 2.5
100%
25%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 4 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
67%
O 3.5
42%
BTTS
Caerau (Ely)
2W 1D 0L · at home
Briton Ferry
1W 0D 1L · away
2.3
gls/g
1.5
0.3
Conceded
3.0
67%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
67%
O 1.5
100%
33%
O 2.5
100%
33%
O 3.5
100%
33%
BTTS
50%
67%
Clean Sht
0%
33%
Failed to Score
50%
last 3
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Caerau (Ely) Briton Ferry →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6% 7.6% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% —
1 13.5% 11.9% 5.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.4% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% —
3 5.5% 4.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% —
4 2.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely)
D Barnstaple Town 4–4
L Haverfordwest County AFC 2–1
L Evesham United 2–0
W Croesyceiliog AFC 5–1
D Cardiff Corinthians 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 51%
Briton Ferry Briton Ferry
L Merthyr Town 3–0
W Carmarthen Town 2–3
L Oxford City 4–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 16%

Playing profile

Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely)
Attack
34
Defence
74
Form
57
Briton Ferry Briton Ferry
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
23
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Caerau (Ely) vs Briton Ferry?
The model gives Caerau (Ely) a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Briton Ferry win.
How many goals are expected in Caerau (Ely) vs Briton Ferry?
Expected goals: Caerau (Ely) 1.6, Briton Ferry 0.9 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Caerau (Ely) vs Briton Ferry?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.85%.