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Caerau (Ely) - Canton Liberal

Friendlies Clubs July 17, 2026 20:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
Caerau (Ely)
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Canton Liberal
1.58
Expected xG
0.87

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.85%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Caerau (Ely) a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Canton Liberal. Expected goals are 1.6 for Caerau (Ely) and 0.9 for Canton Liberal (total 2.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.85% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ Caerau (Ely) Canton Liberal →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6% 7.5% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 13.6% 11.9% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.8% 9.4% 4.1% 1.2% 0.3%
3 5.7% 4.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
4 2.2% 2.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

D Barnstaple Town 4–4
L Haverfordwest County AFC 2–1
L Evesham United 2–0
W Croesyceiliog AFC 5–1
D Cardiff Corinthians 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 51%
No data available

Playing profile

Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely)
Attack
34
Defence
74
Form
57
Canton Liberal Canton Liberal
Attack
0
Defence
0
Form
0
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Caerau (Ely) vs Canton Liberal?
The model gives Caerau (Ely) a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Canton Liberal win.
How many goals are expected in Caerau (Ely) vs Canton Liberal?
Expected goals: Caerau (Ely) 1.6, Canton Liberal 0.9 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Caerau (Ely) vs Canton Liberal?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.85%.