Cymru Premier · Regular Season - 2 August 07, 2026 20:45

Caernarfon Town

#4 · 29 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Penybont

#3 · 30 pts

✗Model wrong — prediction Caernarfon Town, result Penybont wins

Z. Clarke 5'

19' T. Mehew

(pen.) 32' R. Hill

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Caernarfon Town a 58% win probability (draw 25%, Penybont 15%). The final result was Caernarfon Town 1–2 Penybont. In 4 previous meetings, Caernarfon Town have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Penybont.

Match statistics

Match Events

⚽Z. Clarke

5'

19'

T. Mehew⚽

C. Marriott

32'

32'

(pen.) R. Hill⚽

D. Gosset

41'

↕ A. Cieslewicz / J. Canavan

71'

↕ D. Gosset / P. Mendes

71'

↕ C. Marriott / M. Jones

71'

R. Sears

75'

86'

C. Venables / N. Wood ↕

86'

T. Walker / E. Cann ↕

↕ S. Bradley / D. Thomas

88'

90'+4

N. Daley / O. Pritchard ↕

Pre-match prediction

58.7%

Caernarfon

25.79%

X

15.51%

Penybont ←

✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Penybont) 15.51% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Caernarfon

1.76

—

—

Penybont

0.49

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	The New Saints	14	40
2	GAP Connah S Quay FC	14	34
3	Penybont	13	30
4	Caernarfon Town	14	29
5	Colwyn Bay	14	26
6	Barry Town	14	25
7	Airbus UK	14	24
8	Cardiff MET	14	22
9	Cambrian & Clydach	14	18
10	Llandudno	14	16
11	Haverfordwest County AFC	14	13
12	Briton Ferry	14	12
13	Flint Town United	14	11
14	Ammanford AFC	14	9
15	Trefelin	14	6
16	Holywell	13	2