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← Cymru Premier
#3 · 22 pts
2 – 3
Final score
#1 · 28 pts
O. Evans 42'
A. Cieslewicz 55'
15' B. Wilson
21' R. Hughes
75' D. Davies
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave The New Saints a 47% win probability (draw 21%, Caernarfon Town 30%). The final result was Caernarfon Town 2–3 The New Saints. In 4 previous meetings, Caernarfon Town have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 4 wins for The New Saints.

Match statistics
Match Events
15'
B. Wilson⚽
21'
R. Hughes⚽
J. Canavan
23'
⚽O. Evans
42'
⚽A. Cieslewicz
55'
R. Sears
59'
71'
74'
J. Williams / I. Jefferies ↕
↕ J. Canavan / P. Mendes
74'
74'
B. Young / B. Wilson ↕
74'
Z. Nolan / D. Redmond ↕
75'
D. Davies⚽
↕ R. Sears / P. Mooney
88'
↕ S. Bradley / S. Nyamwanza
88'
↕ O. Evans / O. Zanzala
88'
↕ M. Jones / C. Marriott
88'
89'
R. Holden / J. Lock ↕
J. Piggott
90'+4
90'
D. Simeu
Pre-match prediction
30.52%
Caernarfon
21.97%
X
47.52%
The ←
we assigned to the actual result (The New Saints) 47.52% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Caernarfon
1.37
—
—
The
1.78
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 The New Saints The New Saints 10 28
2 Penybont Penybont 10 24
3 Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 10 22
4 GAP Connah S Quay FC GAP Connah S Quay FC 10 22
5 Barry Town Barry Town 10 22
6 Colwyn Bay Colwyn Bay 10 19
7 Llandudno Llandudno 10 16
8 Airbus UK Airbus UK 10 15
9 Cambrian & Clydach Cambrian & Clydach 10 15
10 Cardiff MET Cardiff MET 9 14
11 Haverfordwest County AFC Haverfordwest County AFC 9 10
12 Briton Ferry Briton Ferry 10 8
13 Trefelin Trefelin 10 3
14 Ammanford AFC Ammanford AFC 10 3
15 Flint Town United Flint Town United 10 2
16 Holywell Holywell 10 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints?
The final score was Caernarfon Town 2–3 The New Saints.
What did the model predict before Caernarfon Town vs The New Saints?
The model assigned 30% probability to a Caernarfon Town win, 21% to a draw, and 47% to an The New Saints win.