FAW Championship
· South - 8
September 12, 2026 15:30
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Aberystwyth Town a 44% win probability (draw 28%, Caerphilly Athletic 27%). The final result was Caerphilly Athletic 2–3 Aberystwyth Town.
Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
27.05%
Caerphilly
28.3%
X
44.65%
Aberystwyth ←
we assigned to the actual result (Aberystwyth Town)
44.65%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.80
—
—
2.13
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Caerphilly Athletic vs Aberystwyth Town?
The final score was Caerphilly Athletic 2–3 Aberystwyth Town.
What did the model predict before Caerphilly Athletic vs Aberystwyth Town?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Caerphilly Athletic win, 28% to a draw, and 44% to an Aberystwyth Town win.