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FAW Championship · South - 11 October 09, 2026 20:45
Caerphilly Athletic
#10 · 14 pts
3 – 2
Final score
Newport City
#14 · 9 pts
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Newport City a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Caerphilly Athletic 31%). The final result was Caerphilly Athletic 3–2 Newport City.

Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
31.76%
Caerphilly ←
30.45%
X
37.79%
Newport
we assigned to the actual result (Caerphilly Athletic) 31.76% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Caerphilly
0.96
—
—
Newport
1.27
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Swansea University Swansea University 9 21
2 Pontypridd Town Pontypridd Town 11 21
3 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 9 19
4 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 11 19
5 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 11 17
6 Ynyshir Albions Ynyshir Albions 9 16
7 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 11 16
8 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 11 15
9 Afan Lido Afan Lido 12 15
10 Caerphilly Athletic Caerphilly Athletic 11 14
11 Treowen Stars Treowen Stars 10 13
12 Llantwit Major Llantwit Major 10 11
13 Pontardawe Town Pontardawe Town 9 10
14 Newport City Newport City 9 9
15 Cardiff Draconians Cardiff Draconians 9 9
16 llanelli AFC llanelli AFC 12 2
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Caerphilly Athletic vs Newport City?
The final score was Caerphilly Athletic 3–2 Newport City.
What did the model predict before Caerphilly Athletic vs Newport City?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Caerphilly Athletic win, 30% to a draw, and 37% to an Newport City win.