Skip to main content
← FAW Championship

Caersws - Newtown AFC

FAW Championship February 27, 2027 15:00
Caersws
#7 · 16 pts
vs
Newtown AFC
#2 · 19 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.68%
Win
Caersws
29.96%
Draw
36.36%
Win
Newtown AFC
1.21
Expected xG
1.54

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.63%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 30%
2 36%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 66%
12 70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 57%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Newtown AFC a 36% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Caersws. Expected goals are 1.2 for Caersws and 1.5 for Newtown AFC (total 2.8), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.63% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Caersws have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Newtown AFC.

Season Stats

Caersws
9W 1D 5L
Newtown AFC
8W 1D 6L
Averages per game
2.1
Goals
1.8
1.3
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
73%
60%
O 2.5
53%
47%
BTTS
33%
40%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in FAW Championship. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
25%
BTTS
Caersws
5W 1D 4L · at home
Newtown AFC
6W 0D 4L · away
1.7
gls/g
1.1
1.1
Conceded
1.2
50%
Win %
60%
60%
Win or Draw
60%
70%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
30%
30%
O 3.5
20%
40%
BTTS
10%
40%
Clean Sht
50%
20%
Failed to Score
40%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Caersws Newtown AFC →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.4% 9.9% 7.6% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5%
1 7.7% 11.9% 9.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 4.7% 7.2% 5.5% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
3 1.9% 2.9% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Caersws Caersws
W Llanuwchllyn 2–5
L Brickfield Rangers 0–2
W Ruthin Town 0–3
W Buckley Town 2–0
W Porthmadog 1–3
Newtown AFC Newtown AFC
L Porthmadog 0–1
W Holyhead Hotspur 0–1
W Denbigh Town 1–0
W Bala Town 0–1
W Llanuwchllyn 4–0

Playing profile

Caersws Caersws
Attack
54
Defence
66
Form
63
Newtown AFC Newtown AFC
Attack
44
Defence
93
Form
73
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Caersws
0
Draw
1
Newtown AFC
1 Jan 2026 FAW Championship 1–0
25 Aug 2025 FAW Championship 1–2

North

# Team G Pts
1 Brickfield Rangers Brickfield Rangers 9 24
2 Newtown AFC Newtown AFC 8 19
3 Mold Alexandra Mold Alexandra 9 18
4 Bala Town Bala Town 9 18
5 Bangor City 1876 FC Bangor City 1876 FC 9 17
6 Porthmadog Porthmadog 9 17
7 Caersws Caersws 8 16
8 Guilsfield Guilsfield 9 13
9 Buckley Town Buckley Town 9 11
10 Llanuwchllyn Llanuwchllyn 9 11
11 Rhyl Rhyl 9 10
12 Denbigh Town Denbigh Town 10 7
13 Holyhead Hotspur Holyhead Hotspur 9 7
14 Ruthin Town Ruthin Town 9 7
15 Gresford Athletic Gresford Athletic 8 4
16 Penrhyncoch Penrhyncoch 9 1

What's at stake · North

Top 2 advance to the next round

Caersws Newtown AFC
Current #7 #2
→ Caersws #3 #2
→ Draw #6 #2
→ Newtown AFC #7 #2

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Caersws vs Newtown AFC?
The model gives Caersws a 33% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 36% for an Newtown AFC win.
How many goals are expected in Caersws vs Newtown AFC?
Expected goals: Caersws 1.2, Newtown AFC 1.5 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Caersws vs Newtown AFC?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.63%.