P. Mendy
(ast. M. Adopo)
1'
P. Mendy
8'
G. Borrelli
47'
40'
G. Scamacca
45'
(ast. G. Scalvini)
G. Scamacca
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atalanta a 47% win probability (draw 30%, Cagliari 21%). The final result was Cagliari 3–2 Atalanta. In 2 previous meetings, Cagliari have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atalanta.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
6
1.51
Actual xG
1.72
5
Saves
1
27%
Possession
73%
4
Corners
6
15
Tackles
15
Match Events
⚽P. Mendy
· ast. M. Adopo
1'
⚽P. Mendy
8'
40'
G. Scamacca⚽
45'
ast. G. Scalvini ·
G. Scamacca⚽
P. Mendy
/ G. Borrelli
46'
⚽G. Borrelli
47'
A. Deiola
/ I. Sulemana
56'
S. Esposito
/ M. Palestra
56'
56'
N. Krstovic
/
R. Bellanova
56'
N. Zalewski
/
D. Zappacosta
J. Rodriguez
/ A. Dossena
73'
73'
O. Kossounou
/
S. Kolasinac
73'
Ederson
/
M. De Roon
77'
L. Samardzic
/
C. De Ketelaere
G. Borrelli
/ A. Belotti
77'
Pre-match prediction
21.44%
Cagliari ←
30.69%
X
47.86%
Atalanta
we assigned to the actual result (Cagliari)
21.44%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.61
1.51
+0.9
1.17
1.72
+0.55
xG dominance was balanced (1.51 – 1.72).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
33
A. Obert
D
A. Obert
D
15
Juan Rodríguez
73'
D
Juan Rodríguez
73'
D
26
D
32
Zé Pedro
D
Zé Pedro
D
8
M. Adopo
1 👟
D
M. Adopo
1 👟
D
90
M. Folorunsho
M
M. Folorunsho
M
14
A. Deiola
56'
M
A. Deiola
56'
M
10
G. Gaetano
M
G. Gaetano
M
31
Paul Mendy
2 ⚽
45'
F
Paul Mendy
2 ⚽
45'
F
94
S. Esposito
56'
F
S. Esposito
56'
F
Bench
29
Gennaro Borrelli
1 ⚽
32'
F
Gennaro Borrelli
1 ⚽
32'
F
25
I. Sulemana
42'
M
I. Sulemana
42'
M
2
Marco Palestra
42'
D
Marco Palestra
42'
D
29
M. Carnesecchi
G
M. Carnesecchi
G
23
S. Kolašinac
73'
D
S. Kolašinac
73'
D
19
B. Djimsiti
D
B. Djimsiti
D
42
G. Scalvini
1 👟
D
G. Scalvini
1 👟
D
77
Davide Zappacosta
56'
M
Davide Zappacosta
56'
M
8
Mario Pasalic
M
Mario Pasalic
M
15
Marten de Roon
73'
M
Marten de Roon
73'
M
16
Raoul Bellanova
56'
M
Raoul Bellanova
56'
M
18
G. Raspadori
F
G. Raspadori
F
17
C. De Ketelaere
77'
F
C. De Ketelaere
77'
F
9
G. Scamacca
2 ⚽
F
G. Scamacca
2 ⚽
F
Bench
13
Éderson
25'
M
Éderson
25'
M
4
I. Hien
D
I. Hien
D
10
L. Samardžić
21'
M
L. Samardžić
21'
M
90
N. Krstović
42'
F
N. Krstović
42'
F
59
N. Zalewski
42'
M
N. Zalewski
42'
M
40
Relja Obrić
D
Relja Obrić
D
Best on the pitch
G. Scamacca
F · Atalanta
8.50
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 24 pass
Paul Mendy
F · Cagliari
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
G. Gaetano
M · Cagliari
7.70
· 37 pass
Gennaro Borrelli
F · Cagliari
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 3 pass
G. Scalvini
D · Atalanta
7.20
1 👟
· 93 pass
M. Adopo
D · Cagliari
7.20
1 👟
· 26 pass
Cagliari — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| A. Obert | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| Juan Rodríguez | D | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| Zé Pedro | D | 98 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| M. Adopo | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Folorunsho | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Deiola | M | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| G. Gaetano | M | 98 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| Paul Mendy | F | 45 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. Esposito | F | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Gennaro Borrelli | F | 32 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| I. Sulemana | M | 42 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Marco Palestra | D | 42 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
Atalanta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Carnesecchi | G | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Kolašinac | D | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 84 | 79% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Djimsiti | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 96 | 92% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Scalvini | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 93 | 81% | 3 | — | — |
| Davide Zappacosta | M | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Mario Pasalic | M | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 105 | 88% | — | — | — |
| Marten de Roon | M | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 84 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| Raoul Bellanova | M | 56 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| G. Raspadori | F | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 50% | — | — | — |
| C. De Ketelaere | F | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 27% | — | — | — |
| G. Scamacca | F | 98 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 4 | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Éderson | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Samardžić | M | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Krstović | F | 42 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| N. Zalewski | M | 42 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cagliari vs Atalanta?
The final score was Cagliari 3–2 Atalanta.
What did the model predict before Cagliari vs Atalanta?
The model assigned 21% probability to a Cagliari win, 30% to a draw, and 47% to an Atalanta win.