Serie A
· Regular Season - 34
April 27, 2026 20:30
P. Mendy
(ast. M. Adopo)
1'
P. Mendy
8'
G. Borrelli
47'
40'
G. Scamacca
45'
(ast. G. Scalvini)
G. Scamacca
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atalanta a 47% win probability (draw 30%, Cagliari 21%). The final result was Cagliari 3–2 Atalanta. In 1 previous meetings, Cagliari have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atalanta.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
6
1.51
Actual xG
1.72
5
Saves
1
27%
Possession
73%
4
Corners
6
15
Tackles
15
Match Events
⚽P. Mendy
· ast. M. Adopo
1'
⚽P. Mendy
8'
40'
G. Scamacca⚽
45'
ast. G. Scalvini ·
G. Scamacca⚽
P. Mendy
/ G. Borrelli
46'
⚽G. Borrelli
47'
A. Deiola
/ I. Sulemana
56'
S. Esposito
/ M. Palestra
56'
56'
N. Krstovic
/
R. Bellanova
56'
N. Zalewski
/
D. Zappacosta
J. Rodriguez
/ A. Dossena
73'
73'
O. Kossounou
/
S. Kolasinac
73'
Ederson
/
M. De Roon
77'
L. Samardzic
/
C. De Ketelaere
G. Borrelli
/ A. Belotti
77'
Pre-match prediction
21.44%
Cagliari ←
30.69%
X
47.86%
Atalanta
we assigned to the actual result (Cagliari)
21.44%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.61
1.51
+0.9
1.17
1.72
+0.55
xG dominance was balanced (1.51 – 1.72).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
33
A. Obert
D
A. Obert
D
15
J. Rodriguez
73'
D
26
D
32
J. Pedro
D
8
M. Adopo
1 👟
D
90
M. Folorunsho
M
14
A. Deiola
56'
M
10
G. Gaetano
M
31
P. Mendy
2 ⚽
45'
F
94
S. Esposito
56'
F
S. Esposito
56'
F
Bench
29
G. Borrelli
1 ⚽
32'
F
25
I. Sulemana
42'
M
2
M. Palestra
42'
D
29
Marco Carnesecchi
G
Marco Carnesecchi
G
23
Sead Kolašinac
73'
D
Sead Kolašinac
73'
D
19
B. Djimsiti
D
42
Giorgio Scalvini
1 👟
D
Giorgio Scalvini
1 👟
D
77
Davide Zappacosta
56'
M
Davide Zappacosta
56'
M
8
M. Pašalić
M
M. Pašalić
M
15
Marten de Roon
73'
M
Marten de Roon
73'
M
16
Raoul Bellanova
56'
M
Raoul Bellanova
56'
M
18
Giacomo Raspadori
F
Giacomo Raspadori
F
17
C. De Ketelaere
77'
F
C. De Ketelaere
77'
F
9
G. Scamacca
2 ⚽
F
G. Scamacca
2 ⚽
F
Bench
13
Éderson
25'
M
Éderson
25'
M
4
Isak Hien
D
Isak Hien
D
10
Lazar Samardžić
21'
M
Lazar Samardžić
21'
M
59
Nicola Zalewski
42'
M
Nicola Zalewski
42'
M
90
N. Krstović
42'
F
N. Krstović
42'
F
40
Relja Obrić
D
Relja Obrić
D
Best on the pitch
G. Scamacca
F · Atalanta
8.50
2 ⚽
4 shots
· 24 pass
P. Mendy
F · Cagliari
8.30
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
G. Gaetano
M · Cagliari
7.70
· 37 pass
G. Borrelli
F · Cagliari
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 3 pass
M. Adopo
D · Cagliari
7.20
1 👟
· 26 pass
Giorgio Scalvini
D · Atalanta
7.20
1 👟
· 93 pass
Cagliari — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 13% | — | — | — | |
| A. Obert | D | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Rodriguez | D | 73 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| J. Pedro | D | 98 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | — | — | — |
| M. Adopo | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Folorunsho | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Deiola | M | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| G. Gaetano | M | 98 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | 4 | — | — |
| P. Mendy | F | 45 | 8.30 | 2 | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. Esposito | F | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 16% | — | — | — |
| G. Borrelli | F | 32 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| I. Sulemana | M | 42 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Palestra | D | 42 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
Atalanta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marco Carnesecchi | G | 98 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Sead Kolašinac | D | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 84 | 79% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Djimsiti | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 96 | 92% | 3 | — | — |
| Giorgio Scalvini | D | 98 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 93 | 81% | 3 | — | — |
| Davide Zappacosta | M | 56 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Pašalić | M | 98 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 105 | 88% | — | — | — |
| Marten de Roon | M | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 84 | 73% | 1 | — | — |
| Raoul Bellanova | M | 56 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Giacomo Raspadori | F | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 59 | 50% | — | — | — |
| C. De Ketelaere | F | 77 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 27% | — | — | — |
| G. Scamacca | F | 98 | 8.50 | 2 | — | 4 | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Éderson | M | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Lazar Samardžić | M | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Nicola Zalewski | M | 42 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Krstović | F | 42 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cagliari vs Atalanta?
The final score was Cagliari 3–2 Atalanta.
What did the model predict before Cagliari vs Atalanta?
The model assigned 21% probability to a Cagliari win, 30% to a draw, and 47% to an Atalanta win.