57'
(ast. Juan Miranda)
Nicolo Casale
(pen.)
80'
Federico Bernardeschi
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cagliari a 34% win probability (draw 33%, Bologna 31%). The final result was Cagliari 0–2 Bologna. In 2 previous meetings, Cagliari have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Bologna.
Match statistics
4
Total shots
10
1
Shots on target
5
0.44
Actual xG
1.64
3
Saves
1
57%
Possession
43%
1
Corners
6
10
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
32'
Federico Bernardeschi
Zé Pedro
38'
Zé Pedro
/ Yukinari Sugawara
45'
Harry Winks
/ Roberto Gagliardini
45'
Roberto Gagliardini
55'
57'
ast. Juan Miranda ·
Nicolo Casale⚽
Daniel Maldini
/ Kevin Carlos
67'
75'
Marco Libra
/
Nadir Zortea
75'
Mikel Jesús Amondarain
/
Jens Odgaard
75'
Rahim Alhassane
/
Juan Miranda
Alessandro Romano
/ Alieu Fadera
75'
Alessandro Deiola
77'
80'
(pen.)
Federico Bernardeschi⚽
85'
Martin Vitik
/
Matteo Darmian
Yanis Massolin
/ Giuseppe Aurelio
86'
88'
Samuel Mbangula Tshifunda
/
Federico Bernardeschi
Pre-match prediction
34.87%
Cagliari
33.16%
X
31.96%
Bologna ←
we assigned to the actual result (Bologna)
31.96%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.87
0.44
-0.43
0.73
1.64
+0.91
Bologna dominated by xG (1.64 vs 0.44).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
E. Caprile
G
E. Caprile
G
33
A. Obert
D
A. Obert
D
15
J. Rodríguez
D
J. Rodríguez
D
14
A. Deiola
D
A. Deiola
D
2
Zé Pedro
45'
D
Zé Pedro
45'
D
8
M. Adopo
M
M. Adopo
M
6
H. Winks
45'
M
H. Winks
45'
M
4
A. Romano
75'
M
A. Romano
75'
M
70
D. Maldini
67'
M
D. Maldini
67'
M
79
Y. Massolin
86'
M
Y. Massolin
86'
M
31
P. Mendy
F
P. Mendy
F
Bench
39
A. Fadera
15'
F
A. Fadera
15'
F
12
A. Sherri
G
A. Sherri
G
23
B. Radunović
G
B. Radunović
G
24
G. Aurelio
4'
D
G. Aurelio
4'
D
32
Ivan Stoyanov Sulev
M
Ivan Stoyanov Sulev
M
10
J. Fazzini
M
J. Fazzini
M
27
J. Liteta
M
J. Liteta
M
9
Kevin Carlos
23'
F
Kevin Carlos
23'
F
18
M'Bala Nzola
F
M'Bala Nzola
F
20
R. Ciervo
F
R. Ciervo
F
21
R. Gagliardini
45'
M
R. Gagliardini
45'
M
22
R. Kofler
D
R. Kofler
D
26
Y. Mina
D
Y. Mina
D
28
Y. Sugawara
45'
D
Y. Sugawara
45'
D
1
Ł. Skorupski
G
Ł. Skorupski
G
3
A. Theate
D
A. Theate
D
16
N. Casale
1 ⚽
D
N. Casale
1 ⚽
D
36
M. Darmian
85'
D
M. Darmian
85'
D
33
Juan Miranda
1 👟
75'
M
Juan Miranda
1 👟
75'
M
4
T. Pobega
M
T. Pobega
M
19
L. Ferguson
M
L. Ferguson
M
20
N. Zortea
75'
M
N. Zortea
75'
M
28
N. Cambiaghi
F
N. Cambiaghi
F
21
J. Odgaard
75'
F
J. Odgaard
75'
F
10
F. Bernardeschi
1 ⚽
88'
F
F. Bernardeschi
1 ⚽
88'
F
Bench
9
A. Dovbyk
F
A. Dovbyk
F
5
E. Helland
D
E. Helland
D
22
J. Enem
F
J. Enem
F
29
L. De Silvestri
D
L. De Silvestri
D
8
M. Amondarain
15'
M
M. Amondarain
15'
M
18
M. Libra
15'
M
M. Libra
15'
M
25
M. Pessina
G
M. Pessina
G
41
M. Vitík
5'
D
M. Vitík
5'
D
6
N. Moro
M
N. Moro
M
17
O. El Azzouzi
M
O. El Azzouzi
M
23
R. Alhassane
15'
D
R. Alhassane
15'
D
11
S. Mbangula
2'
F
S. Mbangula
2'
F
14
T. Heggem
D
T. Heggem
D
72
U. Happonen
G
U. Happonen
G
Best on the pitch
N. Casale
D · Bologna
8.39
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
F. Bernardeschi
F · Bologna
7.69
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 21 pass
M. Libra
M · Bologna
7.37
1 shots
· 5 pass
A. Theate
D · Bologna
7.31
· 62 pass
M. Darmian
D · Bologna
7.22
1 shots
· 31 pass
Juan Miranda
M · Bologna
7.17
1 👟
· 27 pass
Cagliari — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Caprile | G | 90 | 6.89 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Obert | D | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 0 | 90 | 80% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Deiola | D | 90 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 75 | 70% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Zé Pedro | D | 45 | 5.81 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Adopo | M | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Winks | M | 45 | 6.59 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 27% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Romano | M | 75 | 5.98 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Maldini | M | 67 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Massolin | M | 86 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| P. Mendy | F | 90 | 6.27 | — | — | 4 | 18 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Fadera | F | 15 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Aurelio | D | 4 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Kevin Carlos | F | 23 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Gagliardini | M | 45 | 5.70 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 19% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Y. Sugawara | D | 45 | 6.76 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
Bologna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ł. Skorupski | G | 90 | 6.87 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Theate | D | 90 | 7.31 | — | — | 0 | 62 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Casale | D | 90 | 8.39 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Darmian | D | 85 | 7.22 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| Juan Miranda | M | 75 | 7.17 | — | 1 | 0 | 27 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Pobega | M | 90 | 6.52 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Ferguson | M | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 66 | 55% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Zortea | M | 75 | 6.79 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| N. Cambiaghi | F | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 20% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Odgaard | F | 75 | 6.33 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Bernardeschi | F | 88 | 7.69 | 1 | — | 4 | 21 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Amondarain | M | 15 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Libra | M | 15 | 7.37 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Vitík | D | 5 | 7.03 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Alhassane | D | 15 | 7.01 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Mbangula | F | 2 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cagliari vs Bologna?
The final score was Cagliari 0–2 Bologna.
What did the model predict before Cagliari vs Bologna?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Cagliari win, 33% to a draw, and 31% to an Bologna win.