S. Esposito
(ast. J. Pedro)
63'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cagliari a 38% win probability (draw 35%, Cremonese 26%). The final result was Cagliari 1–0 Cremonese. In 1 previous meetings, Cagliari have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cremonese.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
2
1.02
Actual xG
0.28
2
Saves
4
35%
Possession
65%
6
Corners
5
16
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
4'
F. Terracciano
L. Mazzitelli
/ M. Adopo
31'
G. Borrelli
/ P. Mendy
61'
M. Folorunsho
/ J. Pedro
61'
M. Adopo
62'
⚽S. Esposito
· ast. J. Pedro
63'
68'
M. Payero
/
J. Vandeputte
68'
A. Sanabria
/
R. Floriani
73'
T. Barbieri
/
F. Terracciano
78'
M. Djuric
/
W. Bondo
78'
A. Zerbin
/
D. Okereke
S. Esposito
/ A. Belotti
88'
J. Rodriguez
/ A. Dossena
89'
Pre-match prediction
38.08%
Cagliari ←
35.04%
X
26.88%
Cremonese
we assigned to the actual result (Cagliari)
38.08%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.80
1.02
+0.22
0.82
0.28
-0.54
Cagliari dominated by xG (1.02 vs 0.28).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
33
A. Obert
D
A. Obert
D
15
J. Rodríguez
89'
D
J. Rodríguez
89'
D
26
D
2
M. Palestra
D
M. Palestra
D
10
G. Gaetano
M
G. Gaetano
M
4
L. Mazzitelli
31'
M
L. Mazzitelli
31'
M
90
M. Folorunsho
61'
M
M. Folorunsho
61'
M
14
A. Deiola
M
A. Deiola
M
94
S. Esposito
1 ⚽
88'
M
S. Esposito
1 ⚽
88'
M
29
Gennaro Borrelli
61'
F
Gennaro Borrelli
61'
F
Bench
25
I. Sulemana
M
I. Sulemana
M
8
M. Adopo
59'
M
M. Adopo
59'
M
31
P. Mendy
29'
F
P. Mendy
29'
F
32
Zé Pedro
1 👟
29'
D
Zé Pedro
1 👟
29'
D
1
G
3
D
5
S. Luperto
D
S. Luperto
D
6
F. Baschirotto
D
F. Baschirotto
D
24
F. Terracciano
73'
D
F. Terracciano
73'
D
27
J. Vandeputte
68'
M
J. Vandeputte
68'
M
33
A. Grassi
M
A. Grassi
M
38
Warren Bondo
78'
M
Warren Bondo
78'
M
22
R. Floriani Mussolini
68'
M
R. Floriani Mussolini
68'
M
77
D. Okereke
78'
F
D. Okereke
78'
F
90
F. Bonazzoli
F
F. Bonazzoli
F
Bench
99
A. Sanabria
22'
F
A. Sanabria
22'
F
7
A. Zerbin
12'
F
A. Zerbin
12'
F
9
M. Đurić
12'
F
M. Đurić
12'
F
32
M. Payero
22'
M
M. Payero
22'
M
4
T. Barbieri
17'
D
T. Barbieri
17'
D
Best on the pitch
S. Esposito
M · Cagliari
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
A. Obert
D · Cagliari
7.70
· 26 pass
D · Cagliari
7.50
2 shots
· 21 pass
M. Palestra
D · Cagliari
7.50
2 shots
· 10 pass
J. Rodríguez
D · Cagliari
7.30
· 43 pass
G · Cagliari
7.20
· 18 pass
Cagliari — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| A. Obert | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | 2 | — | — | |
| M. Palestra | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| G. Gaetano | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Mazzitelli | M | 31 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Folorunsho | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Deiola | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 18 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Esposito | M | 88 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Gennaro Borrelli | F | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Adopo | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| P. Mendy | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Zé Pedro | D | 29 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Cremonese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 35% | 2 | — | — | |
| S. Luperto | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 86 | 79% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Baschirotto | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 70 | 58% | — | — | — |
| F. Terracciano | D | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Vandeputte | M | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Grassi | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 58 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Warren Bondo | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Floriani Mussolini | M | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Okereke | F | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Bonazzoli | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| A. Sanabria | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| A. Zerbin | F | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Đurić | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Payero | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| T. Barbieri | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cagliari vs Cremonese?
The final score was Cagliari 1–0 Cremonese.
What did the model predict before Cagliari vs Cremonese?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Cagliari win, 35% to a draw, and 26% to an Cremonese win.