Serie A
· Regular Season - 32
April 11, 2026 17:00
S. Esposito
(ast. J. Pedro)
63'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cagliari a 38% win probability (draw 35%, Cremonese 26%). The final result was Cagliari 1–0 Cremonese. In 1 previous meetings, Cagliari have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Cremonese.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
4
5
Shots on target
2
1.02
Actual xG
0.28
2
Saves
4
35%
Possession
65%
6
Corners
5
16
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
4'
F. Terracciano
L. Mazzitelli
/ M. Adopo
31'
G. Borrelli
/ P. Mendy
61'
M. Folorunsho
/ J. Pedro
61'
M. Adopo
62'
⚽S. Esposito
· ast. J. Pedro
63'
68'
M. Payero
/
J. Vandeputte
68'
A. Sanabria
/
R. Floriani
73'
T. Barbieri
/
F. Terracciano
78'
M. Djuric
/
W. Bondo
78'
A. Zerbin
/
D. Okereke
S. Esposito
/ A. Belotti
88'
J. Rodriguez
/ A. Dossena
89'
Pre-match prediction
38.08%
Cagliari ←
35.04%
X
26.88%
Cremonese
we assigned to the actual result (Cagliari)
38.08%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.80
1.02
+0.22
0.82
0.28
-0.54
Cagliari dominated by xG (1.02 vs 0.28).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
33
A. Obert
D
A. Obert
D
15
J. Rodriguez
89'
D
26
D
2
M. Palestra
D
10
G. Gaetano
M
4
L. Mazzitelli
31'
M
90
M. Folorunsho
61'
M
14
A. Deiola
M
94
S. Esposito
1 ⚽
88'
M
S. Esposito
1 ⚽
88'
M
29
G. Borrelli
61'
F
Bench
25
I. Sulemana
M
32
J. Pedro
1 👟
29'
D
8
M. Adopo
59'
M
31
P. Mendy
29'
F
1
G
3
D
5
Sebastiano Luperto
D
Sebastiano Luperto
D
6
F. Baschirotto
D
24
Filippo Terracciano
73'
D
Filippo Terracciano
73'
D
27
Jari Vandeputte
68'
M
Jari Vandeputte
68'
M
33
Alberto Grassi
M
Alberto Grassi
M
38
Warren Bondo
78'
M
Warren Bondo
78'
M
22
R. Floriani
68'
M
77
David Okereke
78'
F
David Okereke
78'
F
90
F. Bonazzoli
F
F. Bonazzoli
F
Bench
7
Alessio Zerbin
12'
F
Alessio Zerbin
12'
F
99
A. Sanabria
22'
F
A. Sanabria
22'
F
9
Milan Đurić
12'
F
Milan Đurić
12'
F
32
M. Payero
22'
M
M. Payero
22'
M
4
Tommaso Barbieri
17'
D
Tommaso Barbieri
17'
D
Best on the pitch
S. Esposito
M · Cagliari
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
A. Obert
D · Cagliari
7.70
· 26 pass
D · Cagliari
7.50
2 shots
· 21 pass
M. Palestra
D · Cagliari
7.50
2 shots
· 10 pass
J. Rodriguez
D · Cagliari
7.30
· 43 pass
G · Cagliari
7.20
· 18 pass
Cagliari — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | — | — | — | |
| A. Obert | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Rodriguez | D | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 17% | 2 | — | — | |
| M. Palestra | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| G. Gaetano | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Mazzitelli | M | 31 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Folorunsho | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 4% | — | — | — |
| A. Deiola | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 4 | 18 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| S. Esposito | M | 88 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Borrelli | F | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Pedro | D | 29 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Adopo | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| P. Mendy | F | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
Cremonese — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 38% | — | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 35% | 2 | — | — | |
| Sebastiano Luperto | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 86 | 79% | 2 | — | — |
| F. Baschirotto | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 70 | 58% | — | — | — |
| Filippo Terracciano | D | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | — | 1 | — |
| Jari Vandeputte | M | 68 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Alberto Grassi | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 58 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Warren Bondo | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Floriani | M | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| David Okereke | F | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Bonazzoli | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Alessio Zerbin | F | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| A. Sanabria | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Milan Đurić | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Payero | M | 22 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Tommaso Barbieri | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cagliari vs Cremonese?
The final score was Cagliari 1–0 Cremonese.
What did the model predict before Cagliari vs Cremonese?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Cagliari win, 35% to a draw, and 26% to an Cremonese win.