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Serie A · Regular Season - 2 August 30, 2026 20:45 Unipol Domus, Cagliari
Cagliari
#9 · 13 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Inter
#2 · 22 pts
9' (ast. N. Barella) H. Calhanoglu
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Inter a 42% win probability (draw 29%, Cagliari 28%). The final result was Cagliari 0–1 Inter. In 2 previous meetings, Cagliari have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Inter.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
24
0
Shots on target
7
0.45
Actual xG
3.80
5
Saves
0
35%
Possession
65%
8
Corners
6
13
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
9'
ast. N. Barella · H. Calhanoglu⚽
14'
M. Akanji
A. Deiola
56'
↕ J. Fazzini / A. Fadera
57'
↕ H. Winks / R. Kofler
57'
↕ P. Mendy / Kevin
57'
65'
M. Thuram / F. Esposito ↕
65'
P. Zielinski / H. Calhanoglu ↕
65'
C. Jones / P. Sucic ↕
68'
J. Stones / M. Akanji ↕
↕ D. Maldini / G. Borrelli
78'
81'
Y. Bisseck / Luis Henrique ↕
↕ A. Deiola / R. Ciervo
83'
Kevin
88'
Pre-match prediction
28.19%
Cagliari
29.73%
X
42.08%
Inter ←
we assigned to the actual result (Inter) 42.08% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cagliari
1.72
0.45
-1.27
Inter
2.94
3.80
+0.86
Inter dominated by xG (3.80 vs 0.45). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Lazio Lazio 9 25
2 Inter Inter 8 22
3 AS Roma AS Roma 9 21
4 Como Como 9 20
5 AC Milan AC Milan 8 18
6 Frosinone Frosinone 8 14
7 Juventus Juventus 8 14
8 Torino Torino 9 13
9 Cagliari Cagliari 9 13
10 Napoli Napoli 8 11
11 Atalanta Atalanta 8 10
12 Lecce Lecce 8 9
13 Bologna Bologna 8 8
14 Sassuolo Sassuolo 9 8
15 Monza Monza 8 7
16 Genoa Genoa 8 7
17 Udinese Udinese 8 4
18 Fiorentina Fiorentina 8 4
19 Parma Parma 8 4
20 Venezia Venezia 8 3
Lineups
Cagliari Cagliari 4-2-3-1
1 E. Caprile E. Caprile G 7.90
33 A. Obert A. Obert D 7.90
15 J. Rodríguez J. Rodríguez D 6.90
14 A. Deiola A. Deiola 83' D 6.50
2 Zé Pedro Zé Pedro D 6.50
6 H. Winks H. Winks 57' M 6.30
4 A. Romano A. Romano M 6.90
10 J. Fazzini J. Fazzini 57' M 6.20
70 D. Maldini D. Maldini 78' M 6.30
8 M. Adopo M. Adopo M 6.60
31 P. Mendy P. Mendy 57' F 6.50
Bench
39 A. Fadera A. Fadera 33' F 6.60
12 A. Sherri A. Sherri G
23 B. Radunović B. Radunović G
30 Demi Akarakiri Demi Akarakiri M
24 G. Aurelio G. Aurelio D
29 Gennaro Borrelli Gennaro Borrelli 12' F 6.30
32 Ivan Stoyanov Sulev Ivan Stoyanov Sulev M
27 J. Liteta J. Liteta M
9 Kevin Carlos Kevin Carlos 33' F 6.50
17 M. Felici M. Felici F
21 Nicolò Cavuoti Nicolò Cavuoti M
20 R. Ciervo R. Ciervo 12' F 6.70
22 R. Kofler R. Kofler 33' D 7.20
Inter Inter 3-5-2
1 Josep Martínez Josep Martínez G 6.90
95 A. Bastoni A. Bastoni D 8.00
25 M. Akanji M. Akanji 68' D 7.20
28 B. Pavard B. Pavard D 7.00
32 F. Dimarco F. Dimarco M 7.90
8 P. Sučić P. Sučić 65' M 7.20
20 H. Çalhanoğlu H. Çalhanoğlu 1 ⚽ 65' M 8.00
23 N. Barella N. Barella 1 👟 M 7.90
11 Luis Henrique Luis Henrique 81' M 6.90
94 F. Esposito F. Esposito 65' F 6.90
10 Lautaro Martínez Lautaro Martínez F 6.30
Bench
14 A. Bonny A. Bonny F
17 A. Diouf A. Diouf M
5 A. Stanković A. Stanković M
30 Carlos Augusto Carlos Augusto D
21 Curtis Jones Curtis Jones 25' M 6.70
22 H. Mkhitaryan H. Mkhitaryan M
49 I. Provedel I. Provedel G
6 John Stones John Stones 22' D 7.30
9 M. Thuram M. Thuram 25' F 6.70
7 P. Zieliński P. Zieliński 25' M 7.00
12 R. Di Gennaro R. Di Gennaro G
31 Y. Bisseck Y. Bisseck 9' D 6.90
Best on the pitch
H. Çalhanoğlu
H. Çalhanoğlu
M · Inter
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 65 pass
A. Bastoni
A. Bastoni
D · Inter
8.00
2 shots · 103 pass
E. Caprile
E. Caprile
G · Cagliari
7.90
· 31 pass
A. Obert
A. Obert
D · Cagliari
7.90
1 shots · 35 pass
N. Barella
N. Barella
M · Inter
7.90
1 👟
2 shots · 69 pass
F. Dimarco
F. Dimarco
M · Inter
7.90
2 shots · 52 pass
Cagliari Cagliari — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Caprile G 90 7.90 — — — 31 25% — — —
A. Obert D 90 7.90 — — 1 35 30% 2 — —
J. Rodríguez D 90 6.90 — — 1 51 45% 1 — —
A. Deiola D 83 6.50 — — — 28 22% 1 1 —
Zé Pedro D 90 6.50 — — — 36 29% 1 — —
H. Winks M 57 6.30 — — — 15 12% — — —
A. Romano M 90 6.90 — — 1 38 34% 1 — —
J. Fazzini M 57 6.20 — — 1 15 12% — — —
D. Maldini M 78 6.30 — — — 16 13% 2 — —
M. Adopo M 90 6.60 — — — 36 30% 1 — —
P. Mendy F 57 6.50 — — — 9 6% 1 — —
A. Fadera F 33 6.60 — — 2 15 12% 2 — —
Gennaro Borrelli F 12 6.30 — — 1 4 4% — — —
Kevin Carlos F 33 6.50 — — — 3 2% — 1 —
R. Ciervo F 12 6.70 — — 1 10 9% — — —
R. Kofler D 33 7.20 — — — 20 19% 1 — —
Inter Inter — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Josep Martínez G 90 6.90 — — — 24 22% — — —
A. Bastoni D 90 8.00 — — 2 103 93% 4 — —
M. Akanji D 68 7.20 — — 1 64 62% 1 1 —
B. Pavard D 90 7.00 — — 1 97 93% 2 — —
F. Dimarco M 90 7.90 — — 2 52 47% 1 — —
P. Sučić M 65 7.20 — — — 39 34% 2 — —
H. Çalhanoğlu M 65 8.00 1 — 1 65 58% 2 — —
N. Barella M 90 7.90 — 1 2 69 61% 2 — —
Luis Henrique M 81 6.90 — — 1 70 64% — — —
F. Esposito F 65 6.90 — — 3 17 12% — — —
Lautaro Martínez F 90 6.30 — — 7 32 27% 2 — —
Curtis Jones M 25 6.70 — — — 15 14% 1 — —
John Stones D 22 7.30 — — 1 8 8% 2 — —
M. Thuram F 25 6.70 — — 2 7 7% — — —
P. Zieliński M 25 7.00 — — 1 13 13% — — —
Y. Bisseck D 9 6.90 — — — 3 3% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cagliari vs Inter?
The final score was Cagliari 0–1 Inter.
What did the model predict before Cagliari vs Inter?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Cagliari win, 29% to a draw, and 42% to an Inter win.