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Cambridge United - Millwall

EFL Cup August 25, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.26%
Win
Cambridge United
31.7%
Draw
26.04%
Win
Millwall
1.24
Expected xG
0.46

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (15.0%)
1X2 Result
1 42%
X 32%
2 26%
Double Chance
1X 74%
X2 58%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 73%
Over 2.5 41%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Cambridge United a 42% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Millwall. Expected goals are 1.2 for Cambridge United and 0.5 for Millwall (total 1.7), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.0% probability.

Season Stats

Cambridge United
3W 0D 1L
Millwall
2W 2D 0L
Averages per game
1.8
Goals
1.2
0.8
Conceded
0.8
3.3
Shots OT
3.5
4.5
Corners
4.0
41%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
75%
O 1.5
75%
50%
O 2.5
25%
50%
BTTS
75%
25%
Clean Sht
25%
Based on the last 4 matches in EFL Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
84%
BTTS
Cambridge United
2W 0D 0L · at home
Millwall
1W 2D 0L · away
2.5
gls/g
1.0
1.0
Conceded
0.7
100%
Win %
33%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
67%
100%
O 2.5
0%
50%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
67%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 3
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Cambridge United Millwall →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 18.3% 8.4% 2.0% 0.3%
1 22.6% 10.5% 2.4% 0.4%
2 14.0% 6.5% 1.5% 0.2%
3 5.8% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
4 1.8% 0.8% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.2%

Recent form

W Barnet 2–1
L Fulham 1–0
W Charlton 3–1
W Bristol Rovers 0–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
D QPR 1–1
D Crystal Palace 1–1
W Coventry 2–1
W Newport County 0–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

Cambridge United Cambridge United
Attack
35
Defence
88
Form
68
Millwall Millwall
Attack
22
Defence
73
Form
48
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Cambridge United vs Millwall?
The model gives Cambridge United a 42% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 26% for an Millwall win.
How many goals are expected in Cambridge United vs Millwall?
Expected goals: Cambridge United 1.2, Millwall 0.5 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Cambridge United vs Millwall?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.0%.