Sullay Kaikai
57'
Shayne Lavery
(ast. Zak·Bradshaw)
86'
(og)
41'
Louis Appere
50'
(ast. Harvey White)
Xavier Amaechi
(pen.)
74'
Aribim Pepple
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cambridge United a 39% win probability (draw 27%, Plymouth 32%). The final result was Cambridge United 2–3 Plymouth.
Match statistics
20
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
5
1.46
Actual xG
1.53
3
Saves
4
60%
Possession
40%
13
Corners
3
7
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
12'
Alex Mitchell
Sullay Kaikai
14'
29'
Tyreeq Bakinson
41'
(og)
Louis Appere⚽
50'
ast. Harvey White ·
Xavier Amaechi⚽
⚽Sullay Kaikai
57'
Raees Bangura-Williams
/ Shayne Lavery
61'
George Hoddle
/ Owen Moxon
62'
68'
Caleb Watts
/
Xavier Amaechi
74'
(pen.)
Aribim Pepple⚽
78'
Alex·Hartridge
/
Jack Mackenzie
Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu
/ Callum stead
80'
82'
Joe Edwards
/
Matthew Sorinola
83'
Bradley Ibrahim
/
Tyreeq Bakinson
⚽Shayne Lavery
· ast. Zak·Bradshaw
86'
Cathal Séan Heffernan Andrews
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
39.34%
Cambridge
27.93%
X
32.74%
Plymouth ←
we assigned to the actual result (Plymouth)
32.74%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.27
1.46
+0.19
1.12
1.53
+0.41
xG dominance was balanced (1.46 – 1.53).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
J. Eastwood
G
J. Eastwood
G
22
Z. Bradshaw
1 👟
D
Z. Bradshaw
1 👟
D
15
D
6
K. Watts
D
K. Watts
D
2
L. Bennett
D
L. Bennett
D
38
G. Hoddle
62'
M
G. Hoddle
62'
M
17
P. Mpanzu
80'
M
P. Mpanzu
80'
M
11
S. Kaikai
1 ⚽
M
S. Kaikai
1 ⚽
M
44
Raees Bangura-Williams
61'
M
Raees Bangura-Williams
61'
M
10
B. Knight
M
B. Knight
M
9
L. Appéré
1 ⚽
F
L. Appéré
1 ⚽
F
Bench
13
G. Breeze
G
G. Breeze
G
7
Isaac Heath
F
Isaac Heath
F
8
O. Moxon
28'
M
O. Moxon
28'
M
5
P. Bauer
D
P. Bauer
D
29
S. Curtis
D
S. Curtis
D
19
S. Lavery
1 ⚽
29'
F
S. Lavery
1 ⚽
29'
F
1
M. Mahoney
G
M. Mahoney
G
45
W. Harding
D
W. Harding
D
15
A. Mitchell
D
A. Mitchell
D
5
Julio Pleguezuelo
D
Julio Pleguezuelo
D
3
M
7
H. White
1 👟
M
H. White
1 👟
M
19
T. Bakinson
83'
M
T. Bakinson
83'
M
29
M. Sorinola
82'
M
M. Sorinola
82'
M
9
W. Evans
F
W. Evans
F
27
A. Pepple
1 ⚽
F
A. Pepple
1 ⚽
F
10
X. Amaechi
1 ⚽
68'
F
X. Amaechi
1 ⚽
68'
F
Bench
22
A. Hartridge
12'
D
A. Hartridge
12'
D
23
B. Ibrahim
7'
M
B. Ibrahim
7'
M
17
C. Watts
22'
M
C. Watts
22'
M
21
James Storer
G
James Storer
G
8
J. Edwards
8'
D
J. Edwards
8'
D
14
O. Irow
F
O. Irow
F
11
R. Curtis
F
R. Curtis
F
Best on the pitch
S. Kaikai
M · Cambridge
8.05
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 26 pass
X. Amaechi
F · Plymouth
7.59
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 10 pass
S. Lavery
F · Cambridge
7.56
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 4 pass
W. Evans
F · Plymouth
6.77
1 shots
· 20 pass
H. White
M · Plymouth
6.57
1 👟
2 shots
· 31 pass
A. Pepple
F · Plymouth
6.55
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 10 pass
Cambridge United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Eastwood | G | 90 | 5.93 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Z. Bradshaw | D | 90 | 5.47 | — | 1 | 0 | 42 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 4.80 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 24% | 0 | 1 | — | |
| K. Watts | D | 90 | 6.10 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Bennett | D | 90 | 5.46 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Hoddle | M | 62 | 5.61 | — | — | 0 | 33 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Mpanzu | M | 80 | 5.75 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Kaikai | M | 90 | 8.05 | 1 | — | 3 | 26 | 20% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Raees Bangura-Williams | M | 61 | 5.99 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 10% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Knight | M | 90 | 5.88 | — | — | 4 | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Appéré | F | 90 | 5.10 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| O. Moxon | M | 28 | 5.68 | — | — | 2 | 23 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Lavery | F | 29 | 7.56 | 1 | — | 4 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Plymouth — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Mahoney | G | 90 | 6.38 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Harding | D | 90 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Mitchell | D | 90 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Julio Pleguezuelo | D | 90 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 4.80 | — | — | 0 | 41 | 24% | 0 | 1 | — | |
| H. White | M | 90 | 6.57 | — | 1 | 2 | 31 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Bakinson | M | 83 | 5.77 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 14% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Sorinola | M | 82 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Evans | F | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 10% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Pepple | F | 90 | 6.55 | 1 | — | 4 | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| X. Amaechi | F | 68 | 7.59 | 1 | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Hartridge | D | 12 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Ibrahim | M | 7 | 6.15 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Watts | M | 22 | 5.95 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Edwards | D | 8 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Plymouth?
The final score was Cambridge United 2–3 Plymouth.
What did the model predict before Cambridge United vs Plymouth?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Cambridge United win, 27% to a draw, and 32% to an Plymouth win.