K. Watts
(ast. M. Jobe)
3'
L. Appere
34'
I. Heath
52'
69'
S. Perkins
73'
(ast. D. Costelloe)
A. Higgins
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cambridge United a 33% win probability (draw 32%, Wigan 33%). The final result was Cambridge United 3–2 Wigan.
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
4
1.92
Actual xG
2.72
34%
Possession
66%
8
Corners
5
Match Events
⚽K. Watts
· ast. M. Jobe
3'
⚽L. Appere
34'
46'
A. Harris
/
C. Llyton
⚽I. Heath
52'
60'
K. Miller
/
C. Barrett
60'
A. Higgins
/
C. Sze
69'
S. Perkins⚽
73'
ast. D. Costelloe ·
A. Higgins⚽
I. Heath
/ P. Mpanzu
74'
B. Knight
/ S. Kaikai
74'
L. Appere
/ S. Lavery
80'
87'
C. McManaman
/
D. Costelloe
Z. Bradshaw
90'+5
Z. Bradshaw
/ P. Bauer
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
33.9%
Cambridge ←
32.9%
X
33.2%
Wigan
we assigned to the actual result (Cambridge United)
33.9%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.17
1.92
-0.25
0.38
2.72
+2.34
Wigan dominated by xG (2.72 vs 1.92).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cambridge United vs Wigan?
The final score was Cambridge United 3–2 Wigan.
What did the model predict before Cambridge United vs Wigan?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Cambridge United win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Wigan win.