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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 9 October 18, 2026 14:30 Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
Cambuur
#10 · 12 pts
2 – 2
Final score
AZ Alkmaar
#5 · 20 pts
Nicolas Binder (ast. Jason Ceka) 7'
Ilyes Hamache (ast. Billy van Duijl) 39'
26' (ast. Peer Koopmeiners) Ro Zangelo Daal
(pen.) 83' Mexx Meerdink
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AZ Alkmaar a 50% win probability (draw 26%, Cambuur 23%). The final result was Cambuur 2–2 AZ Alkmaar.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
4
1.53
Actual xG
1.56
2
Saves
4
36%
Possession
64%
3
Corners
6
23
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
⚽Nicolas Binder · ast. Jason Ceka
7'
10'
Lewis Schouten
Devid Eugene Bouah
24'
26'
ast. Peer Koopmeiners · Ro Zangelo Daal⚽
⚽Ilyes Hamache · ast. Billy van Duijl
39'
Devid Eugene Bouah
53'
↕ Jason Ceka / Rik Mulders
57'
59'
Ayoub Oufkir
63'
Mees de Wit / Mateo Chávez ↕
63'
Bendegúz Kovács / Ayoub Oufkir ↕
64'
Valdemar Byskov Andreasen / Jordy Clasie ↕
64'
Dave Kwakman / Wouter Goes ↕
↕ Nicolas Binder / Sami Bouhoudane
74'
81'
Johan Plat
81'
Thijs Jansen
82'
83'
(pen.) Mexx Meerdink⚽
↕ Mathieu Maertens / Jorn Berkhout
84'
↕ Ilyes Hamache / Iwan Henstra
84'
↕ Rafik El Arguioui / Wiebe Kooistra
84'
89'
Jerolldino Bergraaf / Calvin Stengs ↕
Pre-match prediction
23.2%
Cambuur
26.13%
X ←
50.67%
AZ
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.13% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cambuur
0.71
1.53
+0.82
AZ
1.78
1.56
-0.22
xG dominance was balanced (1.53 – 1.56). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Feyenoord Feyenoord 10 24
2 Ajax Ajax 10 21
3 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 10 20
4 Twente Twente 10 20
5 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 10 20
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 10 18
7 Heerenveen Heerenveen 10 15
8 Groningen Groningen 10 15
9 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 10 14
10 Cambuur Cambuur 10 12
11 Utrecht Utrecht 10 12
12 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 10 11
13 Excelsior Excelsior 10 11
14 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 10 9
15 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 10 8
16 Telstar Telstar 10 6
17 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 10 6
18 Willem II Willem II 10 2
Lineups
Cambuur Cambuur 4-2-3-1
1 T. Jansen T. Jansen G 6.03
28 M. Costarelli M. Costarelli D 6.49
14 B. van Duijl B. van Duijl 1 👟 D 6.46
4 I. Baouf I. Baouf D 6.37
2 D. Bouah D. Bouah 53' D 5.16
8 N. Souren N. Souren M 6.88
33 M. Maertens M. Maertens 84' M 6.12
11 I. Hamache I. Hamache 1 ⚽ 84' M 7.52
10 R. El Arguioui R. El Arguioui 84' M 6.43
30 J. Çeka J. Çeka 1 👟 57' M 7.38
13 N. Binder N. Binder 1 ⚽ 74' F 8.20
Bench
48 D. Westerhof D. Westerhof M 0.00
17 Ethan Apkakou Ethan Apkakou M 0.00
15 F. Kvam F. Kvam F 0.00
29 Iwan Henstra Iwan Henstra 6' F 6.62
3 J. Berkhout J. Berkhout 6' D 6.17
23 L. Jetten L. Jetten D 0.00
22 L. Plogmann L. Plogmann G 0.00
24 M. Kalisvaart M. Kalisvaart G 0.00
16 R. Mulders R. Mulders 33' D 6.22
7 S. Bouhoudane S. Bouhoudane 16' F 6.35
9 S. Vink S. Vink F 0.00
27 W. Kooistra W. Kooistra 6' F 6.57
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1
28 J. De Busser J. De Busser G 6.67
5 M. Chávez M. Chávez 63' D 5.96
4 L. Schouten L. Schouten D 6.29
3 W. Goes W. Goes 64' D 6.67
22 E. Dijkstra E. Dijkstra D 6.39
6 P. Koopmeiners P. Koopmeiners 1 👟 M 7.70
8 J. Clasie J. Clasie 64' M 6.14
11 R. Daal R. Daal 1 ⚽ M 7.52
14 C. Stengs C. Stengs 89' M 6.45
24 A. Oufkir A. Oufkir 63' M 5.63
9 M. Meerdink M. Meerdink 1 ⚽ F 6.97
Bench
18 B. Kovacs B. Kovacs 27' F 6.42
30 D. Kasius D. Kasius D 0.00
21 D. Kwakman D. Kwakman 26' M 6.11
34 M. de Wit M. de Wit 27' D 6.21
31 R. Ichihara R. Ichihara D 0.00
1 R. Owusu-Oduro R. Owusu-Oduro G 0.00
2 S. Maikuma S. Maikuma D 0.00
17 V. Byskov V. Byskov 26' M 5.97
7 Weslley Patati Weslley Patati F 0.00
29 W. Hoedt W. Hoedt D 0.00
Best on the pitch
N. Binder
N. Binder
F · Cambuur
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 12 pass
P. Koopmeiners
P. Koopmeiners
M · AZ
7.70
1 👟
· 90 pass
R. Daal
R. Daal
M · AZ
7.52
1 ⚽
1 shots · 39 pass
I. Hamache
I. Hamache
M · Cambuur
7.52
1 ⚽
3 shots · 22 pass
J. Çeka
J. Çeka
M · Cambuur
7.38
1 👟
· 21 pass
M. Meerdink
M. Meerdink
F · AZ
6.97
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
Cambuur Cambuur — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Jansen G 90 6.03 — — 0 50 26% 0 1 —
M. Costarelli D 90 6.49 — — 1 30 25% 4 — —
B. van Duijl D 90 6.46 — 1 0 44 32% 2 — —
I. Baouf D 90 6.37 — — 2 47 41% 0 — —
D. Bouah D 53 5.16 — — 1 13 12% 1 — 1
N. Souren M 90 6.88 — — 0 18 13% 2 — —
M. Maertens M 84 6.12 — — 0 15 10% 0 — —
I. Hamache M 84 7.52 1 — 3 22 17% 5 — —
R. El Arguioui M 84 6.43 — — 3 11 8% 1 — —
J. Çeka M 57 7.38 — 1 0 21 18% 2 — —
N. Binder F 74 8.20 1 — 1 12 10% 0 — —
Iwan Henstra F 6 6.62 — — 0 1 0% 1 — —
J. Berkhout D 6 6.17 — — 0 1 1% 1 — —
R. Mulders D 33 6.22 — — 0 6 4% 2 — —
S. Bouhoudane F 16 6.35 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
W. Kooistra F 6 6.57 — — 0 2 1% 2 — —
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. De Busser G 90 6.67 — — 0 34 26% 0 — —
M. Chávez D 63 5.96 — — 1 22 16% 3 — —
L. Schouten D 90 6.29 — — 1 74 70% 1 1 —
W. Goes D 64 6.67 — — 0 44 39% 5 — —
E. Dijkstra D 90 6.39 — — 0 37 32% 1 — —
P. Koopmeiners M 90 7.70 — 1 0 90 83% 1 — —
J. Clasie M 64 6.14 — — 0 33 28% 0 — —
R. Daal M 90 7.52 1 — 1 39 33% 3 — —
C. Stengs M 89 6.45 — — 1 50 39% 0 — —
A. Oufkir M 63 5.63 — — 0 20 13% 1 1 —
M. Meerdink F 90 6.97 1 — 1 19 11% 1 — —
B. Kovacs F 27 6.42 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
D. Kwakman M 26 6.11 — — 1 26 21% 1 — —
M. de Wit D 27 6.21 — — 1 20 20% 0 — —
V. Byskov M 26 5.97 — — 0 21 16% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?
The final score was Cambuur 2–2 AZ Alkmaar.
What did the model predict before Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Cambuur win, 26% to a draw, and 50% to an AZ Alkmaar win.