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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 1 August 07, 2026 20:00 Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden
Cambuur
#17 · 1 pts
0 – 4
Final score
Excelsior
#5 · 10 pts
17' (ast. G. de Regt) I. Yegoian
31' (ast. I. Yegoian) N. Naujoks
42' (ast. S. Janssen) D. Garden
69' (ast. S. Janssen) N. Naujoks
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cambuur a 33% win probability (draw 32%, Excelsior 33%). The final result was Cambuur 0–4 Excelsior. In 1 previous meetings, Cambuur have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Excelsior.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
10
0.70
Actual xG
3.35
5
Saves
1
46%
Possession
54%
5
Corners
8
19
Tackles
18
Match Events
17'
ast. G. de Regt · I. Yegoian⚽
31'
ast. I. Yegoian · N. Naujoks⚽
42'
ast. S. Janssen · D. Garden⚽
↕ R. van de Pavert / S. Bouhoudane
46'
↕ R. Mulders / M. Costarelli
46'
↕ L. Jetten / E. Apkakou
65'
69'
ast. S. Janssen · N. Naujoks⚽
74'
N. Groen / D. Garden ↕
74'
C. Widell / N. Martens ↕
75'
A. Sliti / I. Yegoian ↕
81'
O. Turay / S. Janssen ↕
↕ S. Vink / W. van der Goot
81'
85'
I. Silva Timas / G. de Regt ↕
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
33.77%
Cambuur
32.47%
X
33.77%
Excelsior ←
we assigned to the actual result (Excelsior) 33.77% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Cambuur
2.96
0.70
-2.26
Excelsior
0.65
3.35
+2.7
Excelsior dominated by xG (3.35 vs 0.70). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 6 16
2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 5 13
3 Twente Twente 6 13
4 Feyenoord Feyenoord 5 11
5 Excelsior Excelsior 5 10
6 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 5 10
7 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 5 8
8 Ajax Ajax 4 7
9 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 5 7
10 Groningen Groningen 5 7
11 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 5 5
12 Heerenveen Heerenveen 5 5
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 5 4
14 Telstar Telstar 5 4
15 Utrecht Utrecht 5 2
16 Willem II Willem II 5 2
17 Cambuur Cambuur 5 1
18 ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag 6 1
Lineups
Cambuur Cambuur 4-3-3
1 T. Jansen T. Jansen G 7.50
23 L. Jetten L. Jetten 66' D 5.60
6 J. Amofa J. Amofa D 6.50
4 I. Baouf I. Baouf D 6.20
16 R. Mulders R. Mulders 45' D 5.90
8 N. Souren N. Souren M 6.90
10 R. El Arguioui R. El Arguioui M 6.50
14 Ryan van de Pavert Ryan van de Pavert 45' M 6.20
11 I. Hamache I. Hamache F 7.20
9 S. Vink S. Vink 81' F 6.60
29 Iwan Henstra Iwan Henstra F 7.50
Bench
33 Buddy Vogelzang Buddy Vogelzang D
48 Damian Westerhof Damian Westerhof M
17 Ethan Apkakou Ethan Apkakou 26' M 6.30
15 F. Kvam F. Kvam F
21 Jasper Meijster Jasper Meijster G
3 J. Berkhout J. Berkhout D
28 M. Costarelli M. Costarelli 47' D 6.20
24 M. Kalisvaart M. Kalisvaart G
13 N. Binder N. Binder F
7 S. Bouhoudane S. Bouhoudane 47' F 6.50
40 Wessel van der Goot Wessel van der Goot 11' M 6.30
18 Wiebe van der Heide Wiebe van der Heide M
Excelsior Excelsior 4-3-3
1 S. van Gassel S. van Gassel G 7.70
15 S. Janssen S. Janssen 2 👟 81' D 8.30
14 J. Plug J. Plug D 6.90
3 R. Meissen R. Meissen D 7.00
17 Nolan Martens Nolan Martens 74' D 6.30
20 L. Hartjes L. Hartjes M 7.70
10 N. Naujoks N. Naujoks 2 ⚽ M 8.20
6 D. van Vianen D. van Vianen M 6.90
11 G. de Regt G. de Regt 1 👟 85' F 6.90
19 D. Garden D. Garden 1 ⚽ 74' F 8.20
8 I. Yegoian I. Yegoian 1 ⚽ 1 👟 75' F 8.60
Bench
7 A. Sliti A. Sliti 17' F 6.90
16 Celton Biai Celton Biai G
4 C. Widell C. Widell 18' D 6.50
24 Giulliano Cairo Giulliano Cairo M
21 I. Silva Timas I. Silva Timas 7' F 7.30
28 N. Groen N. Groen 18' F 6.30
34 Noa el Hamdaoui Noa el Hamdaoui M
22 O. Turay O. Turay 11' D 6.30
5 S. Henderikx S. Henderikx D
18 V. Sulzbacher V. Sulzbacher M
23 Y. Finey Y. Finey M
Best on the pitch
I. Yegoian
I. Yegoian
F · Excelsior
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 29 pass
S. Janssen
S. Janssen
D · Excelsior
8.30
2 👟
· 27 pass
D. Garden
D. Garden
F · Excelsior
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 16 pass
N. Naujoks
N. Naujoks
M · Excelsior
8.20
2 ⚽
3 shots · 26 pass
L. Hartjes
L. Hartjes
M · Excelsior
7.70
1 shots · 37 pass
S. van Gassel
S. van Gassel
G · Excelsior
7.70
· 61 pass
Cambuur Cambuur — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Jansen G 92 7.50 — — — 29 18% — — —
L. Jetten D 66 5.60 — — — 26 22% — — —
J. Amofa D 92 6.50 — — 1 78 68% 4 — —
I. Baouf D 92 6.20 — — — 68 64% — — —
R. Mulders D 45 5.90 — — — 22 21% 2 — —
N. Souren M 92 6.90 — — — 32 28% 4 — —
R. El Arguioui M 92 6.50 — — 3 15 9% — — —
Ryan van de Pavert M 45 6.20 — — — 18 15% 1 — —
I. Hamache F 92 7.20 — — — 15 12% 1 — —
S. Vink F 81 6.60 — — 1 19 12% — — —
Iwan Henstra F 92 7.50 — — 2 12 12% 3 — —
Ethan Apkakou M 26 6.30 — — — 13 11% — — —
M. Costarelli D 47 6.20 — — 1 18 15% 4 — —
S. Bouhoudane F 47 6.50 — — — 12 9% — — —
Wessel van der Goot M 11 6.30 — — — — — — — —
Excelsior Excelsior — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
S. van Gassel G 92 7.70 — — — 61 44% — — —
S. Janssen D 81 8.30 — 2 — 27 24% 5 — —
J. Plug D 92 6.90 — — — 58 54% 1 — —
R. Meissen D 92 7.00 — — — 60 54% 1 — —
Nolan Martens D 74 6.30 — — — 37 29% 1 — —
L. Hartjes M 92 7.70 — — 1 37 36% 2 — —
N. Naujoks M 92 8.20 2 — 3 26 14% 3 — —
D. van Vianen M 92 6.90 — — 1 29 26% 1 — —
G. de Regt F 85 6.90 — 1 3 16 14% 1 — —
D. Garden F 74 8.20 1 — 3 16 10% — — —
I. Yegoian F 75 8.60 1 1 1 29 25% 3 — —
A. Sliti F 17 6.90 — — 1 5 5% — — —
C. Widell D 18 6.50 — — — 14 9% — — —
I. Silva Timas F 7 7.30 — — 1 2 2% — — —
N. Groen F 18 6.30 — — — 8 5% — — —
O. Turay D 11 6.30 — — — 6 3% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cambuur vs Excelsior?
The final score was Cambuur 0–4 Excelsior.
What did the model predict before Cambuur vs Excelsior?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Cambuur win, 32% to a draw, and 33% to an Excelsior win.