Cambuur 1–4 Twente — pre-match prediction — Eredivisie — August 30, 2026

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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 4 August 30, 2026 20:00 Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden

Cambuur

#17 · 1 pts

1 – 4

Final score

Twente

#3 · 13 pts

I. Hamache 88'

22' (ast. B. van Rooij) R. Nijstad

26' (ast. J. Drommel) W. Weghorst

47' (ast. S. Orjasaeter) M. Pjaca

82' Y. Taha

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Twente a 44% win probability (draw 27%, Cambuur 27%). The final result was Cambuur 1–4 Twente.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.47

Actual xG

1.73

Saves

36%

Possession

64%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

22'

ast. B. van Rooij · R. Nijstad⚽

26'

ast. J. Drommel · W. Weghorst⚽

N. Souren

39'

40'

S. Orjasaeter

↕ S. Bouhoudane / N. Binder

46'

↕ M. Costarelli / F. Kvam

46'

47'

ast. S. Orjasaeter · M. Pjaca⚽

60'

F. Thorvaldsen / S. Orjasaeter ↕

60'

T. van den Belt / D. Weidmann ↕

↕ J. Amofa / D. Bouah

65'

77'

K. Kurowski / M. Pjaca ↕

↕ J. Berkhout / S. Vink

77'

82'

Y. Taha⚽

85'

M. Bruns / B. van Rooij ↕

85'

G. Peixoto / A. Adelgaard ↕

↕ I. Henstra / I. Hamache

85'

⚽I. Hamache

88'

Pre-match prediction

27.97%

Cambuur

27.77%

44.26%

Twente ←

we assigned to the actual result (Twente) 44.26% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Cambuur

2.31

0.47

-1.84

Twente

4.34

1.73

-2.61

Twente dominated by xG (1.73 vs 0.47). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	6	16
2	PSV Eindhoven	5	13
3	Twente	6	13
4	Feyenoord	5	11
5	Excelsior	5	10
6	Fortuna Sittard	5	10
7	GO Ahead Eagles	5	8
8	Ajax	4	7
9	NEC Nijmegen	5	7
10	Groningen	5	7
11	Sparta Rotterdam	5	5
12	Heerenveen	5	5
13	PEC Zwolle	5	4
14	Telstar	5	4
15	Utrecht	5	2
16	Willem II	5	2
17	Cambuur	5	1
18	ADO Den Haag	6	1

Lineups

Cambuur 5-4-1

T. Jansen G 6.30

M. Costarelli 45' D 6.20

B. van Duijl D 7.30

I. Baouf D 6.50

J. Amofa 65' D 5.90

L. Jetten D 6.20

R. El Arguioui M 6.50

N. Souren M 6.30

J. Berkhout 77' M 6.30

Iwan Henstra 85' M 6.30

S. Bouhoudane 45' F 6.70

Bench

Damian Westerhof M

D. Bouah 26' M 6.70

Ethan Apkakou M

F. Kvam 46' F 6.90

I. Hamache 1 ⚽ 6' F 7.70

Jasper Meijster G

M. Kalisvaart G

M. Maertens M

N. Binder 46' F 6.50

R. Mulders D

S. Vink 14' F 6.30

W. Kooistra F

Twente 4-2-3-1

J. Drommel 1 👟 G 6.90

A. Adelgaard 85' D 7.20

R. Nijstad 1 ⚽ D 7.60

R. Pröpper D 6.30

B. van Rooij 1 👟 85' D 7.20

D. Weidmann 60' M 7.00

R. Zerrouki M 6.90

M. Pjaca 1 ⚽ 77' M 7.70

Y. Taha 1 ⚽ M 7.30

S. Ørjasæter 1 👟 60' M 7.00

W. Weghorst 1 ⚽ F 7.20

Bench

Benjamin Nagel M

D. Rots F

Filip Thorvaldsen 31' F 6.90

Guilherme Peixoto 6' D

K. Kurowski 14' D 5.90

Lucas Vennegoor of Hesselink F

L. Unnerstall G

M. Bruns 6' D

R. Pasveer G

T. van den Belt 31' M 6.20

Best on the pitch

M. Pjaca

M · Twente

7.70

1 ⚽

2 shots · 36 pass

I. Hamache

F · Cambuur

7.70

1 ⚽

1 shots · 2 pass

R. Nijstad

D · Twente

7.60

1 ⚽

1 shots · 64 pass

Y. Taha

M · Twente

7.30

1 ⚽

4 shots · 56 pass

B. van Duijl

D · Cambuur

7.30

· 59 pass

B. van Rooij

D · Twente

7.20

1 👟

· 80 pass

Cambuur — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
T. Jansen	G	91	6.30	—	—	—	49	32%	—	—	—
M. Costarelli	D	45	6.20	—	—	—	8	5%	—	—	—
B. van Duijl	D	91	7.30	—	—	—	59	53%	4	—	—
I. Baouf	D	91	6.50	—	—	—	51	48%	2	—	—
J. Amofa	D	65	5.90	—	—	—	29	26%	—	—	—
L. Jetten	D	91	6.20	—	—	1	24	21%	2	—	—
R. El Arguioui	M	91	6.50	—	—	3	14	12%	3	—	—
N. Souren	M	91	6.30	—	—	1	33	30%	2	1	—
J. Berkhout	M	77	6.30	—	—	—	20	14%	1	—	—
Iwan Henstra	M	85	6.30	—	—	2	9	6%	3	—	—
S. Bouhoudane	F	45	6.70	—	—	1	7	3%	—	—	—
D. Bouah	M	26	6.70	—	—	—	10	10%	1	—	—
F. Kvam	F	46	6.90	—	—	1	6	5%	—	—	—
I. Hamache	F	6	7.70	1	—	1	2	2%	—	—	—
N. Binder	F	46	6.50	—	—	—	10	5%	2	—	—
S. Vink	F	14	6.30	—	—	—	3	2%	—	—	—

Twente — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
J. Drommel	G	91	6.90	—	1	—	31	23%	—	—	—
A. Adelgaard	D	85	7.20	—	—	—	46	43%	6	—	—
R. Nijstad	D	91	7.60	1	—	1	64	60%	—	—	—
R. Pröpper	D	91	6.30	—	—	1	73	64%	—	—	—
B. van Rooij	D	85	7.20	—	1	—	80	76%	—	—	—
D. Weidmann	M	60	7.00	—	—	1	33	33%	2	—	—
R. Zerrouki	M	91	6.90	—	—	2	78	72%	2	—	—
M. Pjaca	M	77	7.70	1	—	2	36	33%	1	—	—
Y. Taha	M	91	7.30	1	—	4	56	50%	2	—	—
S. Ørjasæter	M	60	7.00	—	1	1	22	21%	—	1	—
W. Weghorst	F	91	7.20	1	—	4	26	21%	—	—	—
Filip Thorvaldsen	F	31	6.90	—	—	1	14	9%	—	—	—
Guilherme Peixoto	D	6	—	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
K. Kurowski	D	14	5.90	—	—	—	6	5%	—	—	—
M. Bruns	D	6	—	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
T. van den Belt	M	31	6.20	—	—	1	17	12%	2	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Cambuur vs Twente?

The final score was Cambuur 1–4 Twente.

What did the model predict before Cambuur vs Twente?

The model assigned 27% probability to a Cambuur win, 27% to a draw, and 44% to an Twente win.