C. Larin
(ast. P. David)
78'
21'
(ast. S. Kolasinac)
J. Lukic
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Canada a 45% win probability (draw 32%, Bosnia & Herzegovina 21%). The final result was Canada 1–1 Bosnia & Herzegovina.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
7
4
Shots on target
3
1.06
Actual xG
0.98
2
Saves
1
60%
Possession
40%
9
Corners
4
22
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
A. Johnston
11'
21'
ast. S. Kolasinac ·
J. Lukic⚽
45'+1
J. Lukic
45'
E. Demirovic
L. De Fougerolles
53'
L. Millar
/ J. Shaffelburg
61'
J. David
/ P. David
61'
T. Buchanan
/ A. Ahmed
61'
62'
S. Bazdar
/
J. Lukic
62'
A. Gigovic
/
I. Basic
74'
I. Sunjic
/
E. Bajraktarevic
74'
K. Alajbegovic
/
A. Memic
T. Oluwaseyi
/ C. Larin
76'
⚽C. Larin
· ast. P. David
78'
84'
D. Burnic
/
S. Kolasinac
S. Eustaquio
/ J. Osorio
90'+1
90'+3
N. Katic
Pre-match prediction
45.83%
Canada
32.41%
X ←
21.76%
Bosnia
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.41%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.17
1.06
-0.11
0.73
0.98
+0.25
xG dominance was balanced (1.06 – 0.98).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
16
Maxime Crépeau
G
Maxime Crépeau
G
22
Richie Laryea
D
Richie Laryea
D
13
D. Cornelius
D
D. Cornelius
D
4
L. De Fougerolles
D
L. De Fougerolles
D
2
A. Johnston
D
A. Johnston
D
11
Liam Millar
61'
M
Liam Millar
61'
M
7
Stephen Eustaquio
M
Stephen Eustaquio
M
8
I. Koné
M
I. Koné
M
17
T. Buchanan
61'
M
T. Buchanan
61'
M
12
T. Oluwaseyi
76'
F
T. Oluwaseyi
76'
F
10
J. David
61'
F
J. David
61'
F
Bench
3
Alfie Jones
D
Alfie Jones
D
20
Ali Ahmed
33'
M
Ali Ahmed
33'
M
19
Alphonso Davies
D
Alphonso Davies
D
9
Cyle Larin
1 ⚽
18'
F
Cyle Larin
1 ⚽
18'
F
1
Dayne St. Clair
G
Dayne St. Clair
G
14
Jacob Shaffelburg
33'
F
Jacob Shaffelburg
33'
F
26
Jayden Nelson
F
Jayden Nelson
F
5
Joel Waterman
D
Joel Waterman
D
21
Jonathan Osorio
3'
M
Jonathan Osorio
3'
M
6
Mathieu Choinière
M
Mathieu Choinière
M
15
Moise Bombito
D
Moise Bombito
D
23
Niko Sigur
M
Niko Sigur
M
25
N. Saliba
M
N. Saliba
M
18
Owen Goodman
G
Owen Goodman
G
24
P. David
1 👟
33'
F
P. David
1 👟
33'
F
1
Nikola Vasilj
G
Nikola Vasilj
G
5
Sead Kolašinac
1 👟
84'
D
Sead Kolašinac
1 👟
84'
D
4
T. Muharemović
D
T. Muharemović
D
18
Nikola Katić
D
Nikola Katić
D
7
A. Dedić
D
A. Dedić
D
15
Amar Memić
74'
M
Amar Memić
74'
M
13
Ivan Bašić
62'
M
Ivan Bašić
62'
M
6
Benjamin Tahirović
M
Benjamin Tahirović
M
20
Esmir Bajraktarević
74'
M
Esmir Bajraktarević
74'
M
25
J. Lukić
1 ⚽
62'
F
J. Lukić
1 ⚽
62'
F
10
E. Demirović
F
E. Demirović
F
Bench
16
Amir Hadžiahmetović
M
Amir Hadžiahmetović
M
24
Arjan Malić
D
Arjan Malić
D
8
Armin Gigović
32'
M
Armin Gigović
32'
M
17
D. Burnić
10'
M
D. Burnić
10'
M
3
Dennis Hadžikadunić
D
Dennis Hadžikadunić
D
11
Edin Džeko
F
Edin Džeko
F
26
Ermin Mahmić
M
Ermin Mahmić
M
23
H. Tabaković
F
H. Tabaković
F
14
I. Šunjić
20'
M
I. Šunjić
20'
M
19
Kerim Alajbegović
20'
F
Kerim Alajbegović
20'
F
22
Martin Zlomislić
G
Martin Zlomislić
G
12
Mladen Jurkas
G
Mladen Jurkas
G
2
Nihad Mujakić
D
Nihad Mujakić
D
9
Samed Baždar
32'
F
Samed Baždar
32'
F
21
Stjepan Radeljić
D
Stjepan Radeljić
D
Best on the pitch
Nikola Katić
D · Bosnia
8.30
· 23 pass
Sead Kolašinac
D · Bosnia
8.00
1 👟
· 21 pass
Cyle Larin
F · Canada
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
J. Lukić
F · Bosnia
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 17 pass
T. Muharemović
D · Bosnia
7.50
1 shots
· 31 pass
Richie Laryea
D · Canada
7.30
1 shots
· 33 pass
Canada — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Crépeau | G | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Richie Laryea | D | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 24% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Cornelius | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 45% | 4 | — | — |
| L. De Fougerolles | D | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 36% | 3 | 1 | — |
| A. Johnston | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Liam Millar | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Stephen Eustaquio | M | 91 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Koné | M | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 61 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Buchanan | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Oluwaseyi | F | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 6% | — | — | — |
| J. David | F | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Ali Ahmed | M | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Cyle Larin | F | 18 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jacob Shaffelburg | F | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Osorio | M | 3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| P. David | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Bosnia & Herzegovina — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Vasilj | G | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Sead Kolašinac | D | 84 | 8.00 | — | 1 | — | 21 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Muharemović | D | 94 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Nikola Katić | D | 94 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 15% | 5 | 1 | — |
| A. Dedić | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Amar Memić | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Ivan Bašić | M | 62 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Tahirović | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Esmir Bajraktarević | M | 74 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 7% | — | — | — |
| J. Lukić | F | 62 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 17 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Demirović | F | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Armin Gigović | M | 32 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Burnić | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| I. Šunjić | M | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Kerim Alajbegović | F | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Samed Baždar | F | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
The final score was Canada 1–1 Bosnia & Herzegovina.
What did the model predict before Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Canada win, 32% to a draw, and 21% to an Bosnia & Herzegovina win.