Canada - Chile
Friendlies Internazionali
September 27, 2026 01:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.92%
Win
Canada
30.77%
Draw
30.31%
Win
Chile
1.68
0.93
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(11.75%)
1X2 Result
1
39%
X
31%
2
30%
Double Chance
1X
70%
X2
61%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Canada a 38% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Chile. Expected goals are 1.7 for Canada and 0.9 for Chile (total 2.6), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 11.75% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Canada have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Chile.
Season Stats
2W
3D
0L
1W
0D
1L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.5
0.6
Conceded
1.5
3.3
Shots OT
3.5
5.3
Corners
2.5
55%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
100%
20%
O 2.5
100%
40%
BTTS
100%
60%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 5 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
2W
3D
0L
· at home
1W
0D
1L
· away
1.2
gls/g
1.5
0.6
Conceded
1.5
40%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
60%
O 1.5
100%
20%
O 2.5
100%
20%
O 3.5
0%
40%
BTTS
100%
60%
Clean Sht
0%
20%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Canada
Chile →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 12.3% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 10.4% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Canada
Attack
28
Defence
87
Form
58
Chile
Attack
36
Defence
50
Form
56
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
30 Jun 2024
0–0
Unavailable
Canada
Injured
Injured
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Canada vs Chile?
The model gives Canada a 38% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 30% for an Chile win.
How many goals are expected in Canada vs Chile?
Expected goals: Canada 1.7, Chile 0.9 (total 2.6). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Canada vs Chile?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.75%.