Canada - Guatemala
CONCACAF Nations League
November 17, 2026 02:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
48.36%
Win
Canada
36.22%
Draw
15.42%
Win
Guatemala
0.94
0.37
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–0
(26.45%)
1X2 Result
✓ 83.3% hit rate (24 picks)
1
48%
X
36%
2
15%
Double Chance
✓ 95.8% hit rate (24 picks)
1X
85%
X2
52%
12
64%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
48%
Over 2.5
15%
✓ 71.4% hit rate (42 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Canada a 48% win probability, against 36% for a draw and 15% for Guatemala. Expected goals are 0.9 for Canada and 0.4 for Guatemala (total 1.3), with a 47% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 26.45% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Canada have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Guatemala.
Score Matrix
↕ Canada
Guatemala →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 26.9% | 10.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 1 | 25.4% | 9.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 2 | 11.9% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 3 | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | — | — | — |
| 4 | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Canada
Attack
36
Defence
84
Form
62
Guatemala
Attack
31
Defence
60
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Canada vs Guatemala?
The model gives Canada a 48% win probability, 36% for a draw, and 15% for an Guatemala win.
How many goals are expected in Canada vs Guatemala?
Expected goals: Canada 0.9, Guatemala 0.4 (total 1.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 47%.
What is the most likely score in Canada vs Guatemala?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 26.45%.