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World Cup · Round of 16 July 04, 2026 19:00
Canada
#2 · 4 pts
0 – 3
Final score
Morocco
#2 · 7 pts
50' (ast. A. Hakimi) A. Ounahi
82' (ast. B. Diaz) A. Ounahi
90'+8 (ast. B. Diaz) S. Rahimi
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Canada a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Morocco 29%). The final result was Canada 0–3 Morocco.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
4
0.86
Actual xG
0.78
1
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
11
Corners
1
18
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
20'
R. Halhal
22'
S. Rahimi / I. Saibari ↕
40'
A. Hakimi
R. Laryea
40'
J. David
43'
45'+6
B. El Khannouss
45'
A. Ounahi
L. De Fougerolles
49'
50'
ast. A. Hakimi · A. Ounahi⚽
63'
C. Talbi / B. El Khannouss ↕
63'
S. Amrabat / A. Bouaddi ↕
↕ T. Oluwaseyi / C. Larin
63'
C. Larin
67'
↕ A. Ahmed / P. David
78'
↕ R. Laryea / J. Shaffelburg
78'
82'
ast. B. Diaz · A. Ounahi⚽
87'
M. Saadane / I. Diop ↕
87'
S. El Mourabet / A. Ounahi ↕
↕ T. Buchanan / J. Nelson
87'
↕ N. Sigur / J. Osorio
87'
90'+8
ast. B. Diaz · S. Rahimi⚽
Pre-match prediction
38.96%
Canada
31.44%
X
29.6%
Morocco ←
we assigned to the actual result (Morocco) 29.6% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Canada
1.47
0.86
-0.61
Morocco
1.28
0.78
-0.5
xG dominance was balanced (0.86 – 0.78). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
Canada Canada 4-4-2
16 M. Crépeau M. Crépeau G 5.90
22 R. Laryea R. Laryea 78' D 6.70
4 Luc De Fougerolles Luc De Fougerolles D 5.60
15 Moise Bombito Moise Bombito D 5.30
2 Alistair Johnston Alistair Johnston D 6.00
20 Ali Ahmed Ali Ahmed 78' M 6.90
7 S. Eustáquio S. Eustáquio M 7.50
23 N. Sigur N. Sigur 87' M 6.90
17 T. Buchanan T. Buchanan 87' M 5.90
12 T. Oluwaseyi T. Oluwaseyi 63' F 7.30
10 J. David J. David F 6.50
Bench
19 A. Davies A. Davies D
3 A. Jones A. Jones D
9 C. Larin C. Larin 27' F 6.30
13 D. Cornelius D. Cornelius D
1 D. St. Clair D. St. Clair G
26 J. Nelson J. Nelson 13' F 6.60
21 J. Osorio J. Osorio 13' M 6.30
14 J. Shaffelburg J. Shaffelburg 12' F 6.90
5 J. Waterman J. Waterman D
11 L. Millar L. Millar F
6 M. Choinière M. Choinière M
25 N. Saliba N. Saliba M
18 O. Goodman O. Goodman G
24 P. David P. David 12' F 6.50
Morocco Morocco 4-2-3-1
1 Y. Bounou Y. Bounou G 7.60
3 N. Mazraoui N. Mazraoui D 7.90
25 Redouane Halhal Redouane Halhal D 6.90
14 I. Diop I. Diop 87' D 7.30
2 A. Hakimi A. Hakimi 1 👟 D 7.20
24 N. El Aynaoui N. El Aynaoui M 6.70
6 A. Bouaddi A. Bouaddi 63' M 7.00
23 B. El Khannouss B. El Khannouss 63' M 6.50
8 A. Ounahi A. Ounahi 2 ⚽ 87' M 9.20
10 Brahim Díaz Brahim Díaz 2 👟 M 7.30
11 I. Saibari I. Saibari 22' F 6.30
Bench
21 A. Amaimouni A. Amaimouni F
20 A. El Kaabi A. El Kaabi F
26 Anass Salah-Eddine Anass Salah-Eddine D
17 A. Sbaï A. Sbaï F
22 A. Tagnaouti A. Tagnaouti G
18 Chadi Riad Chadi Riad D
7 C. Talbi C. Talbi 27' F 6.90
16 Gessime Yassine Gessime Yassine F
12 M. Mohamedi M. Mohamedi G
5 M. Saâdane M. Saâdane 13' D 6.90
4 S. Amrabat S. Amrabat 27' M 6.20
15 S. El Mourabet S. El Mourabet 13' M 6.70
9 S. Rahimi S. Rahimi 1 ⚽ 68' F 7.20
19 Youssef Belammari Youssef Belammari D
13 Z. El Ouahdi Z. El Ouahdi D
Best on the pitch
A. Ounahi
A. Ounahi
M · Morocco
9.20
2 ⚽
2 shots · 42 pass
N. Mazraoui
N. Mazraoui
D · Morocco
7.90
· 36 pass
Y. Bounou
Y. Bounou
G · Morocco
7.60
· 40 pass
S. Eustáquio
S. Eustáquio
M · Canada
7.50
· 64 pass
I. Diop
I. Diop
D · Morocco
7.30
· 75 pass
T. Oluwaseyi
T. Oluwaseyi
F · Canada
7.30
2 shots · 9 pass
Canada Canada — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Crépeau G 90 5.90 — — — 22 17% — — —
R. Laryea D 78 6.70 — — — 21 17% 1 1 —
Luc De Fougerolles D 90 5.60 — — 1 48 38% — 1 —
Moise Bombito D 90 5.30 — — — 46 33% — — —
Alistair Johnston D 90 6.00 — — 1 34 29% 1 — —
Ali Ahmed M 78 6.90 — — — 13 8% 4 — —
S. Eustáquio M 90 7.50 — — — 64 49% 4 — —
N. Sigur M 87 6.90 — — — 33 27% 1 — —
T. Buchanan M 87 5.90 — — 1 15 11% 1 — —
T. Oluwaseyi F 63 7.30 — — 2 9 3% 3 — —
J. David F 90 6.50 — — 2 24 18% 3 1 —
C. Larin F 27 6.30 — — — 4 4% — 1 —
J. Nelson F 13 6.60 — — 1 7 5% — — —
J. Osorio M 13 6.30 — — — 5 4% — — —
J. Shaffelburg F 12 6.90 — — — 7 6% — — —
P. David F 12 6.50 — — — 5 3% — — —
Morocco Morocco — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Y. Bounou G 90 7.60 — — — 40 26% — — —
N. Mazraoui D 90 7.90 — — — 36 30% 2 — —
Redouane Halhal D 90 6.90 — — — 66 63% — 1 —
I. Diop D 87 7.30 — — — 75 69% — — —
A. Hakimi D 90 7.20 — 1 — 56 43% 2 1 —
N. El Aynaoui M 90 6.70 — — — 55 47% — — —
A. Bouaddi M 63 7.00 — — — 32 28% 1 — —
B. El Khannouss M 63 6.50 — — — 18 13% 2 1 —
A. Ounahi M 87 9.20 2 — 2 42 33% — 1 —
Brahim Díaz M 90 7.30 — 2 — 19 15% 1 — —
I. Saibari F 22 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
C. Talbi F 27 6.90 — — — 7 4% 2 — —
M. Saâdane D 13 6.90 — — — 1 — — — —
S. Amrabat M 27 6.20 — — — 11 10% — — —
S. El Mourabet M 13 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
S. Rahimi F 68 7.20 1 — 3 10 4% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Canada vs Morocco?
The final score was Canada 0–3 Morocco.
What did the model predict before Canada vs Morocco?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Canada win, 31% to a draw, and 29% to an Morocco win.