Skip to main content
← World Cup
World Cup · Round of 16 July 04, 2026 19:00
Canada
#2 · 4 pts
0 – 3
Final score
Morocco
#2 · 7 pts
50' (ast. A. Hakimi) A. Ounahi
82' (ast. B. Diaz) A. Ounahi
90'+8 (ast. B. Diaz) S. Rahimi
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Canada a 38% win probability (draw 31%, Morocco 29%). The final result was Canada 0–3 Morocco.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
4
0.86
Actual xG
0.78
1
Saves
3
45%
Possession
55%
11
Corners
1
18
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
20'
R. Halhal
22'
S. Rahimi / I. Saibari ↕
40'
A. Hakimi
R. Laryea
40'
J. David
43'
45'+6
B. El Khannouss
45'
A. Ounahi
L. De Fougerolles
49'
50'
ast. A. Hakimi · A. Ounahi⚽
63'
C. Talbi / B. El Khannouss ↕
63'
S. Amrabat / A. Bouaddi ↕
↕ T. Oluwaseyi / C. Larin
63'
C. Larin
67'
↕ A. Ahmed / P. David
78'
↕ R. Laryea / J. Shaffelburg
78'
82'
ast. B. Diaz · A. Ounahi⚽
87'
M. Saadane / I. Diop ↕
87'
S. El Mourabet / A. Ounahi ↕
↕ T. Buchanan / J. Nelson
87'
↕ N. Sigur / J. Osorio
87'
90'+8
ast. B. Diaz · S. Rahimi⚽
Pre-match prediction
38.96%
Canada
31.44%
X
29.6%
Morocco ←
we assigned to the actual result (Morocco) 29.6% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Canada
1.47
0.86
-0.61
Morocco
1.28
0.78
-0.5
xG dominance was balanced (0.86 – 0.78). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
Canada Canada 4-4-2
16 M. Crépeau M. Crépeau G 5.90
22 Richie Laryea Richie Laryea 78' D 6.70
4 L. De Fougerolles L. De Fougerolles D 5.60
15 Moise Bombito Moise Bombito D 5.30
2 Alistair Johnston Alistair Johnston D 6.00
20 Ali Ahmed Ali Ahmed 78' M 6.90
7 Stephen Eustaquio Stephen Eustaquio M 7.50
23 Niko Sigur Niko Sigur 87' M 6.90
17 T. Buchanan T. Buchanan 87' M 5.90
12 T. Oluwaseyi T. Oluwaseyi 63' F 7.30
10 J. David J. David F 6.50
Bench
3 Alfie Jones Alfie Jones D
19 Alphonso Davies Alphonso Davies D
9 C. Larin C. Larin 27' F 6.30
1 Dayne St. Clair Dayne St. Clair G
13 D. Cornelius D. Cornelius D
26 Jayden Nelson Jayden Nelson 13' F 6.60
5 Joel Waterman Joel Waterman D
21 Jonathan Osorio Jonathan Osorio 13' M 6.30
14 J. Shaffelburg J. Shaffelburg 12' F 6.90
11 L. Millar L. Millar F
6 Mathieu Choinière Mathieu Choinière M
25 N. Saliba N. Saliba M
18 Owen Goodman Owen Goodman G
24 P. David P. David 12' F 6.50
Morocco Morocco 4-2-3-1
1 Yassine Bounou Yassine Bounou G 7.60
3 Noussair Mazraoui Noussair Mazraoui D 7.90
25 Redouane Halhal Redouane Halhal D 6.90
14 I. Diop I. Diop 87' D 7.30
2 A. Hakimi A. Hakimi 1 👟 D 7.20
24 N. El Aynaoui N. El Aynaoui M 6.70
6 Ayyoub Bouaddi Ayyoub Bouaddi 63' M 7.00
23 Bilal El Khannouss Bilal El Khannouss 63' M 6.50
8 A. Ounahi A. Ounahi 2 ⚽ 87' M 9.20
10 Brahim Díaz Brahim Díaz 2 👟 M 7.30
11 I. Saibari I. Saibari 22' F 6.30
Bench
20 A. El Kaabi A. El Kaabi F
17 Amine Sbai Amine Sbai F
26 Anass Salah-Eddine Anass Salah-Eddine D
22 A. Tagnaouti A. Tagnaouti G
21 Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab F
18 Chadi Riad Chadi Riad D
7 Chemsdine Talbi Chemsdine Talbi 27' F 6.90
16 Gessime Yassine Gessime Yassine F
5 Marwane Saadane Marwane Saadane 13' D 6.90
12 M. Mohamedi M. Mohamedi G
15 Samir El Mourabet Samir El Mourabet 13' M 6.70
4 Sofyan Amrabat Sofyan Amrabat 27' M 6.20
9 S. Rahimi S. Rahimi 1 ⚽ 68' F 7.20
19 Youssef Belammari Youssef Belammari D
13 Zakaria El Ouahdi Zakaria El Ouahdi D
Best on the pitch
A. Ounahi
A. Ounahi
M · Morocco
9.20
2 ⚽
2 shots · 42 pass
Noussair Mazraoui
Noussair Mazraoui
D · Morocco
7.90
· 36 pass
Yassine Bounou
Yassine Bounou
G · Morocco
7.60
· 40 pass
Stephen Eustaquio
Stephen Eustaquio
M · Canada
7.50
· 64 pass
I. Diop
I. Diop
D · Morocco
7.30
· 75 pass
T. Oluwaseyi
T. Oluwaseyi
F · Canada
7.30
2 shots · 9 pass
Canada Canada — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
M. Crépeau G 90 5.90 — — — 22 17% — — —
Richie Laryea D 78 6.70 — — — 21 17% 1 1 —
L. De Fougerolles D 90 5.60 — — 1 48 38% — 1 —
Moise Bombito D 90 5.30 — — — 46 33% — — —
Alistair Johnston D 90 6.00 — — 1 34 29% 1 — —
Ali Ahmed M 78 6.90 — — — 13 8% 4 — —
Stephen Eustaquio M 90 7.50 — — — 64 49% 4 — —
Niko Sigur M 87 6.90 — — — 33 27% 1 — —
T. Buchanan M 87 5.90 — — 1 15 11% 1 — —
T. Oluwaseyi F 63 7.30 — — 2 9 3% 3 — —
J. David F 90 6.50 — — 2 24 18% 3 1 —
C. Larin F 27 6.30 — — — 4 4% — 1 —
Jayden Nelson F 13 6.60 — — 1 7 5% — — —
Jonathan Osorio M 13 6.30 — — — 5 4% — — —
J. Shaffelburg F 12 6.90 — — — 7 6% — — —
P. David F 12 6.50 — — — 5 3% — — —
Morocco Morocco — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Yassine Bounou G 90 7.60 — — — 40 26% — — —
Noussair Mazraoui D 90 7.90 — — — 36 30% 2 — —
Redouane Halhal D 90 6.90 — — — 66 63% — 1 —
I. Diop D 87 7.30 — — — 75 69% — — —
A. Hakimi D 90 7.20 — 1 — 56 43% 2 1 —
N. El Aynaoui M 90 6.70 — — — 55 47% — — —
Ayyoub Bouaddi M 63 7.00 — — — 32 28% 1 — —
Bilal El Khannouss M 63 6.50 — — — 18 13% 2 1 —
A. Ounahi M 87 9.20 2 — 2 42 33% — 1 —
Brahim Díaz M 90 7.30 — 2 — 19 15% 1 — —
I. Saibari F 22 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Chemsdine Talbi F 27 6.90 — — — 7 4% 2 — —
Marwane Saadane D 13 6.90 — — — 1 — — — —
Samir El Mourabet M 13 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
Sofyan Amrabat M 27 6.20 — — — 11 10% — — —
S. Rahimi F 68 7.20 1 — 3 10 4% 2 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Canada vs Morocco?
The final score was Canada 0–3 Morocco.
What did the model predict before Canada vs Morocco?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Canada win, 31% to a draw, and 29% to an Morocco win.