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Canada - Peru

Friendlies Internazionali October 03, 2026 20:00
Canada
vs
Peru
⚡ Pre-match analysis
45.24%
Win
Canada
28.29%
Draw
26.47%
Win
Peru
1.65
Expected xG
0.84

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.69%)
1X2 Result
1 45%
X 28%
2 26%
Double Chance
1X 74%
X2 55%
12 72%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Canada a 45% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Peru. Expected goals are 1.7 for Canada and 0.8 for Peru (total 2.5), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.69% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Canada have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Peru.

Season Stats

Canada
2W 3D 0L
Peru
1W 1D 2L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.2
0.6
Conceded
2.0
3.3
Shots OT
3.0
5.3
Corners
4.7
55%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
100%
20%
O 2.5
75%
40%
BTTS
75%
60%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 5 matches in Friendlies Internazionali. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
Canada
2W 3D 0L · at home
Peru
1W 0D 1L · away
1.2
gls/g
1.0
0.6
Conceded
1.5
40%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
60%
O 1.5
100%
20%
O 2.5
50%
20%
O 3.5
0%
40%
BTTS
50%
60%
Clean Sht
0%
20%
Failed to Score
50%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Canada Peru →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3% 6.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% —
1 13.7% 11.5% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% —
2 11.3% 9.5% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% —
3 6.2% 5.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% —
4 2.6% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% —
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Canada Canada
D Rep. Of Ireland 1–1
W Uzbekistan 2–0
D Tunisia 0–0
D Iceland 2–2
W Guatemala 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 26%
Peru Peru
L Spain 1–3
W Haiti 1–2
D Honduras 2–2
L Senegal 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Canada Canada
Attack
28
Defence
87
Form
59
Peru Peru
Attack
32
Defence
53
Form
47
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Canada
0
Draw
0
Peru
27 Jun 2024 Copa America 1–0

Unavailable

Canada
A. Jones
A. Jones
Injured
I. Koné
I. Koné
Injured
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Canada vs Peru?
The model gives Canada a 45% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 26% for an Peru win.
How many goals are expected in Canada vs Peru?
Expected goals: Canada 1.7, Peru 0.8 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Canada vs Peru?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.69%.