C. Larin
16'
J. David
29'
J. David
45'+3
N. Saliba
64'
M. Al Mannai
75'
(og)
J. David
(ast. N. Saliba)
90'+2
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Canada a 50% win probability (draw 26%, Qatar 22%). The final result was Canada 6–0 Qatar.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
1
10
Shots on target
0
4.11
Actual xG
0.18
0
Saves
4
79%
Possession
21%
18
Corners
1
9
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
2
Match Events
D. Cornelius
9'
⚽C. Larin
16'
⚽J. David
29'
33'
H. Al Amin
40'
S. Al Brake
/
Y. Abdurisag
⚽J. David
45'+3
46'
A. Fathi
/
Edmilson Junior
46'
M. Al Mannai
/
J. Gaber
D. Cornelius
/ M. Bombito
46'
53'
A. O. Madibo
I. Kone
/ N. Saliba
57'
59'
A. Al Hussain
/
A. Afif
62'
A. Fathi
⚽N. Saliba
64'
L. De Fougerolles
/ J. Shaffelburg
71'
A. Ahmed
/ T. Oluwaseyi
71'
⚽M. Al Mannai
(og)
75'
T. Buchanan
/ N. Sigur
83'
87'
Lucas Mendes
/
A. Fathi
⚽J. David
· ast. N. Saliba
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
50.57%
Canada ←
26.58%
X
22.85%
Qatar
we assigned to the actual result (Canada)
50.57%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.06
4.11
+2.05
0.78
0.18
-0.6
Canada dominated by xG (4.11 vs 0.18).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
M. Crépeau
G
M. Crépeau
G
22
R. Laryea
D
R. Laryea
D
13
D. Cornelius
45'
D
D. Cornelius
45'
D
4
Luc De Fougerolles
71'
D
Luc De Fougerolles
71'
D
2
Alistair Johnston
D
Alistair Johnston
D
20
Ali Ahmed
71'
M
Ali Ahmed
71'
M
7
S. Eustáquio
M
S. Eustáquio
M
8
I. Koné
57'
M
I. Koné
57'
M
17
T. Buchanan
83'
M
T. Buchanan
83'
M
9
C. Larin
1 ⚽
F
C. Larin
1 ⚽
F
10
J. David
3 ⚽
F
J. David
3 ⚽
F
Bench
19
A. Davies
D
A. Davies
D
1
D. St. Clair
G
D. St. Clair
G
26
J. Nelson
F
J. Nelson
F
21
J. Osorio
M
J. Osorio
M
14
J. Shaffelburg
27'
F
J. Shaffelburg
27'
F
5
J. Waterman
D
J. Waterman
D
11
L. Millar
F
L. Millar
F
6
M. Choinière
M
M. Choinière
M
15
Moise Bombito
53'
D
Moise Bombito
53'
D
25
N. Saliba
1 ⚽
1 👟
41'
M
N. Saliba
1 ⚽
1 👟
41'
M
23
N. Sigur
15'
M
N. Sigur
15'
M
18
O. Goodman
G
O. Goodman
G
24
P. David
F
P. David
F
12
T. Oluwaseyi
27'
F
T. Oluwaseyi
27'
F
1
Mahmud Abunada
G
Mahmud Abunada
G
14
Homam Ahmed
33'
D
Homam Ahmed
33'
D
16
Boualem Khoukhi
D
Boualem Khoukhi
D
2
Pedro Miguel
D
Pedro Miguel
D
13
Ayoub Al Oui
D
Ayoub Al Oui
D
4
Gueye Laye
M
Gueye Laye
M
23
Assim Madibo
53'
M
Assim Madibo
53'
M
5
Jassem Gaber
45'
M
Jassem Gaber
45'
M
11
Akram Afif
59'
F
Akram Afif
59'
F
15
Y. Abdurisag
40'
F
Y. Abdurisag
40'
F
8
Edmilson Junior
45'
F
Edmilson Junior
45'
F
Bench
6
Abdulaziz Hatem
M
Abdulaziz Hatem
M
7
Ahmed Alaa
F
Ahmed Alaa
F
17
Ahmed Al Ganehi
F
Ahmed Al Ganehi
F
20
Ahmed Fathi
42'
M
Ahmed Fathi
42'
M
25
Al-Hashmi Al-Hussain
39'
D
Al-Hashmi Al-Hussain
39'
D
19
Almoez Ali
F
Almoez Ali
F
10
Hassan Al Haydos
F
Hassan Al Haydos
F
12
Karim Boudiaf
M
Karim Boudiaf
M
3
Lucas Mendes
11'
D
Lucas Mendes
11'
D
22
Meshaal Barsham
G
Meshaal Barsham
G
26
Mohamed Al Manai
1 ⚽
53'
M
Mohamed Al Manai
1 ⚽
53'
M
9
Mohammed Muntari
F
Mohammed Muntari
F
21
Salah Zakaria
G
Salah Zakaria
G
18
Sultan Al Braik
58'
D
Sultan Al Braik
58'
D
24
Tahsin Jamshid
F
Tahsin Jamshid
F
Best on the pitch
J. David
F · Canada
9.00
3 ⚽
5 shots
· 21 pass
R. Laryea
D · Canada
8.70
· 63 pass
S. Eustáquio
M · Canada
8.50
· 94 pass
N. Saliba
M · Canada
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 30 pass
T. Buchanan
M · Canada
7.90
2 shots
· 34 pass
Alistair Johnston
D · Canada
7.70
1 shots
· 56 pass
Canada — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Crépeau | G | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| R. Laryea | D | 98 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 63 | 55% | — | — | — |
| D. Cornelius | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| Luc De Fougerolles | D | 71 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Alistair Johnston | D | 98 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Ali Ahmed | M | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Eustáquio | M | 98 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 94 | 87% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Koné | M | 57 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Buchanan | M | 83 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Larin | F | 98 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. David | F | 98 | 9.00 | 3 | — | 5 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. Shaffelburg | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Moise Bombito | D | 53 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 36% | — | — | — |
| N. Saliba | M | 41 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Sigur | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| T. Oluwaseyi | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Qatar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahmud Abunada | G | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Homam Ahmed | D | 33 | 4.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | 1 |
| Boualem Khoukhi | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Miguel | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Ayoub Al Oui | D | 98 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Gueye Laye | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Assim Madibo | M | 53 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Jassem Gaber | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Akram Afif | F | 59 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Y. Abdurisag | F | 40 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Edmilson Junior | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Ahmed Fathi | M | 42 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Al-Hashmi Al-Hussain | D | 39 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — |
| Lucas Mendes | D | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Al Manai | M | 53 | 5.50 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Sultan Al Braik | D | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Canada vs Qatar?
The final score was Canada 6–0 Qatar.
What did the model predict before Canada vs Qatar?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Canada win, 26% to a draw, and 22% to an Qatar win.