C. Larin
16'
J. David
29'
J. David
45'+3
N. Saliba
64'
M. Al Mannai
75'
(og)
J. David
(ast. N. Saliba)
90'+2
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Canada a 50% win probability (draw 26%, Qatar 22%). The final result was Canada 6–0 Qatar.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
1
10
Shots on target
0
4.11
Actual xG
0.18
0
Saves
4
79%
Possession
21%
18
Corners
1
9
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
2
Match Events
D. Cornelius
9'
⚽C. Larin
16'
⚽J. David
29'
33'
H. Al Amin
40'
S. Al Brake
/
Y. Abdurisag
⚽J. David
45'+3
46'
A. Fathi
/
Edmilson Junior
46'
M. Al Mannai
/
J. Gaber
D. Cornelius
/ M. Bombito
46'
53'
A. O. Madibo
I. Kone
/ N. Saliba
57'
59'
A. Al Hussain
/
A. Afif
62'
A. Fathi
⚽N. Saliba
64'
L. De Fougerolles
/ J. Shaffelburg
71'
A. Ahmed
/ T. Oluwaseyi
71'
⚽M. Al Mannai
(og)
75'
T. Buchanan
/ N. Sigur
83'
87'
Lucas Mendes
/
A. Fathi
⚽J. David
· ast. N. Saliba
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
50.57%
Canada ←
26.58%
X
22.85%
Qatar
we assigned to the actual result (Canada)
50.57%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.06
4.11
+2.05
0.78
0.18
-0.6
Canada dominated by xG (4.11 vs 0.18).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
16
M. Crépeau
G
M. Crépeau
G
22
Richie Laryea
D
Richie Laryea
D
13
D. Cornelius
45'
D
D. Cornelius
45'
D
4
L. De Fougerolles
71'
D
L. De Fougerolles
71'
D
2
Alistair Johnston
D
Alistair Johnston
D
20
Ali Ahmed
71'
M
Ali Ahmed
71'
M
7
Stephen Eustaquio
M
Stephen Eustaquio
M
8
I. Koné
57'
M
I. Koné
57'
M
17
T. Buchanan
83'
M
T. Buchanan
83'
M
9
C. Larin
1 ⚽
F
C. Larin
1 ⚽
F
10
J. David
3 ⚽
F
J. David
3 ⚽
F
Bench
19
Alphonso Davies
D
Alphonso Davies
D
1
Dayne St. Clair
G
Dayne St. Clair
G
26
Jayden Nelson
F
Jayden Nelson
F
5
Joel Waterman
D
Joel Waterman
D
21
Jonathan Osorio
M
Jonathan Osorio
M
14
J. Shaffelburg
27'
F
J. Shaffelburg
27'
F
11
L. Millar
F
L. Millar
F
6
Mathieu Choinière
M
Mathieu Choinière
M
15
Moise Bombito
53'
D
Moise Bombito
53'
D
23
Niko Sigur
15'
M
Niko Sigur
15'
M
25
N. Saliba
1 ⚽
1 👟
41'
M
N. Saliba
1 ⚽
1 👟
41'
M
18
Owen Goodman
G
Owen Goodman
G
24
P. David
F
P. David
F
12
T. Oluwaseyi
27'
F
T. Oluwaseyi
27'
F
1
Mahmud Abunada
G
Mahmud Abunada
G
14
Homam Ahmed
33'
D
Homam Ahmed
33'
D
16
Boualem Khoukhi
D
Boualem Khoukhi
D
2
Pedro Miguel
D
Pedro Miguel
D
13
Ayoub Al Oui
D
Ayoub Al Oui
D
4
Issa Laye
M
Issa Laye
M
23
Assim Madibo
53'
M
Assim Madibo
53'
M
5
Jassem Gaber
45'
M
Jassem Gaber
45'
M
11
Akram Afif
59'
F
Akram Afif
59'
F
15
Yusuf Abdurisag
40'
F
Yusuf Abdurisag
40'
F
8
Edmilson Junior
45'
F
Edmilson Junior
45'
F
Bench
6
Abdelaziz Hatem
M
Abdelaziz Hatem
M
7
Ahmed Alaaeldin
F
Ahmed Alaaeldin
F
17
Ahmed Al-Ganehi
F
Ahmed Al-Ganehi
F
20
Ahmed Fathi
42'
M
Ahmed Fathi
42'
M
25
Al-Hashmi Al-Hussain
39'
D
Al-Hashmi Al-Hussain
39'
D
19
Almoez Ali
F
Almoez Ali
F
10
Hassan Al Haydos
F
Hassan Al Haydos
F
12
Karim Boudiaf
M
Karim Boudiaf
M
3
Lucas Mendes
11'
D
Lucas Mendes
11'
D
22
Meshaal Barsham
G
Meshaal Barsham
G
26
Mohamed Naceur Almanai
1 ⚽
53'
M
Mohamed Naceur Almanai
1 ⚽
53'
M
9
Mohammed Muntari
F
Mohammed Muntari
F
21
Salah Zakaria
G
Salah Zakaria
G
18
Sultan Al-Brake
58'
D
Sultan Al-Brake
58'
D
24
Tahsin Mohammed Jamshid
F
Tahsin Mohammed Jamshid
F
Best on the pitch
J. David
F · Canada
9.00
3 ⚽
5 shots
· 21 pass
Richie Laryea
D · Canada
8.70
· 63 pass
Stephen Eustaquio
M · Canada
8.50
· 94 pass
N. Saliba
M · Canada
8.50
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 30 pass
T. Buchanan
M · Canada
7.90
2 shots
· 34 pass
Alistair Johnston
D · Canada
7.70
1 shots
· 56 pass
Canada — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Crépeau | G | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Richie Laryea | D | 98 | 8.70 | — | — | — | 63 | 55% | — | — | — |
| D. Cornelius | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 29% | — | 1 | — |
| L. De Fougerolles | D | 71 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Alistair Johnston | D | 98 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Ali Ahmed | M | 71 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| Stephen Eustaquio | M | 98 | 8.50 | — | — | — | 94 | 87% | 3 | — | — |
| I. Koné | M | 57 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 50 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Buchanan | M | 83 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 34 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Larin | F | 98 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. David | F | 98 | 9.00 | 3 | — | 5 | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| J. Shaffelburg | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Moise Bombito | D | 53 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Niko Sigur | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| N. Saliba | M | 41 | 8.50 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Oluwaseyi | F | 27 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
Qatar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahmud Abunada | G | 98 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Homam Ahmed | D | 33 | 4.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | 1 |
| Boualem Khoukhi | D | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Pedro Miguel | D | 98 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Ayoub Al Oui | D | 98 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Issa Laye | M | 98 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Assim Madibo | M | 53 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | 1 |
| Jassem Gaber | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Akram Afif | F | 59 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Yusuf Abdurisag | F | 40 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Edmilson Junior | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Ahmed Fathi | M | 42 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| Al-Hashmi Al-Hussain | D | 39 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — |
| Lucas Mendes | D | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Naceur Almanai | M | 53 | 5.50 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Sultan Al-Brake | D | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Canada vs Qatar?
The final score was Canada 6–0 Qatar.
What did the model predict before Canada vs Qatar?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Canada win, 26% to a draw, and 22% to an Qatar win.