Canvey Island - Chelmsford City
FA Cup
September 19, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.66%
Win
Canvey Island
30.14%
Draw
36.2%
Win
Chelmsford City
1.2
1.35
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.52%)
1X2 Result
1
34%
X
30%
2
36%
Double Chance
1X
64%
X2
66%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
58%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chelmsford City a 36% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Canvey Island. Expected goals are 1.2 for Canvey Island and 1.4 for Chelmsford City (total 2.5), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.52% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Canvey Island have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Chelmsford City.
Season Stats
1W
1D
1L
4W
0D
1L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
3.2
1.0
Conceded
1.4
—
Shots OT
6.0
—
Corners
3.0
—
Poss.
47%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
0%
O 2.5
80%
33%
BTTS
60%
33%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 5 matches in FA Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Canvey Island
Chelmsford City →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.8% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Canvey Island
Attack
25
Defence
60
Form
44
Chelmsford City
Attack
29
Defence
74
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
0
Draw
1
14 Jul 2026
0–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Canvey Island vs Chelmsford City?
The model gives Canvey Island a 33% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 36% for an Chelmsford City win.
How many goals are expected in Canvey Island vs Chelmsford City?
Expected goals: Canvey Island 1.2, Chelmsford City 1.4 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Canvey Island vs Chelmsford City?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.52%.