Cape Verde Islands - Liberia
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
November 11, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.85%
Win
Cape Verde Islands
31.52%
Draw
23.63%
Win
Liberia
1.12
0.6
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(16.74%)
1X2 Result
1
45%
X
32%
2
24%
Double Chance
1X
76%
X2
55%
12
69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
80%
✓ 77.1% hit rate (48 picks)
Over 2.5
57%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Cape Verde Islands a 44% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Liberia. Expected goals are 1.1 for Cape Verde Islands and 0.6 for Liberia (total 1.7), with a 80% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 16.74% probability.
Season Stats
0W
0D
2L
0W
0D
2L
Averages per game
1.0
Goals
0.5
2.5
Conceded
2.0
4.0
Shots OT
3.0
2.5
Corners
4.0
58%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
50%
100%
O 2.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 2 matches in Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ Cape Verde Islands
Liberia →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17.9% | 10.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — |
| 1 | 20.1% | 12.0% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 11.2% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 3 | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.2% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Cape Verde Islands
Attack
37
Defence
59
Form
26
Liberia
Attack
27
Defence
64
Form
11
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Group K
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Rwanda
|
2 | 6 |
| 2 |
Mali
|
2 | 6 |
| 3 |
Cape Verde Islands
|
2 | 0 |
| 4 |
Liberia
|
2 | 0 |
What's at stake · Group K
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #3 | #4 |
| → Cape Verde Islands | #3 | #4 |
| → Draw | #3 | #4 |
| → Liberia | #4 | #3 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Cape Verde Islands vs Liberia?
The model gives Cape Verde Islands a 44% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 23% for an Liberia win.
How many goals are expected in Cape Verde Islands vs Liberia?
Expected goals: Cape Verde Islands 1.1, Liberia 0.6 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 80%.
What is the most likely score in Cape Verde Islands vs Liberia?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.74%.