Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
· Group Stage - 2
September 29, 2026 18:00
Estadio Nacional de Cabo Verde, Playa
Gilson Benchimol
(ast. Ryan Mendes)
40'
45'+2
(ast. A. Mutsinzi)
Claude Niyomugabo
52'
(ast. Joy Lance Mickels)
Elie Tatou Iradukunda
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Cape Verde Islands a 36% win probability (draw 27%, Rwanda 36%). The final result was Cape Verde Islands 1–2 Rwanda.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
2
0
Saves
5
70%
Possession
30%
4
Corners
3
9
Tackles
11
1
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
24'
Bonheur Mugisha
Kevin Pina
37'
⚽Gilson Benchimol
· ast. Ryan Mendes
40'
45'+2
ast. A. Mutsinzi ·
Claude Niyomugabo⚽
45'
Elie Tatou Iradukunda
/
Abeddy Biramahire
51'
Joy Lance Mickels
52'
ast. Joy Lance Mickels ·
Elie Tatou Iradukunda⚽
57'
Elie Tatou Iradukunda
58'
A. Mutsinzi
Ayoni Santos
/ Nuno Da Costa
62'
José Tavares
/ Jovane Cabral
62'
69'
Jojea Kwizera
/
Gilbert Mugisha
69'
Noam Emeran
/
Leroy-Jacques Mickels
Ryan Mendes
/ Dailon Livramento
75'
Telmo Arcanjo
/ Jamiro Monteiro
75'
Gilson Benchimol
/ Garry Rodrigues
85'
90'+3
I. Nshuti
/
Joy Lance Mickels
90'+3
Kevin Muhire
/
Bonheur Mugisha
Pre-match prediction
36.72%
Cape
27.01%
X
36.27%
Rwanda ←
we assigned to the actual result (Rwanda)
36.27%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.10
—
—
2.86
—
—
Lineups
1
Vózinha
G
Vózinha
G
13
S. Lopes Cabral
D
S. Lopes Cabral
D
3
Diney Borges
D
Diney Borges
D
5
Logan Costa
D
Logan Costa
D
2
Wagner Pina
D
Wagner Pina
D
6
Kevin Pina
M
Kevin Pina
M
25
A. Santos
62'
M
A. Santos
62'
M
16
José Luís Rocha Tavares
62'
M
José Luís Rocha Tavares
62'
M
18
Telmo Arcanjo
75'
M
Telmo Arcanjo
75'
M
20
Ryan Mendes
1 👟
75'
M
9
Gilson Benchimol
1 ⚽
85'
F
Gilson Benchimol
1 ⚽
85'
F
Bench
23
C. dos Santos
G
C. dos Santos
G
14
Deroy Duarte
M
19
D. Livramento
15'
F
D. Livramento
15'
F
11
Garry Rodrigues
5'
F
10
Jamiro Monteiro
15'
M
Jamiro Monteiro
15'
M
8
João Paulo
M
João Paulo
M
22
Jójó
D
Jójó
D
7
Jovane Cabral
28'
F
Jovane Cabral
28'
F
15
L. Duarte
M
L. Duarte
M
12
Márcio Rosa
G
Márcio Rosa
G
21
Nuno da Costa
28'
F
Nuno da Costa
28'
F
4
Pico
D
Pico
D
1
F. Ntwari
G
F. Ntwari
G
2
Claude Niyomugabo
1 ⚽
D
Claude Niyomugabo
1 ⚽
D
25
P. Kavita
D
P. Kavita
D
5
A. Mutsinzi
1 👟
D
24
45'
D
4
45'
M
15
Bonheur Mugisha
89'
M
Bonheur Mugisha
89'
M
13
L. Mickels
69'
M
L. Mickels
69'
M
20
J. Mickels
1 👟
89'
M
J. Mickels
1 👟
89'
M
12
45'
M
7
45'
F
Bench
3
E. Imanishimwe
D
22
J. Kwizera
21'
F
10
Noam Fritz Emeran
21'
F
Noam Fritz Emeran
21'
F
8
S. Gueulette
M
S. Gueulette
M
Best on the pitch
Ryan Mendes
M · Cape
7.67
1 👟
· 25 pass
Gilson Benchimol
F · Cape
7.55
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 9 pass
F. Ntwari
G · Rwanda
7.40
· 23 pass
Diney Borges
D · Cape
7.32
2 shots
· 84 pass
Claude Niyomugabo
D · Rwanda
7.06
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 18 pass
P. Kavita
D · Rwanda
6.90
· 16 pass
Cape Verde Islands — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vózinha | G | 90 | 6.04 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Lopes Cabral | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 44 | 42% | 0 | — | — |
| Diney Borges | D | 90 | 7.32 | — | — | 2 | 84 | 75% | 0 | — | — |
| Logan Costa | D | 90 | 6.85 | — | — | 0 | 77 | 69% | 1 | — | — |
| Wagner Pina | D | 90 | 6.36 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Pina | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 70 | 65% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Santos | M | 62 | 6.13 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| José Luís Rocha Tavares | M | 62 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| Telmo Arcanjo | M | 75 | 6.89 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| Ryan Mendes | M | 75 | 7.67 | — | 1 | 0 | 25 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| Gilson Benchimol | F | 85 | 7.55 | 1 | — | 3 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Livramento | F | 15 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Garry Rodrigues | F | 5 | 6.54 | — | — | 2 | 3 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| Jamiro Monteiro | M | 15 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Jovane Cabral | F | 28 | 6.24 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| Nuno da Costa | F | 28 | 6.62 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Rwanda — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Ntwari | G | 90 | 7.40 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Claude Niyomugabo | D | 90 | 7.06 | 1 | — | 2 | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Kavita | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Mutsinzi | D | 90 | 6.57 | — | 1 | 1 | 26 | 21% | 0 | 1 | — |
| D | 45 | 6.56 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| M | 45 | 6.56 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| Bonheur Mugisha | M | 89 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Mickels | M | 69 | 6.71 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Mickels | M | 89 | 6.79 | — | 1 | 0 | 17 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M | 45 | 6.56 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| F | 45 | 6.56 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 1% | 0 | — | — | |
| J. Kwizera | F | 21 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Noam Fritz Emeran | F | 21 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda?
The final score was Cape Verde Islands 1–2 Rwanda.
What did the model predict before Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Cape Verde Islands win, 27% to a draw, and 36% to an Rwanda win.