Cape Verde Islands - Rwanda
Africa Cup of Nations - Qual.
September 29, 2026 18:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.39%
Win
Cape Verde Islands
30.46%
Draw
37.14%
Win
Rwanda
1.71
2.22
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(9.08%)
1X2 Result
1
32%
X
30%
2
37%
Double Chance
1X
63%
X2
68%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Rwanda a 37% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Cape Verde Islands. Expected goals are 1.7 for Cape Verde Islands and 2.2 for Rwanda (total 3.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.08% probability.
Season Stats
0W
4D
2L
2W
0D
0L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
3.0
1.7
Conceded
0.0
2.5
Shots OT
—
4.0
Corners
—
37%
Poss.
—
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
50%
67%
BTTS
0%
33%
Clean Sht
100%
ℹ
Based on the last 6 matches across all competitions (friendlies excluded) — no in-tournament history yet.
Score Matrix
↕ Cape Verde Islands
Rwanda →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| 3 | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Recent form
No data available
Playing profile
Cape Verde Islands
Attack
39
Defence
62
Form
58
Rwanda
Attack
75
Defence
100
Form
82
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda?
The model gives Cape Verde Islands a 32% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 37% for an Rwanda win.
How many goals are expected in Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda?
Expected goals: Cape Verde Islands 1.7, Rwanda 2.2 (total 3.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Cape Verde Islands vs Rwanda?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.08%.