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← Brasileirão Série D
Brasileirão Série D · Round of 32 July 12, 2026 22:00
Capital Brasilia
#1 · 23 pts
1 – 0
Final score
pens 5–6
Nacional AM
#2 · 20 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Capital Brasilia
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Capital Brasilia a 54% win probability (draw 26%, Nacional AM 18%). The final result was Capital Brasilia 1–0 Nacional AM. In 1 previous meetings, Capital Brasilia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Nacional AM.

Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
54.82%
Capital ←
26.61%
X
18.57%
Nacional
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Capital Brasilia) 54.82% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Capital
1.75
—
—
Nacional
0.78
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Capital Brasilia vs Nacional AM?
The final score was Capital Brasilia 1–0 Nacional AM.
What did the model predict before Capital Brasilia vs Nacional AM?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Capital Brasilia win, 26% to a draw, and 18% to an Nacional AM win.