Skip to main content
← Liga FUTVE

Carabobo FC - Deportivo La Guaira

#1 · 11 pts
vs
#1 · 27 pts
Weather at kick-off ☁️ Overcast 24.7°C 💨 7 km/h 🌧️ 25% · Shintomi
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.16%
Win
Carabobo FC
22.83%
Draw
33.0%
Win
Deportivo La Guaira
1.73
Expected xG
1.59

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.91%)
1X2 Result
1 44%
X 23%
2 33%
Double Chance ✓ 90.3% hit rate (31 picks)
1X 67%
X2 56%
12 77%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 77%
Over 2.5 51%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Carabobo FC a 44% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Deportivo La Guaira. Expected goals are 1.7 for Carabobo FC and 1.6 for Deportivo La Guaira (total 3.3), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.91% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Carabobo FC have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo La Guaira.

Season Stats

Carabobo FC
8W 3D 4L
Deportivo La Guaira
6W 5D 4L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.6
0.9
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
93%
27%
O 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
67%
47%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga FUTVE. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
55%
BTTS
Carabobo FC
7W 3D 0L · at home
Deportivo La Guaira
7W 3D 0L · away
1.8
gls/g
1.8
0.7
Conceded
0.8
70%
Win %
70%
100%
Win or Draw
100%
50%
O 1.5
80%
30%
O 2.5
40%
20%
O 3.5
20%
40%
BTTS
70%
60%
Clean Sht
30%
20%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Carabobo FC Deportivo La Guaira →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.6% 5.7% 4.5% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
1 6.3% 9.9% 7.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5%
2 5.4% 8.6% 6.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5%
3 3.1% 5.0% 4.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
4 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

D UCV 1–1
W Deportivo La Guaira 1–0
W Puerto Cabello 0–2
W Estudiantes de Merida FC 1–0
L Rayo Zuliano 4–3
Home clean sheet (120 days) 47%
L Deportivo Tachira FC 2–4
L Carabobo FC 1–0
L UCV 0–2
W Anzoátegui FC 2–0
D Puerto Cabello 1–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 22%

Playing profile

Carabobo FC Carabobo FC
Attack
31
Defence
81
Form
60
Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira
Attack
42
Defence
62
Form
52
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Carabobo FC
1
Draw
0
Deportivo La Guaira
16 Sep 2026 Liga FUTVE 1–0
3 Apr 2026 Liga FUTVE 1–1

Primera Division: Apertura - Quadrangular - B

What's at stake · Primera Division: Apertura - Quadrangular - B

Top 2 advance to the next round

Carabobo FC Deportivo La Guaira
Current #1 #1
→ Carabobo FC #1 #1
→ Draw #1 #1
→ Deportivo La Guaira #1 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?
The model gives Carabobo FC a 44% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 33% for an Deportivo La Guaira win.
How many goals are expected in Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?
Expected goals: Carabobo FC 1.7, Deportivo La Guaira 1.6 (total 3.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.91%.