Carabobo FC - Estudiantes de Merida FC
Weather at kick-off
☁️
Overcast
25.8°C
💨 8 km/h
🌧️ 21%
· Shintomi
⚡ Pre-match analysis
51.27%
Win
Carabobo FC
27.37%
Draw
21.36%
Win
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1.38
0.77
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(16.29%)
1X2 Result
1
51%
X
27%
2
21%
Double Chance
✓ 90.3% hit rate (31 picks)
1X
79%
X2
49%
12
73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
67%
Over 2.5
38%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Carabobo FC a 51% win probability, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Estudiantes de Merida FC. Expected goals are 1.4 for Carabobo FC and 0.8 for Estudiantes de Merida FC (total 2.2), with a 66% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 16.29% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Carabobo FC have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Estudiantes de Merida FC.
Season Stats
7W
4D
4L
6W
2D
7L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
0.9
0.9
Conceded
1.3
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
67%
33%
O 2.5
33%
47%
BTTS
33%
40%
Clean Sht
20%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Liga FUTVE. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
6W
4D
0L
· at home
2W
2D
6L
· away
1.8
gls/g
0.7
0.8
Conceded
1.4
60%
Win %
20%
100%
Win or Draw
40%
60%
O 1.5
70%
30%
O 2.5
30%
20%
O 3.5
10%
50%
BTTS
30%
50%
Clean Sht
10%
20%
Failed to Score
60%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Carabobo FC
Estudiantes de Merida FC →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.6% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 16.1% | 12.3% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | — |
| 2 | 11.2% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Carabobo FC
Attack
31
Defence
81
Form
60
Estudiantes de Merida FC
Attack
26
Defence
79
Form
58
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Primera Division: Apertura - Quadrangular - B
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Carabobo FC
|
6 | 11 |
| 2 |
Deportivo Tachira FC
|
6 | 11 |
| 3 |
Metropolitanos FC
|
6 | 8 |
| 4 |
Estudiantes de Merida FC
|
6 | 3 |
What's at stake · Primera Division: Apertura - Quadrangular - B
Top 2 advance to the next round
| Current | #1 | #4 |
| → Carabobo FC | #1 | #4 |
| → Draw | #1 | #4 |
| → Estudiantes de Merida FC | #1 | #4 |
Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
The model gives Carabobo FC a 51% win probability, 27% for a draw, and 21% for an Estudiantes de Merida FC win.
How many goals are expected in Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Expected goals: Carabobo FC 1.4, Estudiantes de Merida FC 0.8 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 66%.
What is the most likely score in Carabobo FC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.29%.