Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 1
April 10, 2026 02:30
E. Neira
(ast. M. Cova)
9'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Carabobo FC a 39% win probability (draw 32%, RB Bragantino 27%). The final result was Carabobo FC 1–0 RB Bragantino. In 1 previous meetings, Carabobo FC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for RB Bragantino.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
13
5
Shots on target
2
0.39
Actual xG
0.73
2
Saves
4
34%
Possession
66%
5
Corners
7
16
Tackles
11
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽E. Neira
· ast. M. Cova
9'
46'
Gustavo Marques
/
Eduardo Santos
J. Bilbao
58'
E. Tortolero
/ E. Castillo
62'
64'
I. Pitta
/
Jhuan
64'
H. Mosquera
/
Marcelinho
64'
Rodriguinho
/
Fabinho
78'
Lucas Barbosa
/
Caue Nascimento
A. Gonzalez
/ M. Guaramato
79'
J. Berios
/ L. Martinez
79'
E. Ramirez
/ A. Bahachille
85'
L. Bruera
88'
90'+1
Lucas Barbosa
Pre-match prediction
39.75%
Carabobo ←
32.84%
X
27.41%
RB
we assigned to the actual result (Carabobo FC)
39.75%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.07
0.39
-0.68
0.86
0.73
-0.13
RB Bragantino dominated by xG (0.73 vs 0.39).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
Lucas Bruera
G
8
J. Pérez
D
3
J. Fuentes
D
32
E. Neira
1 ⚽
D
28
J. Bilbao
D
21
A. González
79'
D
A. González
79'
D
7
Edson Tortolero
62'
M
Edson Tortolero
62'
M
26
M. Núñez
M
15
M. Cova
1 👟
M
24
E. Ramírez
85'
F
E. Ramírez
85'
F
14
79'
F
Bench
5
E. Castillo
37'
M
E. Castillo
37'
M
17
F. Oliveros
D
13
J. Duran
D
18
J. Obando
M
9
J. Riasco
F
19
Loureins Martínez
20'
F
Loureins Martínez
20'
F
2
M. Guaramato
20'
D
10
Y. Orozco
M
18
G
51
Cauê Nascimento Santos
78'
D
Cauê Nascimento Santos
78'
D
3
Eduardo Santos
45'
D
Eduardo Santos
45'
D
14
D
34
José Andrés Hurtado
D
José Andrés Hurtado
D
15
I. Sosa
M
I. Sosa
M
5
Fabinho
64'
M
Fabinho
64'
M
17
Vinicius
M
Vinicius
M
22
Gustavinho
M
Gustavinho
M
57
Marcelinho Braz
64'
M
Marcelinho Braz
64'
M
67
Jhuan
64'
F
Bench
4
Alix
D
Alix
D
7
Eric Ramires
M
Eric Ramires
M
6
Gabriel
M
Gabriel
M
16
Gustavo Marques
54'
D
Gustavo Marques
54'
D
30
Henry Mosquera
35'
F
Henry Mosquera
35'
F
9
I. Pitta
35'
F
I. Pitta
35'
F
29
Juninho Capixaba
D
Juninho Capixaba
D
21
Lucas Barbosa
21'
M
Lucas Barbosa
21'
M
20
Rodriguinho
35'
M
Rodriguinho
35'
M
28
Yuri Leles
M
Yuri Leles
M
Best on the pitch
E. Neira
D · Carabobo
8.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 16 pass
G · RB
8.30
· 26 pass
Lucas Bruera
G · Carabobo
7.50
· 29 pass
Fabinho
M · RB
7.30
· 45 pass
José Andrés Hurtado
D · RB
7.30
· 56 pass
Henry Mosquera
F · RB
7.20
· 15 pass
Carabobo FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Bruera | G | 99 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 29 | 13% | — | 1 | — |
| J. Pérez | D | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Fuentes | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | — | — | — |
| E. Neira | D | 99 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bilbao | D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. González | D | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 4 | — | — |
| Edson Tortolero | M | 62 | 6.70 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| M. Núñez | M | 99 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 37 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Cova | M | 99 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 2 | 42 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Ramírez | F | 85 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 10% | — | — | — |
| F | 79 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | 2 | — | — | |
| E. Castillo | M | 37 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Loureins Martínez | F | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Guaramato | D | 20 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
RB Bragantino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 99 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Cauê Nascimento Santos | D | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 46 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Eduardo Santos | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| D | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — | |
| José Andrés Hurtado | D | 99 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 56 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Sosa | M | 99 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 55% | — | — | — |
| Fabinho | M | 64 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 37% | — | — | — |
| Vinicius | M | 99 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | — | — | — |
| Gustavinho | M | 99 | 6.00 | — | — | 3 | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Marcelinho Braz | M | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Jhuan | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Marques | D | 54 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Henry Mosquera | F | 35 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| I. Pitta | F | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Barbosa | M | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rodriguinho | M | 35 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Carabobo FC vs RB Bragantino?
The final score was Carabobo FC 1–0 RB Bragantino.
What did the model predict before Carabobo FC vs RB Bragantino?
The model assigned 39% probability to a Carabobo FC win, 32% to a draw, and 27% to an RB Bragantino win.