← Copa Sudamericana
Copa Sudamericana · Group Stage - 4 May 08, 2026 02:30
Carabobo FC
#3 · 6 pts
1 – 2
Final score
River Plate
#1 · 10 pts
M. Nunez 77' (pen.)
59' (ast. J. Quintero) M. Meza
90'+6 (ast. F. Gonzalez) M. Salas

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Carabobo FC a 41% win probability (draw 27%, River Plate 31%). The final result was Carabobo FC 1–2 River Plate. In 1 previous meetings, Carabobo FC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for River Plate.

Match statistics
3
Total shots
9
1
Shots on target
7
0.98
Actual xG
1.94
5
Saves
0
33%
Possession
67%
2
Corners
6
10
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
6
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
E. Neira
25'
26'
(missed pen.) J. Quintero⚽
37'
F. Gonzalez
E. Castillo
45'+4
E. Castillo
45'
↕ E. Tortolero / M. Cova
46'
↕ Y. Orozco / J. Fuentes
46'
49'
G. Pezzella
55'
L. Silva
59'
ast. J. Quintero · M. Meza⚽
60'
F. Colidio / M. Meza ↕
60'
M. Salas / S. Lencina ↕
↕ J. Bilbao / J. Berios
71'
72'
J. Meza / J. Freitas ↕
73'
M. Vina
74'
J. Meza
⚽M. Nunez (pen.)
77'
79'
K. Paez / J. Quintero ↕
79'
L. Pereyra / L. Silva ↕
L. Bruera
82'
84'
E. Centurion
86'
S. Beltran
90'+6
ast. F. Gonzalez · M. Salas⚽
Pre-match prediction
41.02%
Carabobo
27.32%
X
31.66%
River ←
we assigned to the actual result (River Plate) 31.66% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Carabobo
1.21
0.98
-0.23
River
1.04
1.94
+0.91
River Plate dominated by xG (1.94 vs 0.98). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 4 9
1 Cienciano Cienciano 4 7
1 Botafogo Botafogo 4 10
1 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 4 7
1 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 4 8
1 River Plate River Plate 4 10
1 San Lorenzo San Lorenzo 4 6
1 Macara Macara 4 8
2 Gremio Gremio 4 7
2 Olimpia Olimpia 4 7
2 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 4 6
2 America de Cali America de Cali 4 7
2 Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 4 6
2 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 4 5
2 O'Higgins O'Higgins 4 7
2 Caracas FC Caracas FC 4 8
3 Racing Club Racing Club 4 4
3 Juventud Juventud 4 5
3 Deportivo Recoleta Deportivo Recoleta 4 4
3 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 4 4
3 Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 4 6
3 Tigre Tigre 4 5
3 A. Italiano A. Italiano 4 4
3 Millonarios Millonarios 4 7
4 Barracas Central Barracas Central 4 3
4 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 4 1
4 Santos Santos 4 3
4 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 4 4
4 Boston River Boston River 4 0
4 Blooming Blooming 4 1
4 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 4 0
4 Palestino Palestino 4 2
Lineups
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC 3-4-3
22
L. Bruera G 6.90
4
D 6.60
32
E. Neira D 5.60
28
J. Bilbao 71' D 6.30
8
J. Perez M 6.60
26
M. Nunez 1 ⚽ M 7.20
5 E. Castillo E. Castillo 49' M 5.60
21
A. Gonzalez M 6.50
7 E. Tortolero E. Tortolero 45' F 6.70
19
L. Martinez F 6.60
10
Y. Orozco 45' F 6.70
Bench
16
F. Lopez M
17
F. Oliveros D
3 J. Fuentes J. Fuentes 45' D 6.30
18
J. Obando M
9
J. Riasco F
15
M. Cova 45' M 6.90
2
M. Guaramato D
30
S. Mendoza M
River Plate River Plate 4-2-3-1
41 Santiago Beltrán Santiago Beltrán 86' G 5.90
18 Matías Viña Matías Viña D 7.70
31 Facundo González Facundo González 1 👟 D 6.30
20 Germán Pezzella Germán Pezzella D 6.30
16 Fabricio Bustos Fabricio Bustos D 6.20
34 Giuliano Galoppo Giuliano Galoppo M 7.20
44 Lucas Silva Lucas Silva 79' M 6.90
8 Maxi Meza Maxi Meza 1 ⚽ 60' M 7.70
10 Juan Fernando Quintero Juan Fernando Quintero 1 👟 79' M 6.90
39 Santiago Lencina Santiago Lencina 60' M 6.30
35 Joaquin Freitas Joaquin Freitas 72' F 6.50
Bench
32
A. Ruberto F
33 Ezequiel Centurión Ezequiel Centurión G
11 Facundo Colidio Facundo Colidio 30' F 6.60
38 Ian Subiabre Ian Subiabre F
24 Juan Cruz Meza Juan Cruz Meza 18' M 6.00
22
K. Castano M
19 Kendry Páez Kendry Páez 11' M 6.60
28 Lucas Martínez Quarta Lucas Martínez Quarta D
7 Maximiliano Salas Maximiliano Salas 1 ⚽ 30' F 7.70
Best on the pitch
Maximiliano Salas
Maximiliano Salas
F · River
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 5 pass
Maxi Meza
Maxi Meza
M · River
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots · 31 pass
Matías Viña
Matías Viña
D · River
7.70
· 40 pass
M. Nunez
M · Carabobo
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 33 pass
Giuliano Galoppo
Giuliano Galoppo
M · River
7.20
1 shots · 42 pass
M. Cova
M · Carabobo
6.90
· 13 pass
Carabobo FC Carabobo FC — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Bruera G 90 6.90 — — — 19 13% — 1 —
D 90 6.60 — — — 40 37% 1 — —
E. Neira D 90 5.60 — — — 16 13% — 1 —
J. Bilbao D 71 6.30 — — — 23 14% — — —
J. Perez M 90 6.60 — — — 21 17% 1 — —
M. Nunez M 90 7.20 1 — 1 33 28% 3 — —
E. Castillo M 49 5.60 — — — 9 7% 1 1 1
A. Gonzalez M 90 6.50 — — 1 19 14% 2 — —
E. Tortolero F 45 6.70 — — 1 12 9% — — —
L. Martinez F 90 6.60 — — — 8 7% — — —
Y. Orozco F 45 6.70 — — — 9 6% — — —
J. Fuentes D 45 6.30 — — — 14 7% 1 — —
M. Cova M 45 6.90 — — — 13 11% 1 — —
River Plate River Plate — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Santiago Beltrán G 86 5.90 — — — 14 8% — — 1
Matías Viña D 90 7.70 — — — 40 34% 3 1 —
Facundo González D 90 6.30 — 1 — 64 61% — 1 —
Germán Pezzella D 90 6.30 — — — 48 45% — 1 —
Fabricio Bustos D 90 6.20 — — 1 69 52% 5 — —
Giuliano Galoppo M 90 7.20 — — 1 42 40% 2 — —
Lucas Silva M 79 6.90 — — — 50 46% 2 1 —
Maxi Meza M 60 7.70 1 — 1 31 24% 2 — —
Juan Fernando Quintero M 79 6.90 — 1 4 56 47% — — —
Santiago Lencina M 60 6.30 — — 1 25 20% — — —
Joaquin Freitas F 72 6.50 — — — 17 13% 1 — —
Facundo Colidio F 30 6.60 — — — 10 9% 1 — —
Juan Cruz Meza M 18 6.00 — — — 6 5% — 1 —
Kendry Páez M 11 6.60 — — — 5 5% — — —
Maximiliano Salas F 30 7.70 1 — 1 5 4% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Carabobo FC vs River Plate?
The final score was Carabobo FC 1–2 River Plate.
What did the model predict before Carabobo FC vs River Plate?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Carabobo FC win, 27% to a draw, and 31% to an River Plate win.