Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 6
May 28, 2026 00:00
C. Ramos
36'
(og)
61'
(ast. J. Correa)
C. Ramos
72'
(ast. J. Correa)
Kauan Toledo
90'+2
J. Correa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Botafogo a 50% win probability (draw 20%, Caracas FC 29%). The final result was Caracas FC 1–3 Botafogo. In 1 previous meetings, Caracas FC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Botafogo.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
10
2
Shots on target
3
0.80
Actual xG
3.11
0
Saves
2
46%
Possession
54%
8
Corners
4
11
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
J. Quintero
/ F. La Mantia
20'
F. Benitez
/ J. Vegas
25'
34'
Vitinho
⚽C. Ramos
(og)
36'
45'
Wallace Davi
46'
C. Medina
/
Wallace Davi
46'
Kadu Santos
/
Vitinho
W. Correa
/ M. Marquez
46'
61'
ast. J. Correa ·
C. Ramos⚽
63'
Matheus Martins
/
J. Barrera
E. E. Fereira Penaranda
68'
71'
Caio Valle
/
Edenilson
71'
Kauan Toledo
/
C. Ramos
72'
ast. J. Correa ·
Kauan Toledo⚽
Robert Hernandez
/ C. A. Martinez Aponte
77'
A. Fernandez
/ S. Gonzalez
77'
L. Mago
87'
90'+2
J. Correa⚽
90'
Matheus Martins
Pre-match prediction
29.18%
Caracas
20.63%
X
50.19%
Botafogo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Botafogo)
50.19%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.60
0.80
-0.8
2.49
3.11
+0.62
Botafogo dominated by xG (3.11 vs 0.80).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
F. Benítez
25'
G
13
Jesus Yendis
D
Jesus Yendis
D
19
L. Del Pino
D
L. Del Pino
D
4
J. Quintero
19'
D
2
Eduardo Fereira
D
Eduardo Fereira
D
8
I. Gudiño
M
15
C. Larotonda
M
7
R. Hernández
77'
M
10
M. Covea
M
33
W. Correa
45'
M
9
A. Fernández
77'
F
A. Fernández
77'
F
Bench
22
Á. Figueroa
M
34
C. Martinez
18'
F
36
Diego Gudino
D
Diego Gudino
D
14
F. La Mantia
76'
D
F. La Mantia
76'
D
12
Juan Vegas
70'
G
Juan Vegas
70'
G
17
L. Reinoso
F
3
Luigi Pagano
D
Luigi Pagano
D
20
Luis Maestre
M
Luis Maestre
M
11
Mauricio Márquez
50'
F
Mauricio Márquez
50'
F
5
M. Vegas
M
35
R. Lezama
F
27
S. Gonzalez
18'
F
1
Raul
G
21
Marçal
D
Marçal
D
34
Gabriel Justino
D
Gabriel Justino
D
3
Ythallo
D
Ythallo
D
2
Vitinho
45'
D
Vitinho
45'
D
14
Jordan Barrera
63'
M
Jordan Barrera
63'
M
23
S. Rodríguez
M
S. Rodríguez
M
55
Wallace Davi
45'
M
Wallace Davi
45'
M
88
Edenilson
71'
M
Edenilson
71'
M
9
Chris Ramos
2 ⚽
71'
F
Chris Ramos
2 ⚽
71'
F
30
J. Correa
1 ⚽
2 👟
F
J. Correa
1 ⚽
2 👟
F
Bench
13
Alex Telles
D
Alex Telles
D
26
Anthony
D
Anthony
D
45
Caio Valle
24'
M
Caio Valle
24'
M
6
Cristian Medina
50'
M
Cristian Medina
50'
M
75
Huguinho
M
Huguinho
M
42
Kadu Santos
50'
D
Kadu Santos
50'
D
59
Kauan Toledo
1 ⚽
24'
M
Kauan Toledo
1 ⚽
24'
M
24
Léo Linck
G
Léo Linck
G
77
Lucas Villalba
F
Lucas Villalba
F
4
Mateo Ponte
D
Mateo Ponte
D
11
Matheus Martins
32'
F
Matheus Martins
32'
F
5
Nahuel Ferraresi
D
Nahuel Ferraresi
D
Best on the pitch
J. Correa
F · Botafogo
8.90
1 ⚽ 2 👟
4 shots
· 29 pass
S. Rodríguez
M · Botafogo
7.90
1 shots
· 62 pass
Kauan Toledo
M · Botafogo
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 6 pass
Raul
G · Botafogo
7.20
· 23 pass
R. Hernández
M · Caracas
7.00
· 32 pass
Kadu Santos
D · Botafogo
6.90
· 11 pass
Caracas FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Benítez | G | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jesus Yendis | D | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Del Pino | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 33 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Quintero | D | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Eduardo Fereira | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 1 | 1 | — |
| I. Gudiño | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | — | — | — |
| C. Larotonda | M | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Hernández | M | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 32 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Covea | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| W. Correa | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| A. Fernández | F | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 9% | — | — | — |
| C. Martinez | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| F. La Mantia | D | 76 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Vegas | G | 70 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Márquez | F | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| S. Gonzalez | F | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Botafogo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul | G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Marçal | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 33 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Justino | D | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Ythallo | D | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Vitinho | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jordan Barrera | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Rodríguez | M | 95 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 49% | 5 | — | — |
| Wallace Davi | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Edenilson | M | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 26 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Chris Ramos | F | 71 | 6.60 | 2 | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| J. Correa | F | 95 | 8.90 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Caio Valle | M | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Medina | M | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Kadu Santos | D | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Kauan Toledo | M | 24 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Martins | F | 32 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Caracas FC vs Botafogo?
The final score was Caracas FC 1–3 Botafogo.
What did the model predict before Caracas FC vs Botafogo?
The model assigned 29% probability to a Caracas FC win, 20% to a draw, and 50% to an Botafogo win.